Hey Everyone! Decided to PASS on the Friday card and focus my attention to Saturday's slew of match-up's... I have 3 solid games that I like today, but as always I trim it down to the one play I feel the strongest about and it will be the only game of the day that I will actually wager my money on... going into Saturday I have hit 3 out of 4 this week and the bankroll is +760.00 so far... Here is the Play for Saturday:
TCU +2.5... 6 Unit play! It is very rare that I drop a 6 unit play on a game, if you follow me, my plays are usually in between 3-6 Units... This is the first 6 Unit play I have had since posting my plays on Covers and I usually only play this amount maybe once a month, so you know I'm feeling confident with this one... I'm not saying it is a lock, because there is no such thing, but I have a good vibe with this one... Now let's get inside the game here... First off, I feel the wrong team is favored, I have this one capped at TCU favored by -2.5 to 3 points over the Lobo's... New Mexico was one of my favorite teams last year to wager on, especially at home in THE PIT, but this year's team leaves a ton to be desired, the talent has dropped off big time and even worse this team lacks heart... 2-4 on the road this year and a .500 record in MWC play this season... Hard fighting, perhaps overachieving TCU 4-1 in the MWC and a 9-5 ATS record has made them a somewhat of a bankroll buddy this year for their backers... series history really stands out here for me as a New Mexico bettor over the years... the last 3 trips the Lobo's have made to play the Horn Frogs these were the results....
1/15/08 TCU 74-72 line TCU +3.5 wins outright
3/6/07 TCU 62-54 line TCU +4.5 wins outright
1/3/07 TCU 64-52 line TCU +2.5 wins outright
Today's game with a much improved TCU +2.5 once again getting points against a New Mexico team who is no where near as good as last years team who failed in a similiar road situation like this is just very hard to believe... I'am tempted to bet the ML here but will keep the +2.5 for added insurance, but would not be the least bit surprised to see TCU take this game outright... Hopefully all goes to plan and I can push our profits for the week up to over 13 Units for the week!!! As always take care and God Bless! TBO
Bonus*
Since I already took some time studying these games, here were my other 2 leans that I had in college hoops for those interested in researching the games and possibly playing them, let me know what you guys think:
George Mason +6.5... should be a tight game in a battle for CAA supremecy!
UMASS -4... has scored 100+ points in 2 straight home games against LaSalle, and should be hungry after blowing 8 point lead against Charlotte...
Let's get'em today guys!!! TBO