BigEastExpert's Blog

NFLX Week 3 Betting Strategies

By BigEastExpert | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, August 24, 2010 08:22 PM   46 comments

What to look for in week 3:

This is the week that most teams will have a dress rehearsal for the regular season. Keep in mind that week 4 is usually (completely) meaningless and is all about avoiding injuries and resting starters. So week 3 is the last good chance to use solid handicapping skills and make some money before the real season starts.

As usual, check in with local web pages, news reports and official sites to get the coach's game plan, injury reports and the QB rotation. Typically you will see starters going for the entire 1st half - sometimes even into the 3rd quarter.

Some coaches want to win in week 3. Check the past history of current coaches in week 3 of the preseason.

Based on offensive starters getting more playing time we're likely to see more points scored for good offensive teams. (Read here: Arizona does not make this list!) You'll see that some totals set a bit higher than in weeks 1 & 2.

General betting strategies will include:

Teams that want to win (play 1st half lines ATS).

Higher scoring in certain situations - play over 1H and full game as appropriate.

Time to get to work.  Some key stats and official plays will be forthcoming for consideration as we handicap week 3 of NFLX.

I'll be looking for 4 - 5 solid plays this week that fit the profile.

Good luck this week.

46 comments
comment Post A Comment
BigEastExpert says:
08/24/10 08:27PM

First potential play:

New England - full game and 1H.

 

 

import says:
08/24/10 08:29PM

Yup...NE 28 STL 7  
BURG2VEGAS says:
08/24/10 08:30PM

im leaning

wsh depending on mcnabb status

cowboys all day

cincy

seattle

BURG2VEGAS says:
08/24/10 08:31PM

im leaning

wsh depending on mcnabb status

cowboys all day

cincy

seattle

BURG2VEGAS says:
08/24/10 08:33PM

 

ne always tough su and ats in last home game

FadeOnly says:
08/24/10 08:52PM
Good luck, BEE!
BCC2281258014346A7ABDD8CC13A3D56 says:
08/24/10 09:15PM
IT LOOKS LIKE MCNABB IS OUT
tiasman says:
08/24/10 09:26PM
Good tips, thanks BIG E.


Travel2GetCash says:
08/24/10 09:41PM
2169 says:
08/24/10 09:48PM
dl36 says:
08/25/10 04:22AM


This is great advice as I am new to NFL preseason... the week mentality makes 100% sense...

When say two RBs are battling it out, do you see this as a good opportunity as you will be seeing two possible starters playing double the amount of time that you would get from one first team RB?
rickster2312 says:
08/25/10 04:45AM
luky_kyle says:
08/25/10 05:57AM
TampaTony says:
08/25/10 09:18AM
I really like NE for the blow out.
K4ngur13 says:
08/25/10 09:26AM
lickittysplit says:
08/25/10 09:38AM
this is just so wrong.  u  can make picks any week
K4ngur13 says:
08/25/10 11:39AM


anybody can make picks any week.  can you win smartass?
taipan57 says:
08/25/10 12:46PM

Thanks!
Ducati says:
08/25/10 01:01PM
smallbet07 says:
08/25/10 05:09PM
Thanks Bee.  I's so nice of sharing your strategies.  BOL as always
nbafan88 says:
08/25/10 05:28PM
like the over in green bay?
gamer63 says:
08/25/10 05:29PM
BigEastExpert says:
08/25/10 06:03PM

Locking in:

New England 1st half -5.5

BigEastExpert says:
08/25/10 08:14PM

Sure you can...but look at the title of the thread...

Good luck this week.

MEaazy says:
08/25/10 10:40PM
Damn my book doesnt have the 1st half lines out yet..... Fuuuuckkk
scalabrine says:
08/25/10 11:21PM

Good info that betting neophytes need to hear and gambling degenerates need to be reminded of... 
houguy28 says:
08/26/10 12:07AM
Thanks Bro...
kaponofor3 says:
08/26/10 10:41AM
Quality stuff, BEE. Keep up the good work
Louis_IV says:
08/26/10 05:03PM
baskets4money says:
08/26/10 07:02PM
BigEastExpert says:
08/26/10 06:07PM

Good luck guys.

Looks like the 1H line has been bet up to -6.5 with juice!

I was locked in yesterday @ -5.5 (-110).

Looking for a value play in the other Thursday game. More in a bit.

BigEastExpert says:
08/26/10 06:51PM

IMO anything under 7 1H should be safe...but it is the preseason...

6.5 is still out there...

Good luck.

BigEastExpert says:
08/26/10 09:10PM

That play did not work out.

0-1 so far in week 3.

 

BigEastExpert says:
08/27/10 05:19PM
So after day 1 of NFLX week 3 we have:

A boatload of overs (1st half, 2nd half and full game - 6 over plays in total cashed!). Offenses were in full gear. Starters went for the full first half and into the 3rd. And in the case of NE, into the 4th!

1 home fave and 1 road dog.

We'll keep tracking as the week goes on...

BigEastExpert says:
08/27/10 05:22PM
So after day 1 of NFLX week 3 we have:

A boatload of overs (1st half, 2nd half and full game - 6 over plays in total cashed!). Offenses were in full gear. Starters went for the full first half and into the 3rd. And in the case of NE, into the 4th!

1 home fave and 1 road dog.

We'll keep tracking as the week goes on...

scubedoo18 says:
08/26/10 07:01PM
100% on board  got it early yesterday at -5
PGram13 says:
08/26/10 06:40PM

I agree totaly BigE! Also with NE, and should be an easy W tonight! BOL FRIEND! PG  

PGram13 says:
08/26/10 06:41PM
     GOOD CALL scal! 
longthedragon19 says:
08/26/10 06:24PM
yo BEE goodluck tonite!  and what do you think about 1st half NE -7 (-110)
longthedragon19 says:
08/26/10 06:25PM
YO BEE GL tonite  what do you think about 1h NE -7 (-110)
Swoop says:
08/26/10 09:20PM


Feel for the 2nd half?
TREE88 says:
08/26/10 08:07PM

GL tonight buddy!

Manning +4 for me tonight.

Jordan032503 says:
08/26/10 07:19PM
go PATS!!   GL  BEE
BOUNTYHOUNTER says:
08/26/10 07:31PM
20-Diamond says:
08/26/10 05:13PM
Good luck sir !
Bearcats1 says:
08/26/10 07:35PM
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User: BigEastExpert
Joined: January 2006
Location: United States
Team: West Virginia Mountaineers
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