Tursunov - Murray
The odds are stacked against the Russian here, in more ways that one. Except from not having lost to him on a mine-field, Tursunov has lost to the Scot on pretty much every other surface; 4 outta' 4 on clay, hard, grass and carpet, to be precise. We'll see how he fares against him in the Iraq Open next month ....
Nah, all jokes aside, there's so much value with Dmitry today. I wouldn't dare take him for the whole match, although that wouldn't be a bad one either, but First Set Win has alot of value. Tursunov's serve has been brilliant thus far in this tournament, being helped also by the speed of the court. Murray isn't the best returner in the world either, so if this goes deep in the first, then I really like Tursunov to get over the line there. In both previous matches against Safin and Gasquet, the Russian has looked as solid as you can get on serve. Both Gasquet and Safin are great returners and both take the ball early on the rise. I expect this to go the distance and Dmitry should be able to pocket for himself as well as for the rest of us, that First Set W.
At $3.10, it's a bloody ripper of a dog play.
Pick: Tursunov to Win First Set 3 Unit play to win 6.3 Units profit
AUSSIE