BigWhitt's Blog

YPPT Method w/ 3 Category System

By BigWhitt | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, November 12, 2009 12:25 PM   47 comments
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BigWhitt says:
11/12/09 12:29PM

Well since it looks like VG

has gone NBA on us just use this site that has very comparable

predictions and some great betting tools and graphs!  www.cfbtn.com   Once on the site click on MATRIX PICKS on the right for a printable list of the scores.  Then try this.....

I'll let ya in on my little strategy I have been using.  After I get

all the predicted scores I then figure in the spreads and get the

winners along with their margin of victories over the spread and I list

them in order from 1- whatever. Then I break lets say the top 15 games

down in three categories.  

1). teams getting points that the sytem has WINNING OUTRIGHT.
2.) Teams getting points that the system has COVERING. and
3). Teams favored to win that the system has COVERING.  

I

have had superb results with categories 1 and 2. Category 3 has been

about effective as the system, one week great, one week zilch!

Now

REMEMBER....

I have only been using about the top 15-20 teams with the

best margin of victory for this system! One week you may have 8 teams

in Cat 1 and 2 and the next 4. Try it, Bet everyone gets a new

outlook at the system!  Let me know what you think!!



locitup1time says:
11/12/09 12:31PM
great job man...let's kill it this week.  I'll help any way that i can.  Later on
peanutt612 says:
11/12/09 12:37PM
DaBoyz2009 says:
11/12/09 12:46PM
I'm with you on alot of these games...  Great work brother....Keep it up
gloom8doom says:
11/12/09 01:16PM

BigWhitt,  Glad you came to the party, happier still you decided to throw one at your place. I think the (system) that roughshod31 started and VGPOP helped along is a very good one but one that needs tweaked every few games. I am very computer illiterate and do not know how to make a spreadsheet to make it easier for me. I do know that in pro sports you usually have a somewhat capable backup in case of injury, while in college that is not always the case. I wish VGPOP would think twice about going to NBA only and use the spreadsheet and stats that he has for  maybe the last 3 games for college football teams played. Maybe someone else has the knowledge to do this and would be able to share with us these #'s and results trying this. It appears roughshod31 is perhaps doing this. Lastly I realize most of this should have probably been posted in VGPOP's forum but again, my capabilities on the computer are minimal and I do not wish to write this again. Again, thanks BigWhitt.

 

 

ILL says:
11/12/09 01:33PM
so what are the plays for this weekend?
nhanweezy says:
11/12/09 04:10PM
I think I was the one that posted this link in the orignial YPPT thread.. I warn you that some of the numbers are not accurate and YOU NEED TO CAP THE GAMES YOURE BETTING ALSO!
roughshod31 says:
11/12/09 06:04PM

I want to wish everyone good luck and let those who care that I am still using the original thread in systems & strategies.

Roughshod31

BigWhitt says:
11/12/09 09:48PM


Super! When I get your scores I will use them as well!!!   I will be posting my results from the CFBTN site scores in just a few!!
ILL says:
11/12/09 10:29PM
DaBoyz2009 says:
11/12/09 10:34PM

Rough-

 

Awesome your still going forward....the system works and has proven a sucessful method for capping games......keep it up man!

BigW-

I think it's great there are two systems....keep posting your picks.....the more tools for capping the better the ability to cap.

 

GL

BigWhitt says:
11/12/09 10:58PM
Ok here we go!! Using the scores from the CFBTN site,

Category 1
Team            Spread       MOV    (Margin of Victory)
Nebraska         +3.5        +12.5
Fres. St.           +7          +12
Tennessee        +5          +7
Tulane              +5          +7
Marshall           +3           +5

Category 2
Stanford          +10.5        +7.5
Indiana            +25           +7
Tex A&M         +20           +7
Iowa                +17           +7
Idaho               +31           +6
San Jose St.    +13          +6
AZ St.             + 18         +4

Category 3
Cincy             - 8.5           +6.5
Kentucky        - 3             +6
Clemson         -8              +5
Pitt                 -6.5           +4.5
Houston          -4              +4.5
Temple            -4             +4

Went a little deeper than usual on Cat 3 just because I personally like them. Notice that the would be NO PLAYS as we usually have played. ** Dont go too deep into each Category unless you feel comfortable with them, NCAA has been good but not near as good as NFL. I personally like almost all of the picks I have posted this week. Now I will research these games and decide if I want to cap any of them.   GL!!!!! 

paintguy says:
11/12/09 11:17PM

 Bigwhitt is the margin of victory what you have the listed teams winning by? or covering the spread by?  For istance cat 3 cincy -8.5 mov +6.5--- so does your system have them winning by 14 or 2?

i like a lot of your picks

BigWhitt says:
11/12/09 11:25PM
paper_chaser says:
11/12/09 11:28PM
Whats the record on these so far ??
paintguy says:
11/12/09 11:33PM

looks good....loving cincy, tenn, fresno, and houston.

