ATCawsw's Blog

ATC's Computer Picks: Week 4

By ATCawsw | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, September 22, 2009 08:26 AM   14 comments
Well, this is the last week I can use the disclaimer that I need 4 weeks of data...so after this I have to be a big boy and belly up to the bar.
 
Favorites went 8-5 last week for a win % of 61.5.  Not what I want to put on the table (goal is 70% or better each week), but it was a winner none the less.
 
Dogs went 6-4-1 for a win % of 60.  Again, below the goal of 70%, but again, a winning week.
 
I have tightened up the computer...brought in the wifes pink laptop and set it near him monday evening....hopefully he didn't throw any electrons out of place! 
 
So for the last week I will play this card...here we go:
 
DISCLAIMER:  I need at least 4 weeks of this seasons data to feel comfortable with the picks this damn machine is spitting out at me. So please do not use these to make your decision, but instead use it as a tool to look at a game a little harder.
 
Here is what I have for you for this weeks Favorites:
 
Auburn - 32.5 vs Ball St.
Central Michigan -16.5 vs Akron
 
Here are this weeks "Dogs":
 
Miss St. +13 vs LSU
Iowa +10 vs Penn St.
N. Carolina +2.5 vs Ga Tech
Central Fla.  +10 vs E. Carolina
Fla Intl.  +1 vs Toledo
Az St.  +12.5   vs Georgia
Wyoming +5.5  vs UNLV
 
Wish you all the best of luck this week! 
 
14 comments
comment Post A Comment
sciroccin says:
09/22/09 09:44AM
Input is appreciated and reviewed prior to deciding.  I look forward to your next few weeks.
GWarner27 says:
09/22/09 03:19PM
major look-ahead for Auburn as they're playing a shitty team with Tennessee on deck.

BOL ATC and thanks as always for your service to our country
PrimeTimeBoys says:
09/22/09 08:59PM
Good luck bro, I hope you get on that run you had 2 years ago, it was amazing, lets get that money! 
Cyrax says:
09/22/09 09:29PM
  
djwaud4 says:
09/22/09 09:40PM


 ATC was the man 2 years ago. we can only hope he is that good again. Can't wait till next week ATC
dreadedrasta says:
09/22/09 09:46PM
I like Florida Intl +1
DAWGPRINT says:
09/23/09 06:39AM
ATC

BOL
Tonga says:
09/24/09 09:36PM
GL ATC
PrimeTimeBoys says:
09/27/09 11:53AM
5-2 on the dogs, your back on track, lets keep it rolling!
ATCawsw says:
09/27/09 11:15PM

Well it's time to see how we did huh?

Here is what I have for you for this weeks Favorites:

 

Auburn - 32.5 vs Ball St.  

Central Michigan -16.5 vs Akron  

 

Here are this weeks "Dogs":

 

Miss St. +13 vs LSU   

Iowa +10 vs Penn St.  

N. Carolina +2.5 vs Ga Tech  

Central Fla.  +10 vs E. Carolina 

Fla Intl.  +1 vs Toledo  

Az St.  +12.5   vs Georgia  

Wyoming +5.5  vs UNLV  

71.4% on the underdogs......guess that is acceptable 

Next week, will be going back to just my Underdog picks....which makes it that much more enjoyable for me when watching the games.  Hopefully we can keep the computer picking 70% + from here on out! 

Hope you all had a good week this week with your plays...I will see you tuesday or wednesday with this weeks Underdog computer picks!

 

 

 

BbookieJ says:
09/28/09 01:49AM
Good stuff man

That Auburn game was a head scratcher!

Looking forward to next week
0BAFF7EBD7D74E608CF3E494B6D9788D says:
10/01/09 10:09AM
would Fla intl  have still been a play because they became a -1 favorite? thanks for the system,
ATCawsw says:
10/01/09 10:11AM
Well, they wouldn't have fallen under my Dog formula if they were a -1 favorite, I can tell you that for sure.  Now whether they would have fallen out in the favorite formula, I don't know, I can run it again for that week and see, but I doubt it.
ATCawsw says:
10/01/09 10:13AM
I just went and ran it, and no they wouldn't have fit the favorite formula. 
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User: ATCawsw
Joined: September 2007
Location: California
Team: Kentucky Wildcats
Occupation: Government

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