Blakejeff's Blog

Temple Owls - Miami Ohio Redhawks Writeup

By Blakejeff | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, November 04, 2009 11:27 PM   61 comments
Record: 23-23-1
Record in Temple games: 7-1

As a longtime Temple fan, I can't believe what's transpired so far this season. The Navy game was impressive but I couldnt help but think why they didnt put eight or nine in the box. Defenses have to eventually realize that Bernard Pierce is the only threat here. Vaughn Charlton has been an awful awful awful quarterback. He's been inaccurate and has thrown a couple of bad interceptions this season and last game alone. The problem is that Chester Stewart, the backup, isnt learning the offense quick enough. He's got raw talent but seems to struggle at times.

The backbone of this team besides Pierce is the defense. They just don't let the run beat them. Unfortunately, that means they get bitten on the passing attack. Their secondary struggles with giving receivers cushions. Anthony Ferla has improved but still needs work. If the Owls ever decided to play press coverage, their defense would be top 30 in the country but until then their gonna get beaten over the top.

Miami Ohio is coming off their two best efforts of the season. They barely lost to NIU and beat Toledo. An offense that started out the season with 71 points in their first seven has scored 53 in their last two games. The Redhawks are doing it thru the air coming off throwing for 344 yards against Toledo. Granted the Rockets defense is pretty bad but the confidence has to be there on their end.

Clearly, the Owls are the better team. There are a couple of factors that play against them though. First, they are coming off a short week after playing Navy and their quirky style. The adjustments have to be made and not much time is there to make them. Second, they are getting more publicity then they ever have. The AP and USA Today top 25 poll votes bring more attention along with the 15 Harris Votes. Both CBS Sportsline and ESPN people were on the MAC conference call with Coach Golden. The team can't read their press clippings and must play well. Finally, bad teams just don't blow teams out. Temple has proven they arent bad but a few mistakes and all of a sudden they spiral back to the old team they were. The Owls are winning this game but it won't be easy.

Prediction: Temple 28-17
61 comments
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TRAIN69 says:
11/04/09 11:32PM

geopackiv says:
11/04/09 11:45PM

Great writeup Jeff. 

I think the Owls step up at home tomorrow and cover.

To me its the safest bet on the board tomorrow

shakey12381 says:
11/04/09 11:50PM
how good would u feel about over 42
UNCforever says:
11/05/09 12:03AM
The only write-up I was looking for all week. My MIA(OH) lean makes me feel a lot better.
luckbythetruck says:
11/05/09 12:22AM

Nice write-up jeff.  And I tend to agree with your final score - just too had to give the Owls 17, tho I would have loved to bet them

Their VG rush defense is going to put them in their first bowl in 30 years. I'm not a "fan" of any team (just of the game) but I'd love to see it.  Al Golden turned down Syracuse job to win a MAC championship. Nice to see a "commuter school" like Temple in a bowl. (Geez, maybe they'll draw their old Big East rival, Rutgers!)

I had then vs N. Illinois, and passed on them (my bad) LW vs Navy.  Tempted this week, and they may blow out what's still a bad Miami OH team. But 2 1/2 tds just too much for me to lay

vpnyc1 says:
11/05/09 01:07AM

Looking to take the over for the half if it's 21. Only one game for Miami (OH) has not gone over that number for the half.

stlvokc says:
11/05/09 01:27AM
Thanks alot for the write up, was leaning Mia +17.5 and this just pushed me over. GL tomorrow and the rest of the week!
IMGN says:
11/05/09 01:51AM

Like how this young Miami team is coming around since Dysert was inserted...they've played a tough sked and have cut down on the turnovers tho they did catch N.Ill and Toledo with qb issues.

Good read Blakejeff    

Blakejeff says:
11/05/09 01:48PM
Thanks fellas. I really hope this is an easy win for the Owls as a fan but I just wonder how they deal with the extra attention this week and adjusting from playing Navy last week.
iSTEALcable says:
11/05/09 02:07PM

damn ......i guess with all this pub the next time i watch temple at the link there will be more than just me and the band in the stands.