Another question if you dont mind just to clarify,

for instance in cat 2 you have idaho getting +31 and mov +6 so do you think idaho looses by 25 or are you saying they ?? and iowa +17 are you saying they loose but cover by 7? so loose game by 10 but cover by 7?

I like it looks good and glad its been working for you. Hopes for a solid week

nobs says:
11/12/09 11:55PM
Hey Whitt is there any place I can get similar information on the NFL
locitup1time says:
11/13/09 12:15AM

 

Please keep posting your plays man.  Now that VGPOP isn't posting the predicted scores we really need you to come through for all of us wanting to still follow during the rest of the year.  It would be smart to compare your plays to the one WHITT came up with!  One favor....Please post your plays a bit earlier on Saturday AM if possible.  Last Saturday it was posted 10 minutes before 12:00 and many of us had allready locked up our games thinking you weren't going to post.  I know you did very well and you aren't obligated to do anything but I think I speak for most when I say it would be greatly appreciated.  Here's to a great weekend!!!!

nobs says:
11/13/09 12:21AM
Big Whitt I was looking at the Category 1 and see that you have Nebraska as #1 but they are favored by 4.5 at 5 dimes, is it still a play.
BigWhitt says:
11/13/09 01:05AM


To be honest Paper, The NCAA games have been up and down...BUT I will say that by me breaking them down this way I have done considerably better than the System as a whole. I have basically sorted out the best of the best. I have good luck on picking 2 teamers and I LOVE taking points with a strong team that the system has winning OUTRIGHT!
BigWhitt says:
11/13/09 01:11AM



EXACTLY!!  Im simply using the scores from the CFBTN site and adding in the spread. I personally havent changed or PREDICTED anything...Im still letting the system do the work. I hate to say it but Id really like to do the same thing with Roughshods scores but unfortunately I will be travelling to the Cincy game Friday then to the Marshall game Saturday and doubt if I find the time to do so. It will be real simple for everyone to do on their own though, its basic math..lol. But as u will see, the scores are eerily similar.
BigWhitt says:
11/13/09 01:21AM


Not that I have found so far. I am still relying on Roughshods NFL posts for now. I cleaned house last weekend in the NFL. In Cat 1 & 2 this method was 7-1-1 by my bookie...the only loss was the MNF game and I took Pitt anyways and went 8-0-1. If you dont believe me here were my results...

Cat 1
SD, Dallas, KC, Den(loss)

Cat 2
Hou, Mia (Push), Ari, Cin, Det

Cat 3

DONT ASK!!!!      1-3  NO, ATL (win), GB, SF
BigWhitt says:
11/13/09 01:25AM


MOST DEFINITELY.....+12 gives you lots of room to play with no matter which way the line moves. Do a LITTLE homework though and try to cap your games.
ILL says:
11/13/09 02:07AM
i really think you need to throw out that iowa game, stanzi is out and you have no stats on the backup

and if you watched the back up last week he looked like this
BigWhitt says:
11/13/09 03:30AM


I see your point but Iowa has an outstanding defense. If their offense could produce 10 points in this one I think 17 points will be hard for OSU to cover.. Iowa has held their last 23 opponents to under their season average. In this case, 30. Their defense has allowed an average of 16 points per game. So for argument sake, if Iowa can have an average DEFENSIVE day, lets give OSU say...27 points. NOW, are you willing to take the chance that Iowa cant or wont score 10 points? Wisc, ILL, and Purdue all scored 10 points on OSU!!  Im not so sure if I can do it! Too many other ways to score in a football game.   GL though!!
kingpin81 says:
11/13/09 04:07AM


IOWA'S DEFENSE WILL DEFINITELY KEEP THIS ONE CLOSE AND OSU HAS A WAY OF KEEPING THIS CLOSE.

