Aussieguy's Blog

NFL Sunday, Aussie's Picks

By Aussieguy | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, September 21, 2008 08:27 AM   35 comments
Tampa @ Chicago. Very very rare that you'd see the Bears favoured here. This will be a grudge match and I believe points here will come at a premium. I don't believe Griese will get the red carpet rolled out for him either, as some sort of a "welcome back" party ...
 
As I commented in BB's 'total bias' column also, Vegas has set this intimidatingly low. The sensible thing to do, is to jump on the over as many have already done so. Nevertheless, as I mentioned before, this should be a very hard fought encounter with most of the action taking place in the centre...
With question marks hanging over Hester too, who by the way is a dynamo, I strongly believe this should stay under the total..
 
Pick: UNDER 35.5 for 3.5 Unit play 
 
Huston @ Tennessee. Well, here's a battle between two pathetic and overrated NFL outfits. Seriously, you'd be spewing if you're barracking for either of these two teams. Unconvincing as they've looked though, the Titans still are baosting a 2/0 Win/Loss record thus far, therefore they get my thumbs up here. The question is by how much will they win?! Both teams play a very tough defensive game style. Like I said, at home Tennessee will (should) get it done, but I wouldn't be surprised if we saw a score like 13-10. But I've been wrong several times before too . With a bit of extra luck though, we should see this baby stay under the set total too.
 
Pick: UNDER 39.5 for 3.5 Unit play
 
14W-7L-1P Record...
 
 Best of luck everyone
Cheers     AUSSIE  
35 comments
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muzza says:
09/21/08 08:32AM
Goodluck Aussie..

 

I think Tennessee should cover against Houston..

Wiz66 says:
09/21/08 08:34AM
Just when I start wondering what Aussie is up to today...BAM...there he is to shed some light on a couple of strong under plays.  LOVE these picks my friend.

 

Best of luck today brother.

 

AMMO1 says:
09/21/08 08:35AM
yamda says:
09/21/08 09:21AM
 Auss!!!

 

Liking the plays. On'em both..

duy65 says:
09/21/08 09:38AM
with you all the way mate.
lonetreejj says:
09/21/08 09:51AM
 Aussie. 

 

Liking that TB-CHI Under

 

I was leanin Hou + pts,,,, under def. deserves consideration.

 

Thanks

HotRoute says:
09/21/08 09:54AM
gl today aussie
BiggDogg5n2 says:
09/21/08 10:08AM
BOL today....

Nice call on your college games yesterday....

clemson1981 says:
09/21/08 10:13AM
gl aussie........u might be right about vegas ?????

Chicago has went “over” at
home lately (15-4 of last 19).
Ace77 says:
09/21/08 10:16AM
Like both,good luck
96chey says:
09/21/08 10:21AM
GL
drinkbeer187 says:
09/21/08 10:29AM
BOL
amd says:
09/21/08 10:41AM
Looks solid Auss...BOL, my friend
mike214 says:
09/21/08 10:42AM
UnityNY says:
09/21/08 11:45AM
How can you say these two teams are overrated? Houston definitely is not overrated - everyone thinks they suck!!

And there is not a great amount of hype for Titans either, they just happen to be 2 - 0.

Your picks may be good but you are mistaken saying that these teams are overrated.

indrep says:
09/21/08 01:11PM
Aussie.

The Cleveland Browns would be a nice selection today. Keep in mind that their first two games came against #1 Dallas and #2 Pittsburgh in the power ratings. They should get to Flacco today and frustrate him.

On a side note. I was even yesterday and decided to hit the under on Iowa State / UNLV. Iowa state scored a game tying touchdown on a 98 yard drive with 1:35 remaining and no timeouts. 29 yard touchdown was the last play of regulation. That sucks huh?

I'm also on St Louis +9 1/2 today. Seattle is still vastly overrated. Odds makers have not caught on to this yet.

Megamaniak says:
09/21/08 02:00PM
I agree UnityNY:

Houston is not a good outfit at all.

Good luck either way Aussieman, are you playing the SNF game later?

YoungOne says:
09/21/08 02:24PM
eek, not exactly the first halves we expected mate.

i hope we win (im on both too) but if we dont, do you have any opinions on the later games?
LJCOOL says:
09/21/08 02:37PM
Ltrain14 says:
09/21/08 02:45PM
YoungOne says:
09/21/08 03:44PM
houston cant get in from 1 yard out in 3 plays


that play is alive
Fugger says:
09/21/08 03:46PM
Too bad that Bears game went over I had it. good luck with the rest of the Tenn under. 
YoungOne says:
09/21/08 04:04PM
wow, unreal aussie

looke like we were good

houston had to get a td and had 4th and 11 from the 11.  tennessee intercepts and returns for a td


unbelievable
ktt1977 says:
09/21/08 06:23PM
Good morning Aussie,

Missed your picks as I was in bed before you posted.  Would of tailed you regardless of the results.  Better Luck next time.  Thanks again for yesterday's winnings. 
robbie0570 says:
09/21/08 06:30PM
another fucked up day in the life of an NFL gambler...

 

Aussieguy says:
09/21/08 06:39PM
Terrible terrible ...enough said eh.  Honestly, didn't expect that.

Tough one boys.

crookedIcon says:
09/21/08 07:02PM
Aussie, your still up units for the week... only reason I broke near even after my bets this week, is from following ur plays..  thanks for posting them
indrep says:
09/21/08 08:46PM
Aussie - The monkey got his today. Please keep em' coming. I did not feir well today either.
Otis41 says:
09/22/08 10:34AM
Had the Over in Bears game. All week the local (Chicago) papers and radio interviews indicated that they were opening up the playbooks for Orton to throw downfield. Tampa coach Gruden said the way to beat the Bears was to pass. That's what led me to the over. Plus, there was zero wind all weekend. GL next week Aussie.
NYCOWBOY says:
09/22/08 10:54AM
Hard to swallow. No doubt, you'll bounce back. Thanks for all your shared wisdom/picks.
Ace77 says:
09/22/08 10:58AM
Cant win them all,you will own week 4
RoosterKing says:
09/22/08 12:44PM
Tenn just HAD to score that last TD to F it all up...
It's all good, we'll get 'em this week Aussie! I have faith in you
bookiebusternet says:
09/22/08 09:30PM
Better luck next time.... Tenessee was the easiest winner on the board though.
BayBridgeTunnel says:
09/23/08 08:58AM
That Houston over was insane...33 points in the first half, then needed a 99yd pick 6 on the last play of the game to hit over 40. I took a pass on the 4pm games after that rollercoaster.
MorTaL_DrAcuLa says:
09/23/08 08:46PM
Tulane has the ability to smoke SMU easily by 18 or more considering SMU gives up everything. For example, SMU's defense is the worst in the nation giving up 531 ypg. Also, they have a Fresh QB and only scored 2 TD's in their last 2 games. Tulane should smoke the pants off these fools.

This weeks Thursday and Friday NCAAF picks:

Tulane -18 vs the worst defense in the nation-SMU

USC to OWN the Beavers

Louisville to get its revenge vs UCONN -3

Although they are all favorites, their individual offensive and defensive stats point to taking them all straight up.

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