As I said from the outset of this when the Toronto Masters started early on in the week, I really believed that it was going to be a great week from a betting point of view. If you've played all the games I played and placed the units accordingly, at the odds that I've shown - then you should be real happy by now.
I must say however, that the 6 Unit First Set wager on Kiefer last night was a real blow. Easy to be 20/20 hindsight vision "expert" now when it's all been said and done, BUT I wish i hadn't gotten greedy chasing the higher odds playing the first set instead of the match. As I said in my write up y/day, I was more confident on the whole match Kiefer win than on First Set win, but the greed got the better of me. Live and learn I guess..
On to the last game of this Masters Series though:
I watched Nadal play Murray and manalive, I was in awe of him. How good has he become??? Federer will need another Federer standing next to him if he's to beat Rafa at next month's US Open. I mean Rafa's defying physical laws - How can he retireve like that on hardcourt???? His phenomenal staunch defence would even make that of the Detroit Pistons' a couple of years ago, blush! Murray was hitting some amazing forehands, and against ANYBODY they woulda' been clear winners. Rafa however, would send em back with real interest!
Therefore, there's no value at all betting on or against the Bull in tomorrow's final. First and Second set wins are of no value either. The only value I could find, after some number crunching I've done, is the number of games offered here.
I'm starting this from the premise that Rafa nails this in straight sets (don't think you'd argue with that?!) However I expect a 7-5 or 7-6 First Set Score, then I expect Rafa to run away with the second but not more than 6-2! Thereupon, we're left with 6-3 all the way to 7-6 second set score.
(hopefully you're following here...?)
My bet is :
21-26 (both numbers included) games to be played at $3.95. Playing it for 2.5Units!
hopefully with a bit of luck we hit this guys and finish it in a real high
Best of luck to you all and Hope you have a grouse (Australian for 'awesome') week-end
AUSSIE