Ashton_Grewal's Blog

Late NFL Week 1 line moves

By Ashton_Grewal | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, September 11, 2011 08:31 AM   2 comments
I'm seeing some late movement on some of today's NFL games. Here's a quick scan of the lines worth watching.

Philadelphia Eagles at St. Louis Rams (+5.5 to +4)


Looks like the "Dream Team" isn't getting the public support everyone thought they would right off the bat. The Rams are no slouches but an oddsmaker told me a few weeks ago that he wouldn't be surprised if this line got bet up to Eagles -7.

Instead the spread is dropping with a few Rams +3.5s out there.

My lean: Buying a half point to get the Eagles at -3 sounds like a good play.

Carolina Panthers at Arizona Cardinals (-7 to -6.5)


Only a half point move here but it's a big one because it's coming off that touchdown spread. A move off the key number makes me love the Cards even more. They're my and Covers Expert David Malinsky's survivor pool pick this week.

Lean: Load up on Arizona. I've got a feeling they're going to blow out the Panthers.

Dallas Cowboys at New York Jets (-4 to -6)

I see this as an overreaction to the injuries in the Cowboys' secondary. I think this would be a bigger deal if Dallas were facing Tom Brady. Mark Sanchez doesn't have any DBs shaking in their cleats.

My lean: Already liked the Boys at +5 and I'll put another unit on them at +6.
2 comments
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oilers4eva says:
09/11/11 05:02PM
nice philly pick........arizona should roll and i like the cowboys too ashton. good luck this year
Josh_Nagel says:
09/12/11 01:36AM
I was able to get the Cowboys at +7 before kickoff. Beauty. Most books around here won't let you buy a line from 3.5 down to 3 -- key number rule. Guess it didn't matter in that one anyway; I had +4.5 and booked a loser.
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