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A Couple of Thoughts on Fedexpress 2008..

By Aussieguy | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, June 11, 2008 08:02 AM   15 comments

Out of the Mud - Onto the Grass

I hear everyone screaming at me 'Move on mate, what's with you being stuck in the red mud of Roland Garros?' But I just cannot stop thinking about the drubbing that Fedexpress copped under the tutelage of Rafa Nadal!

Not since Pat Rafter nailed Roger at the French Open in 1999 had the world No. 1 lost a grand slam set to love. (Sorry mate - I had to bring in the Aussie pride somehow!)

But Roger was mauled, physically, emotionally and mentally, by the bull who has played 28 matches over four years at Roland Garros - and won them all. You know what? There are some tennis experts that are preaching that Federer is the greatest clay court player ever, but he just so happened to be playing in the same era that the King Of Clay is! Whatever the case, Federer looked and sounded devestated by the end of the match, even long after the closing ceremony, during his press conference, his face and tone said it all.  "I wish it was a different outcome," Federer said, "I don't want to play Rafa again tomorrow, that's for sure."

So do you boys reckon Fedex will ever win the French or is he doomed to join Pistol Pete and a few other legends who were unable to win the toughest of them all - the Roland Garros.

In less than a fortnight, Roger will start as favourite to win Wimbledon (-120), but is he the same Fedexpress that we've all fallen in love with over the last few years? I don't know, but the Djoker destroyed him in straight-sets in the semis at this last Aus Open.  Then, Fedex has suffered ridiculous losses to ridiculous opponents such as Radek Stepanek and Mardy Fish. He has won one ATP title this year, but even that was by default, otherwise who knows, he probably would have lost that too! His confidence isn't at the highest ever at the moment, that's for sure. Now he's probably hoping that the grass really is greener as he steps out onto the lawn at the All England Club - but is he still the king of that court? Is he going to win this, or another failure added to his 2008 diary?

In Jerry Seinfeld's words, Roger is still lord of the manor, but I say - not for much longer.....

15 comments
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jmk says:
06/11/08 11:36AM
You don't look ahead on the finals on a premier stage like RG.  He got handled by Nadal. There was very little surprise that these two would be standing in the end to battle it out for the title and Roger knows facing Nadal, a tougher than nails opponent was exactly what he needed to kill any doubt that he lost his step.  He was more than ready for this match up and everyone knows this stage was more important for Federer than Nadal, Nadal has already won this multiple times.  Just imagine if he had won, it would actually have been a huge achievement at a time he is more vulnerable than ever defending his spot as number 1 and earning the one title he is yet to win. Everybody is making excuses for this guy..  Screw the case of mono, looking ahead, even during his interview after the match when asked if he was just fatigued, he admitted he was fine.  On the hand, he's still among the best, but he can be beaten very easily as we just witnessed.  He reminds me of Brett Favre and Shaq, some of the greatest atheletes ever, and people will always defend them as they should because their "Hall of Famers' and they've earned the respect but sometimes the excuses  sound like words that come from a true fposseseed fan regardless of how they perform.

He's still great but he is not the same and the more time he remains the more time the young blood will expose him and he will struggle.  He'll win more championships and he has more years than some of these "has beens" you see that hang around but he''ll always be a target and judged critically which makes it harder because its obvious outside of his game on the court, his opponents are now getting in his head. 

IronCobra says:
06/11/08 12:26PM

he needs a coach. Think about it, he played his best tennis during his time with Roche. He played pretty well through out the year after they split but its been down hill from there. It's arogant to think you can win at this game without a second opinion. Its like the lawyer who represents himself having a fool for a client. I'll point to his recent habit of starting slowly in matches. He loses or gets pushed because he waits until he's on the court to figure out his oponent. A good coach would be able to set out a strong game plan after scouting the other player while Roger focuses on the practice courts. Having people like higueras isn't enough, he really needs a full time guy. Just my 2 cents.

