8W-5L Record...
Gees, I dirtied myself on Tennis today breaking a sweet winning streak, but hey I am not going to win them all am I?! I'm actually thankful for a loss, because it keeps me humble and focused and not take things for granted in this business ...!
However, let's get to this pick cause this is where it's at today.
Finally the book makers opened the total here after what it must have been a very long hard thinking and number crunching session. They had the spreads out but they couldn't decide on the total. In fact, there still are books that don't offer a total play on this game at this point. Some books opened the spread at 19 and the total at 53! Vegas opened this at 57.5 and although early action has been on the over, the number has still come down a point and a half. Centrebet has this at 56 at the moment.
Broncos at home has become an ugly grave yard for most visiting teams, and the given spread suggest such expectation and trend to continue today. There's no doubt that Boise will be lighting up the scoreboard. I agree that L.Tech is improving every game, but I'm keeping in mind that the Bulldogs are allowing way way too many passing yards. Furthermore, they also seem to fall apart against highly ranked opponents. You just can't afford that kind of slackness against a high energy supercharged powerful offense like that of the Broncos. All trends b/w these two teams point towards one play only. Vegas LOVES the mid-week action, as many bettors are all over the games, especially during days like today where there's nothing else attractive on the board. The high total set by Vegas is designed to attract and lure in all the safe bettors who will be slightly intimidated by such a large number! It'll be a beautiful balmy night in Boise, perfect conditions, I've got my mind made up and I will thoroughly enjoy this scorefest on ESPN
Pick: OVER 56 for a 3 Unit play
AUSSIE