BKFinancial's Blog

Posted Tuesday, October 22, 2013 10:19 AM

Ncaa 7* Play 10/26/13

I only go up to 3 stars(% of bankroll) on all games, with rare exceptions.  Practically even YTD, which is disappointing, but when I see a situation to capitalize, I take advantage of it.

7******* Play

Take Missouri -3 at home vs. S. Carolina

Missouri defense is allowing less than 120 rushing yards per game.  If South Carolina get down early, and abandons their best asset (RB Davis), they will fall prey to an opportunistic defense who creates turnovers.

Missouri has a surprisingly balanced offense with 3 interchangeable RB's and 4 WR's @ 6' 4" tall.  There vertical offensive approach should create many problems for a defense with weak linebacker play.  Missouri has beaten every opponent by 15+ points this season and I do not expect any thing different this week.

The odds should go up for the favorite and will (should) be a public play, which usually scares me.  Nonetheless, this is a spot to maximize your earnings.

Good luck everyone!



Posted Sunday, October 13, 2013 02:32 PM

RARE 5* PLAY.....

PATRIOTS -1 (-105)  *****

Posted Tuesday, October 08, 2013 09:36 AM

10/12/13 NCAA Selections....

Oklahoma -14 (buy 1/2)  **

WASHINGTON +14.5  ***

WASHINGTON ML +411  *

LSU -7  **

Missouri +10 (buy 1/2) **

OLE MISS +7  **

Northwestern +10.5  ***

Good luck to everyone!  Below are results for any followers who are interested.

Last Week:  Ncaa 3-4  -3.7 units

                   Nfl   5-1  +5.7 units

                   Mlb  2-1   +2.26 units

YTD:  NCAA  1* 5-2  71.4%  +2.8 units

                    2*  10-5 66.7%  +9.2 units

                    3*  1-2  33.3%   -3.9 units

                   Total  16-9 64%  +8.1 units

NFL YTD:   1*   3-1  75%   +1.8 units

                   2*   9-9   50%   -2.2 u... [More]

Posted Tuesday, September 24, 2013 09:38 AM

NFL 09/26/13 Selection - ytd totals

RAMS +4 ***

NFL YTD Totals:

1* 1-1 50% -.2 Units

2* 6-8 42.9% -6 units

3* 1-0 100%  +3 units

Totals 8-9 47.1% -3.2 units

NCAA (incl. 3 MLB)

1* 5-3 62.5%   1.6 units

2* 8-7 53.3%   -.34 units

3* 2-1 66.7%   2.4 units

Total 15-11  57.7%  3.66 units

Overall  23-20  53.5%   .46 units

(fyi- very slow start for the NFL.  I expect a 10-3 run to get back to the 60% expectation)

Good luck to everyone!



Posted Monday, September 09, 2013 10:35 AM

MNF Selection - wk 1

Rare Week 1 selection. Usually begin my season next week.  All games are rated 1,2 or 3*.

CHARGERS +6 **

Good luck to everyone tonight and the 2013 season.

 

 



Posted Thursday, August 29, 2013 11:53 AM

Strategy notes

Too many people shoot-from-the-hip or do not actually have a solid plan for success.  Emotions and daily non-activities can create impulse buys which will eventually wreck your bankroll.  Are you a gambler or investor?

I started an (MBO) system to generate supplemental income.  After 15 years of trial and error, I believe I have a template for success.  However, regardless of any "system", you must be able to project the outcome of games to yield any profit.

Here are a few highlights from the plan:

1) Start with the End insight.  Start with a bankroll set aside for the venture.  What are your financial objectives? What winning percentage do you need to meet your financial objectives?  What % of my bankroll should I wager?

2)  Mine is 48=60.  To earn 48% of my bankroll, I must accurately win approx. 60% of my selections when wagering 2% of my bankroll. 

3)  Have a percentage breakdown of your 1%, 2% & 3% selections.  Example 1% & 3% selections account for 18-20% of the total selections respectively.  The other 60-64% of my selections are the 2% bankroll plays. 

4) Set the lines for next weeks upcoming line-up. Evaluate and review your odds vs. the handicapper's line.  If the variance is > 2 of your line, review game film to validate your pre-selection.  These are where many of my 3* selections originate.

4) R... [More]

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