jmk says:
06/11/08 02:25PM
Good point, he needs a coach. Even better, he should go hang out with the freaks on Tony Robbins and get some fire under his belly, whatever it takes to get this guy to not look ahead no matter which event is in front of him.  No reason to give up on a match televised all over the world, every fan in the crowd felt his pain and if you watched it, most of the crowd was cheering for him to not give up but it wasn't enough, and that's strange to me.  The last thing you want to see during a championship game is for your opponent to start feeling for you lke Nadal did.  I know their buds now but Nadal felt sympathy for the guy and so did McEnroe who was not only a believer but he was at a true lost of words when he interviewed him and in a nut shell was trying to ask him why he looked so awful.  Like I said I like Federer but something is seriously wrong on how he lost the game, tough game for me to watch and I had a nice wager on Nadal but i was comfortable enough to see this match go 4 sets, not many times I can honestly say that I am comfortable enough to see my wager at risk just so I can see a competitive game. 
jmk says:
06/11/08 05:30PM
I think Fed is always a threat and again he will be at the Wimbly.  The bounce will work more favorably for Fed, no question.  The issue will be his head.  The earlier suggestion of a coach is probably right on but he needs a mentor that can also work on his body language and mental toughness. With sharks like Nole who smell blood when it comes down to Federer, he needs to toughen up or they will eat him for lunch.  Everyone is gunning for him and he's not helping the cause.  His game is already there, he's shown us too many times.  How many times have you heard that's its easier to be number 2 or 3 than number one because all the pressure is on one.  Well, he's number one and he can't seem to deal with it any longer. I agree, if the pressure is not on him, he'll take the Wimbly but can he handle it? 

As childish as this sounds, I would love to see him get in a fist fight with NOLE and I bet you see this guy playing like a true competitor.  The question is, is he in a slump or are the younger guys coming after his number?  Slumps usually are a function of some minor mechanical adjustments but more so mental.  I honestly don't know which of the two it is. 

Chase_Beaverman says:
06/11/08 10:20PM
Personally, I think Federer should put the French Open, and his burning desire to win it, out of his mind.

 

Nadal is just too good on clay right now, period. I think Federer needs to flush that flogging he recieved because if he dwells on it, it's the kind of thing that could really erode his confidence and affect him at Wimbledon and beyond.

 

Basically the whole world is going to have to play the waiting game with Nadal and the FO, because until Rafa's game drops a level or two, nobody is going to take that title off of him imo.

 

At 26, Federer has no reason to begin his downward spiral yet, because physically he's still in a peak period. It's clearly a mental issue with him, hell, maybe he got bored with how easy he was doing it for 50 of the 52 weeks during the year ?

 

Somebody mentioned Tony Robbins as an avenue Federer should pursue, after seeing this clip, I'm not so sure he's the answer  

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hQnOC0L8pWc&NR=1

 

 

 

 

HeadOverHeart says:
06/11/08 10:27PM
Perhaps Fed should hire that goon that whacked Nancy Kerrigan?  He'd win the French Open then.....


PhantomFlag says:
06/13/08 12:33AM
So you're telling me Marcos +1100 is not going to happen Friday in the Gerry Qs?? 

 

I was honestly looking real hard at this lottery type underdog, Marcos against a tired uninspired Fed, and lose for the first time

to Baghdatis who I believe is another contender to come soon...0-5 against Fed all on the Hard.

 

But then he is God of the grass...

 

100 to win 1100 is awfully tempting!

jmk says:
06/13/08 12:34AM
A POSSESSED FAN!!!!! 
jmk says:
06/11/08 11:00PM
Claycourt, I think the question is whether Fed has a lost a step, not whether he's accomplished what 99% of the other competitors haven't. Everyone agrees he's one of the best, but he's lost matches he suppose to win because he's no longer the same.  

I'll find you after a few more worthy tourney's and we'll figure out whose got it right. Too much commentary with nothing to measure against gives us nothing to determine who is right or wrong.  You'll feel the same soon enough, maybe not, we'll see.

jmk says:
06/12/08 08:43AM
Again, let's keep this simple, we don't want to get into how well for example Babe Ruth would measure up to the power sluggers of today.  NADAL, NOLE and more to come are pounding at the door causing him to choke during the main stage when he's known to win, or at least give you a feeling your watching 12 round boxing match with a lot of heart, not a straight setter with someone who looks like he's heading home.    

