BlackCat's Blog

BLACKCAT THURS 58-34

By BlackCat | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, November 03, 2011 10:32 AM

47 comments

1-0 YESTERDAY
Miami+4
season 58-34

GONNA HAVE A FEW PLAYS TODAY

PLAY
BC+14.5
-line is down from 15.5, and i've seen 14, i was able to get the hook....

leans (not plays as of yet)
CF-1.5
-line opened at even, cf -1.5, got to do some research on this game

AKRON+14
-public is pounding miami ohio, akron a 2 td road dog, might be a no play

any insight on any of these games would be great....

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Jim_Tressel says:

11/03/11 10:45AM

BC is a 2TD plus underdog for a reason. Points seem to easy especially with the way BC slows a game down. I see Florida St. scoring a couple times on special teams and defense. Don't see how BC moves the ball with any consistency. I went with Florida St. -14

Public is not pounding Miami Ohio, just read through the forum to see that. Most likely won't bet the game but if I did would be on Miami Oh

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 10:48AM

I've looked at 2 different action sites, and both have the public on miami oh, at 70%

Like i said probly a no play for me either

good luck with fsu

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 10:54AM

78% on 10,737 bets for Miami

shark_apreza says:

11/03/11 10:59AM

Akron is just dreadfull, and mia-oh is not an offensive juggernaut, maybe the under might come in handy

UCF has nice deffensive statistics on paper, but the truth is they have faced bootom feeders and any as for me any team that loses to UAB is worst than rat shit, UAB is just god awfull, and dont take into account what UCF did to memphis, memphis is like a high school team from a god forsaken town , just rubbish---- i would lean the over here or Tulsa

Jim_Tressel says:

11/03/11 11:00AM

I don't want to get into an argument about it but trust those sites at your own peril.

I use the forum at covers.com, and been doing so for quite a few years. This site will give you an accurate representation of what the "public" is really betting.

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 11:04AM

youve got to be joking. You figure the forum at covers is a way to tell what the public is betting? You really have no clue what your talking about and obviously have never tailed sharp money....

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 11:06AM

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 11:12AM

Will be on Colorado tomorrow, line is at 21, anyone see this line dropping under the key number?

i seen it as high as 22 earlier this week, with 83% public on usc, you would think it would be going the other way...

Colorado is awful, but this is a good spot to take them.

Either way ill be on Colorado+ 3 td's

222bad says:

11/03/11 11:12AM

Not sure where you're getting those openers, but I'm seeing that UCF opened -3 and it's been bet down to the -1 1/2 it's at now. Also seeing that Mia O opened at 16 1/2 and has been steadily been bet down to the 14 it sits at now. I never saw 15 1/2 in the BC / FSU game, but it seems to be staying put at the -14 it's at right now. Two favs and the small dog for me. BOL

Jim_Tressel says:

11/03/11 11:14AM

yeah you're right, not sure what I was thinking.

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 11:15AM

Through almost 9000 bets line has stayed consistent. I have it at 83% USC. This could be a hangover effect or sharp. I would wait for the bets to keep coming in maybe squeak out another point.

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 11:51AM

"Through almost 9000

bets line has stayed consistent. I have it at 83% USC. This could be a

hangover effect or sharp. I would wait for the bets to keep coming in

maybe squeak out another point."

Pokerprog- I agree, bad spot for USC, short week, big favorite, got all the public perception after almost taking down stanford in triple ot.....

hope to get 22 tomorrow, i doubt it comes off the 21, and if not colorado is the play

D-Town says:

11/03/11 12:28PM

smallbet07 says:

11/03/11 12:36PM

BOL today bud

andreagassi6969 says:

11/03/11 12:54PM

DERDATIZ73 says:

11/03/11 02:05PM

BlackCat, Which sites do you use to track line movement? I really can't understand what Tressel was/is saying.

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 03:13PM

sportsinsights.com is the best hands down. A bit pricey tho

I called and got a year package for 15

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 03:13PM

What do you use blackcat?

TheDrizzle77 says:

11/03/11 03:18PM

Christ, I'm glad at least somebody gives charity to that site.

