BigdaddyQH's Blog

Posted Tuesday, August 25, 2009 08:24 AM

What is Going On at Michigan?

According to CBS Sports,  Rich Rodreguez has decided to play all three QB's in the Western Michigan game.  That, in itself, is not a big deal, but this statement is.  RR said that people should not assume that the QB that handles the first snap is necessairily the #1 QB.  He says that at this time, he does not have a #1 QB. 
 
That should be enough to raise all kinds of red flags in their game against Western Michigan.  If he plans to rotate QB's in game 1, look for a bunch of proceedure calls against Michigan.  I have never been a fan of rotating QB's, and when you put three QB's into the mix, that just makes things worse.
 
This statement makes it seem as if RR has no idea if what is going on with his QB situation.  The fact that he was seeking yet another QB this summer indicates that no matter what he says, he is not happy with the three QB's he has now.  To me, this definately puts Michigan in the "don't play on" catagory until things get straightened out, which will probably take a few weeks.  My future wager of Notre Dame -2.5 at Michigan in week 2 is looking a lot stronger now.
 
Thoughts?


Posted Thursday, August 06, 2009 12:40 PM

What to Look For From your Book

I had dinner with an executive from major hotel in Las Vegaslast night.  We were discussing football, and what the books will do this year.  Here is part of what he had to say.   He said that the economy is going to hit the books hard this year.  Because of that, look for more line changes than normal because the books are not going to be able to pass off action if the wagers become to one-sided, like they did last year.  The books will make more of an effort to get as close to a 50/50 split than they have in previous years, and that means more line movement.   He said that while there may not be a huge difference in wagering lines in Vegas, the offshore books may be different.  They are not nearly as coordinated or as big as the Vegas books, so you may see a bigger difference in lines at various offshore books.  If you can divest, and spread your action over several books that can be trusted, you will be able to shop for lines.   He also suggested that lines should be played as early as possible (as in Sunday afternoon or evening, depending on where you reside) and as late as possible (meaning an hour or less before game time) to be able to detect line movements, avoid the "tricks of the trade" (lead lines, bait and switches, etc...) and look for possible middles.   That is the sum of what he suggested.  Good luck to all this season.... [More]

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