Posted Thursday, May 13, 2010 10:11 AM
Taken from blog.trackthebet.com
TracktheBet.com is a sports betting analytics company that enables users to manage their wagers with multiple reports, graphs and alerts...
Bet tracking software has sprung up online over the past couple of years and now is the time to take advantage if you are a sports bettor. Back in the day, players used good old fashioned pencil and paper to track their games; Wins on the left, Losses on the right and a tally to keep track of how much you were up or down. Then came Excel and players took their tracking to the next level, using equations and algorithms to update their Profit and Overall Record. The bettor might have used columns to separate Teams, Bet Placed, Amount Risked and Profit.
Nowadays sports bettors have applications and software to assist with their sports bets and most don’t take advantage. Stock brokers have feeds and piles of data that allow them to choose the right stocks. Consumers login at banking websites and receive statements based on their spending. What’s the difference between those users and a sports bettor trying to gain an edge? All three are managing money, but for some reason, analyzing sports wagers seems to be a daunting task or a waste of time in the minds of some bettors.
Now, we still may be years away from having online gambling legalized and regulated, but players should still understand where their money is going and... [More]
Posted Tuesday, November 03, 2009 10:16 AM
Not saying they will, but if they do, they would have 4 wins over teams in the Top 25 (Arizona, Wisconsin, Penn St and Ohio St).
Texas, if they win out, would have 2 (Okl and OSU).
Is the B10 top to bottom really worse than the B12? Outside of Texas and Okie St, each team has 3 losses. If you compare the top 11 teams in the B12 vs. B10, who would be favored on neutral field.. My guesses are below
Texas -7 vs. Iowa
Oklahoma State vs. Penn St -5
Oklahoma -3 vs. Ohio St
Texas Tech vs. Wisconsin -4
Kansas St vs. Minnesota -1
Nebraska -3.5 vs. Michigan State
Texas A&M vs. Northwestern -2
Iowa St vs. Purdue -3
Kansas -6.5 vs. Michigan
Missouri -8.5 vs. Indiana
Baylor vs. Illinois -3
Don't see the B10 losing the majority of these games..
In conclusion, it might not be pretty, but if Iowa runs the table, their resume would be better than Texas and the Hawkeyes should jump the Horns..
Even though it will never happen..
Posted Friday, August 28, 2009 10:29 AM
I went back 3 seasons, beginning with 2006-2007 and looked at the Pre-Season AP Top 25. I took those teams and looked to see if they covered in Week 1. There were 2 parameters:
1. They had to play a D-I opponent
2. They were playing an unranked team
So, for example, Oregon plays Boise, both are ranked, so I didn't count either as a W or L, I simply erased both..
Here are the results by year:
2006-2007
Ranked teams went 14-3 ATS
2007-2008
Ranked teams went 10-6 ATS
2008-2009
Ranked teams went 6-5 ATS
Notice the drop off, in not only the cover %, but also the games played. Last year we had 14 teams either playing each other, or playing D-II opponents.
Anyway, this trend comes out to 30-14 or 68%.
There are 11 games this season that fit the mold. Trend states that between 7-8 of those 11 will be winners:
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false
false
false
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Utah v USU
Texas v ULM
USC v San Jose St
Ohio St v Navy
Penn St v Akron
LSU v Washington
Maryland v Cal
ND v Nevada
Nebraska v Florida Atlantic
Memphis v Ole Miss
Florida St v Miami, FL
Best of luck
...
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