Aussieguy's Blog

Posted Wednesday, October 01, 2008 03:47 AM

Lousiana Tech @ Boise St Broncos, Aussie's Pick

8W-5L Record... Gees, I dirtied myself on Tennis today breaking a sweet winning streak, but hey I am not going to win them all am I?! I'm actually thankful for a loss, because it keeps me humble and focused and not take things for granted in this business ...!   However, let's get to this pick cause this is where it's at today. Finally the book makers opened the total here after what it must have been a very long hard thinking and number crunching session. They had the spreads out but they couldn't decide on the total. In fact, there still are books that don't offer a total play on this game at this point. Some books opened the spread at 19 and the total at 53! Vegas opened this at 57.5 and although early action has been on the over, the number has still come down a point and a half. Centrebet has this at 56 at the moment. Broncos at home has become an ugly grave yard for most visiting teams, and the given spread suggest such expectation and trend to continue today. There's no doubt that Boise will be lighting up the scoreboard. I agree that L.Tech is improving every game, but I'm keeping in mind that the Bulldogs are allowing way way too many passing yards. Furthermore, they also seem to fall apart against highly ranked opponents. You just can't afford that kind of slackness against a high energy supercharged powerful offense like that of the Broncos. All trends b/w these two teams point toward... [More]

Posted Saturday, September 13, 2008 07:02 AM

UCLA @ BYU, AUSSIE's Pick

4W-2L Record...   The public seems to be making a little too much of UCLA having lost 6 defensive substantial starters from last year. Also I believe they're reading just a little too much into the offensive power house of Brigham Y!   Having played twice already, these two teams know eachother's game inside out. Add to that some inside info which can be provided by both teams' cordinators, who incidentally have previously "done time" in eachother's camps, and there'll be no secrets left, and no surprises in this game at all   The line makers opened this game -9 and 44.5 total. The line has dropped to -7.5 for BYU and the total has climbed up to 47.5 now.  UCLA has lost 10 of the last 13 road trips, and I really think that they'll try to make amends here seeking to rescue their reputation as poor travellers. The Bruins defence is as solid as they come, and I believe this should give us a pretty hard fought encounter which neither team would want to screw up. Past trends point strongly to a low scoring affair. ... Pick: UNDER 47.5 for a 2.5Unit play Good luck to whoever plays this AUSSIE ps. lines and total according to tabonline.com.au   
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Posted Friday, September 12, 2008 06:10 AM

Kansas @ SOFLA Pick

I am fully aware that the Jayhawks have been running red hot during the past fortnight, but I really think they're about to hit a bit of a brick wall here and be "slightly" more tested than what they've encountered in the first couple of games of the season.   The coaching staff have been running the Jayhawks to the ground this week, and the team doesn't just look tired, but they sound exhausted too!! On the other hand, I think South Florida looks to be motivated to cause a minor upset here. It seems like they love performing in front of a big national audience too, as lucky for them, this game will be on national television as well.   The betting public loves a special talented unit like the Jayhawks, especially when the game is televised, and they've shown their love to Kansas via the books so far!! When Vegas first opened this line they had Grothe's crew  as 5 point favourites. However public love has made the line ease out to -2 now (most books have SoFla -2 at the moment) That is good enough for me to take. I suggest you do the same.   At Home the Bulls have a solid run, and in front of such a large national audience, South Florida should roll over Kansas no worries at all! Look out for Matt G. to improve his performance dramatically against Kansas this time around ...     Pick: South Florida -2 for a 3 Unit play   3W-2L Record...   Let's get the paper here boys  Cheers and best wishes... [More]

Posted Thursday, August 21, 2008 06:20 PM

Troy - Middle Tennessee, AUSSIE'S Pick

Let's start College Football on the right foot fellas. May it be a prosperous year for everyone.
Now to our game - As far as Troy's concerned, nothing much or significant has taken place in their line up.  For them it's pretty much a new season for the same old crew. Middle Tenn have had a complete face lift, the only trouble with the face lifts is that the appearance always looks good but the old dying body inside is still the same, minus the wrinkles of course, which can be very deceptive to the outside observer!
The books are trying to sell to the outside observers this face lift makeover by making Mid.Tennessee only a 4.5 point dog! As for me, I don't buy it but there'll be plenty who will. I hope I am the one smiling at the end of this though . Eventhough Troy is travelling here, this will be a blow out in my opinion! Big play 
Pick: TROY -4.5 for a 6Unit Play
Good luck and best wishes as always
AUSSIE  


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