For
the casual fan, the NFL is in the offseason season. For the hardcore NFL betting fan,
there is no such thing. The NFL Draft is April 25th and NFL betting sharps
know that this is one of the most important days of the year. Make the right
pick, like the Atlanta Falcons and Baltimore Ravens did last season, and you
have a chance to make the playoffs. Make the wrong pick, like the Detroit Lions
do perennially and you have a chance to be…ahem…the Detroit Lions.
Those
very same kitty cats will be selecting at the top of the 2009 NFL Draft and
after the league’s first ever 0-16 season, there are obviously plenty of holes
to fill. The main question has always been: do you start with a quarterback?
If
that’s the case, sportsbook bettors might expect the Lions to take Matthew
Stafford or Mark Sanchez. Currently, according to odds makers, Stafford is the favorite
at -150. Endzone
betting recently noted that Sanchez would fall into the ‘field’ category at
+250.
If
it’s not a quarterback, many NFL betting
handicappers believe that the next most important position is left tackle, and
conveniently there is a rich class of those in this draft. Among the best
prospects are Baylor’s Jason Smith and Virginia’s Eugene Monroe. Smith is
considered the better talent, although he’s raw, while Monroe is more of the
safe pick. What’s hampering Smith a little bit is his school’s pedigree. There
aren’t that many successful players that have come from Baylor.
Outside
of quarterback and tackle, there a couple of other options for the Lions if
they choose to venture down that route. On defense, they could give their
linebacking corps a boost by adding Wake Forest’s Aaron Curry, who is
considered the best overall talent in the draft by many people. The problem is
that the linebacker position doesn’t impact the game as much as the quarterback
or tackle position, so some people wonder whether that selection deserves
merit. The Lions also traded for linebacker Julian Peterson in the offseason,
so that might alleviate the need to draft Curry. The Lions also have the option
to draft standout wide receiver Michael Crabtree, but given their history of
drafting wide receivers, they might want to pass.
The
Lions have spent Top 10 picks on Charles Rogers, who is currently in jail, Mike
Williams, who is no longer in the NFL, and Roy Williams, who the team traded
away last season. They also have Calvin Johnson, who was a can’t-miss prospect
they drafted two years ago, and who should be among the best wideouts in the
game very shortly.
Crabtree
is a unique talent and clearly the best receiver in this draft. But he also has
a stress fracture in his foot and teams haven’t had the chance to fully work
him out and test his speed. NFL betting fans know
that it can be dangerous to solely rely on a player’s college performance,
especially a player like Crabtree who played in a pass-happy system at Texas
Tech.
When
the Lions come to the podium on April 25th, expect them to do the
logical thing and that would be to draft a quarterback. At that point, it will
be their preference of Stafford or Sanchez, but look for Stafford to be the top
pick in the 2009 NFL Draft.