OSU WINS BUT DOES NOT COVER!!
BigWhitt says:
11/13/09 04:16AM
SORRY!!!
Sorry all, somehow when I entered the spreads in to my Excel I put Nebraska as the underdog and not the favorite.....This moves them from Cat1 to Cat3. At least I caught it!!!

Category 1
Team            Spread       MOV    (Margin of Victory)
Fres. St.           +7          +12
Tennessee        +5          +7
Tulane              +5          +7
Marshall           +3           +5

Category 2
Stanford          +10.5        +7.5
Indiana            +25           +7
Tex A&M         +20           +7
Iowa                +17           +7
Idaho               +31           +6
San Jose St.    +13          +6
AZ St.             + 18         +4

Category 3
Cincy              - 8.5          +6.5
Kentucky        - 3             +6
Nebraska         -3.5          +5.5   *** Corrected***
Clemson         -8              +5
Pitt                 -6.5           +4.5
Houston          -4              +4.5
Temple            -4             +4



K4ngur13 says:
11/13/09 02:03PM


Ohio St wins by 10 and the Under looks good as well.
Scruff79 says:
11/13/09 03:11PM
Thanks a million BigWhitt.  Best of luck! 
goallinebob says:
11/13/09 03:26PM

hey Big ran thru #'s and should't these teams fall into your cat 1 too all Dogs listed as su winners with your other plays,,,,

Fla State

Duke

Missouri

 

paper_chaser says:
11/14/09 12:44AM
fresno looks like its the strongest play, but I'm not sure if they can stop that potent nevada rushing attack.
ILL says:
11/17/09 02:43PM
is there a matrix for NFL?
topperchris says:
11/17/09 12:55PM
roughshod31 says:
11/14/09 10:43AM

Todays System Plays are up in the original thread in systems and strategies.

GL

tom-jerry says:
11/17/09 10:24PM

wed pick

buf-4

total 25/20/ u

cmch-14.5

total 29/12 / gl to all

BigWhitt says:
11/19/09 12:25AM
***************             Started a new thread in Systems and Strategies so I can post the NFL and NCAA together...... Same thread name...See ya there!!!
BigWhitt says:
11/15/09 04:20AM
Here are the NFL Predictions. Scores come from ROUGHSHODS system posted by JESS.

Den@Was 28-6
Buf@Ten 19-21
NO@StL 54-9
Cin@Pit 21-16
Jac@NYJ 12-32
Det@Min 19-40
TB@Mia 14-50
Atl@Car 30-16
KC@Oak 16-14
Phi@SD 25-28
Dal@GB 31-21
Sea@Arz 17-27
NE@Ind 21-15
Bal@Cle 31-9

Cat 1
Team     Spread    MOV
Cin            +7         +12
NE            +3         +9
KC            +3         +3

Cat 2
Buff          +9          +7
Sea          +10        +10

Cat 3
NO           -13.5      +32
Mia           - 10       +26
Den          -3          +19
NYJ          -6          +14
ATL          -1           +13
Dal           -3           +7
Minn         -16.5      +5
SD           -1           +2

WOW!!!!! Look how many System PLAYS this week.  I personally like every play on the board except SEA and SD. KC-Oak game scares the hell out of  me too!     GL!!!
BigWhitt says:
11/15/09 04:23AM



   OOPS!!!!!!
BigWhitt says:
11/17/09 01:20AM
NFL Category 1 for last two weeks........

6-1

Only loss was Denver last Monday Night!! 

Its working people!!!  Now we just have to work on the rest of the games!
BigWhitt says:
11/14/09 03:26AM


According to the scores I got from CFBTN....
Fla St. was Cat 2
Duke was Cat 2  barely
Missouri was a PUSH Cat 3
BigWhitt says:
11/14/09 03:26AM


I hear ya Paper!
gamer63 says:
11/17/09 04:49PM
Great job BigW keep it going
cchsvikes1 says:
11/17/09 01:57PM
category 3.... 2-6... YESSSS!!!
Ice4Blood says:
11/17/09 12:34PM
not bad! 
BandosWB says:
11/14/09 09:52AM
Auburn was 4 points off as well, but CFBTN had that game as a tie 32-32.  Seems to basically fit cat 1.
DaBoyz2009 says:
11/17/09 12:05PM
like it so far
nautic says:
11/17/09 05:22AM
wow im amazed, looks good bigwhitt
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User: BigWhitt
Joined: January 2008
Location: West Virginia
Team: New York Giants
Occupation: Law Enforcement

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