Offshore sportsbook sharps who wager on futures
have to keep a close eye on the oddsmakers throughout each season of every
sport. In the NHL, for example, the top-five Stanley Cup favorites get shuffled
every week as teams get hot and cold. Here’s a look at the current top five at
most books.
1. Pittsburgh
Penguins (+500)
BOOM: They’re the defending champs, so it doesn’t
take a rocket scientist to know they have excellent hockey odds. Any team
with Sidney Crosby and Evgeni Malkin will compete every season; it also helps
that Marc-Andre Fleury has established himself as a big-game goalie. And does
any team get more from its checking forwards than Pittsburgh does?
BUST: It’s the Crosby/Malkin show but Pittsburgh’s
offensive depth isn’t great. An injury to either of the Dynamic Duo would
almost certainly derail the Pens’ Cup hopes, especially since they compete with
some deep offensive teams in the East.
2. Detroit
Red Wings (+500)
BOOM: I have to be honest – I think the oddsmakers
are mistaken here. The Wings are the top favorites for the same reason the
Patriots were in NFL betting at the start of the season: pedigree.
Detroit wins or contends every season, so people expect them to be there come
June.
BUST: Factoring in Johan Franzen’s serious knee injury,
four of Detroit’s top six goal scorers from last season are gone, as Marian
Hossa, Jiri Hudler and Mikael Samuelsson bolted for free agency. Pavel Datsyuk
and Henrik Zetterberg can’t do it all on their own, especially since they take
on so much defensive responsibility.
3. San Jose
Sharks (+600)
BOOM: If you’re the type who gets swayed by the
flashing lights of slot machines in a casino, you’re probably all over the
Sharks right now, as Dany Heatley’s early-season numbers are eye-popping. The
Sharks will score a lot, prevent a lot of goals and win tons of regular-season
games.
BUST: Come crunch time, the Sharks still don’t
have many proven winners on their roster. Evgeni Nabokov became a sieve against
the Ducks last April and Joe Thornton disappears more than David Copperfield
come playoff time. Sadly for Sharks fans, Heatley has a similar track record.
He did have 22 points in 20 games during the Sens’ Stanley Cup run in 2007 but
he had just seven goals after topping 50 in the regular season.
4. Chicago
Blackhawks (+700)
BOOM: The Hawks are young, fast and perhaps deeper
than any team in the Western Conference. They’re far more than just Patrick
Kane and Jonathan Toews. Supporting forwards like Patrick Sharp, Kris Versteeg
and Dustin Byfuglien are important parts of the offense and the Hawks have a
phenomenal young blueline quartet in Duncan Keith, Brent Seabrook, Cam Barker
and Brian Campbell. Did I mention they still have Marian Hossa waiting in the
wings?
BUST: It’s safe to say Chicago shed the
“inexperience” tag last year after reaching the conference final, but
goaltending is a question mark. Cristobal Huet may not be cut out for full-time
duty.
5. Washington
Capitals (+700)
BOOM: Goals, goals and more goals! I’m betting management
giggles with glee when it sees its on-ice product, which may be the most
exciting in the NHL. Alexander Ovechkin, Alexander Semin and Nicklas Backstrom
are simply dazzling offensively. The Caps are still probably the NHL’s most
explosive attackers.
BUST: Among the top contending sports picks,
the Caps are easily the least balanced team. They lack depth on defense after
Mike Green, and even Green functions more like a freelancing fourth forward
than a D-man. The Caps also lack a clear-cut No. 1 goalie unless one of Jose
Theodore and Semyon Varlamov asserts himself.