Many of you believe, let's wait and see, your confidence is certainly there and if it pours over inside Fed's head I'll be wrong.  The commentary is fun, but let's not get all fired up yet, this discussion is about whether the guy can win at the same level with the guys he's going to toe to toe with today.

Just as someone said earlier, he's dominated Wimbledon so it belong's to him, its not far around the corner for him.

I have a tough time when people change the topic.  Look back, I don't recall saying he sucks, just said HE'S NOT THE SAME.  My money is not him anymore.  Unfortunately the books have caught up on Fed, sometimes pricing him worse than NOLE. Last year the books were laying huge tags on the Fed, allowing us to clean up, not any more. I recalled some big pay days, especially last year going against Fed.  Its changing now and the spreads as we get deeper in the tourneys are reflecting they feel the same. I hope the books give him the huge respect some of you guys give him during the big stage. Finding the odds for championship matches with Federer gives me the same feeling i get everytime I check my stock account in the morning, i get excited if he's overrespected and disappointed when he's not.  I think they will for Wimbledon given his dominance supporting many of your opinions.

Just please don't say if NADAL wasn't here, he'd be something to else, because I know this too.  I'm speaking specifically about today and whether he's the same player. '

Lastly I know he has nothing to prove, I know's he better than most, i know he'll go down as one of the greatest. I have to reiterate these statements so nobody chooses to change the point. 

Have fun with it, someone is wrong and right in the end, have fun with it.  See you around.      

 

 

bloodypeach says:
06/12/08 01:55AM
Any plays you like on the up coming matches today? What's your say on Gulbis vs Murray? Gonzo and Karlo? I'm also leaning towards Gasquet. What's your opinion?
IronCobra says:
06/11/08 10:33PM
How do you say why, why, why, awawawawa in Spanish?
icecoldkidd says:
06/12/08 09:32AM
I am a Nadal fan and I must admit that I may be biased in some of my views.

 

I think Federer would have a harder time winning Wimbledon this year. In saying this, I am definitely admitting that he is not the same Roger Federer three or four years ago. Just look at what happened last year in Wimbledon, Rafa almost took the championship if he just cashed in in one of the two double break points he was given in the fifth set. Roger's serve is not as good as it was years ago. He got a set in the 2006 and 2007 RG because of the aces he usually gets but not this year. His serve was sharp but not as good as before. And service is a really good weapon in Wimbledon. Finishing a point as fast as you can is vital. Therefore, if Roger lost that "golden" serve of his, he is really in trouble come the time that he again has to face Nadal in the Finals. Instead of an easy ace or a serve and volley combo, the passing shot of Rafa just might be able to push Roger out of the net. And in anticipating passing shots Roger might have to settle for long rallies and we know who is favored in long rallies. My man, Rafa!

 

Also, the winner in this Artois Championship would have an edge in Wimbledon. If Nadal wins, I am betting that he wins the Wimbledon. If Djoko wins, whoever he faces in the semis (be it Roger or Rafa) would have to play their best tennis in order to beat him! I hope Roger plays him though.

 

Roger is still the favorite in Wimbledon but not an overwhelming faovrite just like before. If I am to divide the chances of winning Wimbledon between the top three ranked players, it would be like this. (Roger-40%, Rafa-35%, Djoko-25%)

 

Rafa has been on a steady rise in four of these grandslams especially in Australian open and Wimbledon. I am looking forward to seeing him win his first ever back to back grandslams this end of june!

esplanade says:
06/12/08 02:26AM
 What a lot of people fail to realize is that some of what happens is circumstantial happenstance. In almost any other era Fed would have at least one and possibly three FO crowns. Going up against the likely best of all time is his bad luck, but he is the second best on the dirt of this era and a top 10 all time clay courter. Comparing him to Sampras on dirt is an injustice to Roger. Nadal is just too tough.
esplanade says:
06/12/08 07:50PM


Ramble much??

Sorry just had to say it.
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