Next time you want to waste money on a year package, shoot it my way and I'll hawk off some random numbers you can digest.

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 03:21PM

Hahahahah yea such a rip off. Im such an idiot. That so much money too. The numbers are not even real.

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 03:23PM

Douche- It may not matter to you and your 50 dollar bets. But all info available including line movements and percentages is acceptable in my world...

MoPinkie says:

11/03/11 03:30PM

anyone who believes the %'s they see should stop betting...the fact people bet based on them is why they are put out...false info disseminated creates confusion and edge for the books...

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 03:35PM

You are wrong. Casears releases the number and percentage the day after an event. Match up up to 4% error tho-

Jim_Tressel says:

11/03/11 03:37PM

Refer to posts #20 and #23...but especially #20

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 03:42PM

Jim Tressel. You maybe the dumbest person in here. You get what side the public is betting from the covers forum's.

That has got to be the dumbest statement I have read in awhile.

Am sure the books love you. I dont think someone can afford line tracking...... or its not worth it for your small ass bets.

I may be 19-20-1 but im still in the hilton contest you cunt. My bet slips bigger than your mortgage.

Jim_Tressel says:

11/03/11 03:44PM

No way dude my bet slip is way bigger than your bet slip

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 03:46PM

Your a clown and have no clue what sharp betting is and how to read it form the line movement.

SportsFreak69 says:

11/03/11 03:52PM

Best of Luck

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 03:55PM

Its not what I base my picks off solely. But its just another added piece of info that shouldn't go unnoticed.

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 04:01PM

thats what i use....great site

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 04:04PM

wow the thread is out of control

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 04:34PM

Lets get back to the games at hand....

updating my picks for tonight

1-0 YESTERDAY
Miami+4

season 58-34

TONIGHT ALL FOR 2 UNITS
BC+14.5
UNDER 46
CF-2
UNDER 49

GOOD LUCK TO ALL....

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 04:36PM

ALSO JUST GRABBED

COLORADO +21 FOR 2 UNITS

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 04:36PM

I DIDN'T THINK IT WOULD DROP ANYMORE, GUESS I WAS WRONG, THANKS FOR HEADS UP

BlackCat says:

11/03/11 05:57PM

Good luck

Onthereal says:

11/03/11 04:14PM

is this real life

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 11:14PM

I do have audio post coming soon. Sportadvisors.com

Bought it intuit.... Thanks tho. TULSA CASH

pokerprogy84 says:

11/03/11 11:14PM

Nice hit blackcat

shark_apreza says:

11/03/11 04:29PM

7:00 PM

313	USC	-1200	-20.5-110	o58½-110
314	COLORADO	+800	+20.5-110	u58½-110

raems says:

11/03/11 04:23PM

You guys are all a joke. I'm the best at fading the public, I'm sharp and I fade line moves unbelievably well. My bet slip is just ridiculous compared to all of your bet slips, because I know how to bet. I'm 49-2-0 in the Hilton contest, I just patrol this site to establish dominance over gambling cyberspace.

raems says:

11/03/11 04:28PM

This forum is becoming a bigger embarassment by the day. Too many posters remind me of little children getting in arguments like "Oh yeah, well MY dad is the president of the world!" "Oh yeah, well MINE is the president of the UNIVERSE, beat that!"

dwalla24 says:

11/04/11 12:05AM

Just wondering, what contest are you talking about.

ff99l1 says:

11/03/11 04:48PM

The under is my play on the colorado game, gl ff.

LVTruck says:

11/03/11 11:19PM

I'm Smart 49-2

TheDrizzle77 says:

11/03/11 06:59PM

How do you convert posts on covers to MP3's?

I want pokerprogy84's drugstore psychology- posts in audio so I don't need a sleeping pill tonight.

FadeMePlease says:

11/03/11 04:18PM

Definitely agree with shark. The under is worth taking a look at!

BOL to all of us

FadeMePlease says:

11/03/11 04:19PM

lol @ this quote

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User:	BlackCat
Joined:	November 2006
Location:	Michigan
Team:	Michigan Wolverines
Occupation:	Other

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