If you follow MLB odds at all,
you’ve probably heard this chant at a game:
“OVER-RATED! CLAP-CLAP, CLAP-CLAP-CLAP.”
They tantalize you with their gaudy minor league
numbers, magical rookie seasons or colorful personalities. Maybe they lead you
astray at the sportsbook
too. It’s time for those betting online to get revenge on the most overrated
players in baseball betting by nailing their names to this top-10 list.
Without further ado, let’s review the most
overrated players in MLB odds today.
10. Jeff
Francoeur – outfielder, Atlanta Braves
His cannon arm and quick bat earned him the nickname
“the Natural” and landed him on the cover of Sports Illustrated as a rookie, but it’s been all downhill since
then. I don’t care how toolsy you are, Jeff – you can’t hit a breaking ball.
You strike out four times as often as
you walk.
9. Troy Tulowitzki
– shortstop, Colorado Rockies
This one pains me, as I really love him as a
player both offensively and defensively, but he’s getting too much mileage out
of one good season. If he really wants to help the Rockies odds, he better
raise that .205 average this MLB betting season.
8. Billy
Butler – designated hitter, Kansas City Royals
As Dmitri Young once proved, being fat doesn’t
automatically make you a power hitter. Scouts slobber all over Butler because
of his gaudy minor league numbers, but the kid has 21 career homers in 242
games. Are we baseball betting fans supposed to be impressed?
7. Delmon
Young – outfielder, Minnesota Twins
The former top prospect in baseball is heading the
way of his aforementioned brother – looking more portly by the day, playing
poor defense and doing very little with the bat. His career high for homers is
13 – not what you expect from a guy many MLB betting pundits dubbed a “future
Hall-of-Famer” before he’d seen a major league pitch.
6. Joel
Zumaya – relief pitcher, Detroit Tigers
A 103-MPH fastball doesn’t help the Tigers odds
much when the guy who throws it spends more time in the infirmary than most
doctors. Need we discuss the Guitar Hero injury
again?
5. Daisuke
Matsuzaka – starting pitcher, Boston Red Sox
Dice-K is a good example of how being overrated
doesn’t have to mean being a bad ballplayer. He can definitely pitch, but he’s
fallen short of his “Second Coming of Nolan Ryan” expectations. The bottom
line: he nibbles too much, trying to strike every guy out. I’ll give him
respect when he starts going more than six innings per start.
4. Carlos
Zambrano – starting pitcher, Chicago Cubs
I love the emotional Big Z and he’s a good
contributor to the Cubs odds at the sportsbook,
but Cy Young he ain’t. His stuff is just filthy, but he can’t hit the plate to
save his life. He has two 100-walk
seasons in his career already!
3. Kosuke
Fukudome – outfielder, Chicago Cubs
Hit .257 with 10 homers and 58 RBI last year – and
was named a friggin’ All-Star starter. Didn’t bet on that at the damn
sportsbook. What’s that? He tanked in the second half but warranted the
first-half selection? Sorry – I didn’t realize his pre-Break stats (.279, 7 HR,
36 RBI in 90 games) were superior to the snubbed Carlos Lee’s (.301, 21 HR, 76
RBI in 94 games).
2. Francisco
Rodriguez – relief pitcher, New York Mets
Relax. I said RELAX! He’s a dominant pitcher and
he got the save record last year, but he had an absurd number of opportunities.
I’d argue he wasn’t even a top-five closer in MLB betting last year; Mariano
Rivera, Joakim Soria, Brad Lidge, Joe Nathan and Jonathan Papelbon were better.
Few closers walk more guys than K-Rod. He gets it done, but not without giving sportsbook players heart palpitations.
1. Carl
Crawford – outfielder, Tampa Bay Rays
I debated putting him on this list as his luster
is in fact starting to wear off, but we can’t discuss overrated ballplayers in baseball betting picks without
discussing Carl Crawford. The “All-Star” leadoff man has a career on-base
percentage of .331 and he’s only topped 100 runs twice in six full seasons
–bizarre stats for a supposed table setter. To put it in perspective, Rickey
Henderson, to whom some nitwits have equated Crawford in the past, had a .401
career OBP and topped 100 runs five times in his first six full seasons.