GO OWLS

ZIMKID101 says:
11/05/09 02:25PM
  Temple 17.5 is the play dont be fooled by Miami(OH)
Blakejeff says:
11/05/09 02:34PM
That's fine. Go ahead and be on the other side. Good luck to you sir even though I believe your wrong.
ZIMKID101 says:
11/05/09 02:39PM
Blake write me after the game and i will give you a play to recover what you will lose betting the Miami(OH) why would you even put your money on such a team. The season is over for them they cant improve their record none, they have packed it in. watch and learn Vegas is smart
Blakejeff says:
11/05/09 03:02PM
Haha, ok oh boastful one. Just don't disappear if you get it wrong.
JoeFan says:
11/05/09 03:07PM

Great writeup Miami keeps this game close 

tsw says:
11/05/09 03:10PM
I agree can't imagine what it feels like for the Owls to be such big favorites.
NCCapper says:
11/05/09 03:14PM
  Miami is the play tonight.
D-Town says:
11/05/09 03:15PM
Great write-up.  Thanks for the opinion......
PINNACLE says:
11/05/09 03:29PM

I think Koaj and I discussed this a few weeks back, but looking at the history of a program can tell you alot about how they react in certain situations. Temple has not had a lot of success in the past and are now put in a spot where they are overwhelming favorites, a spot they are not familiar with. They have been double digit favs twice this season versus clearly inferior talent ( Ball St. and Army ). They failed to cover the big number versus the Cardinals and came up with a miracle cover vs. the Black Knights.

I'm not sure they are deserving of laying 17.5 to Miami (OH). I think you're very realistic with the margin of victory prediction here. It wouldn't surprise me to see the last possession decide this pointspread winner.

semperfi19 says:
11/05/09 04:03PM

Zimkid 101 posted on an earlier thread that he has 5,000 on the Temple Owls -17 tonight.  That is why he is trying to change your mind. 

I agree with Blake Jeff that teams not used to the extra coverage have a tendency to play flat.  I don't buy the Navy angle but I do think the Miami passing game has improved and may be enough to cover thius inflated line. .

 

 

ZIMKID101 says:
11/05/09 04:25PM

Just wait and see you will all to me after this game is over. Like coach Mike Gundy said "are you kidding me, Im a man I'm 40" are you kidding me on Miami(OH) like all the other teams as the season reaches the end team tend to play better. i will be 5K richer today and i will post tommorow trust me and i will give each one of you a free pick to recover your loses.

HotRoute says:
11/05/09 04:25PM
NDsucker says:
11/05/09 04:31PM
brandisland says:
11/05/09 04:36PM
"Thanks" Blakejeff for the insight on your Temple Owls.  Most of us really do appreciate the effort.  Obviously not all!  Don't know why a capper, thinking opposite, can't provide some good reasoning instead of putting out some useless crap.
DoubleUp4Life says:
11/05/09 04:39PM

Not to toot my own Horn ...

But I do Remember Telling you Before last season , That THIS would be the OWLS year ...

Enjoy every second of the Winning

Rooting for your Boys

ZIMKID101 says:
11/05/09 04:41PM
The problem is that people over analsy stuff
Beechernic says:
11/05/09 05:00PM

KID101 - Do you have any substantial input at all ..... or just "Bow down to Ceiling Cat!"   Grow up Peter Pan, Count Chocula.  Constructive critisism is welcome, but outright blind ignorance helps no one reading.

Like yourself, I'm backing Temple in this position.  I'm reading this thread to educate myself on the otherside.  Just in case I want to hedge off this game.  But then your two cents come in and the thread goes to shit.  Hell, I even think if your backing Temple, and your an idiot, then I must be an idiot too.   Lets not let this happen again.  Cause I dont wanna be an idiot.

chopnbroc says:
11/05/09 05:07PM
 Nice Beech.
PINNACLE says:
11/05/09 05:13PM

I completely agree. We should all make a collective effort to dumb it down in here.

Analsy??

Ouch ! Thats sounds extremely discomforting.

HansMoleman says:
11/05/09 05:16PM
Nice writeup, makes me feel a little better cutting down on my Temple play...still like your Owls to cover 13p but my biggest "play" now is a juicy 4p middle

Hope for a 14-17p win and we all cash in 
angelobruno says:
11/05/09 05:26PM

i agree 100 percent and i been watching this temple squad for rs and they are a very good team this year but laying 17.5 i dont think so . I llove their defense and think theywill win but most likely not cover the number

ZIMKID101 says:
11/05/09 05:36PM
Beechernic , hedging lol then dont fucking bet  just play Temple and thats it trust your instinct at time the problem is the people over analsy. I love Nostradumas  just a little info and he picks games if you reead too much you doubt yourself and lose so just play temple and stop reading post or it will lead to failure.
zmanpga says:
11/05/09 05:51PM

 

DUDE...the last thing anyone with any experience on this board does is listen to a NEWBIE like yourself with your opinion over a LONG TIME, EXPERIENCED, guy like JEFF BLAKE...please...give it up!

see ya after the game if ya show up!! 

 

GREAT WRITE UP !!! and GREAT RECORD 7-1..even if ya lose...your still kickin ASS..keep it up!

zmanpga says:
11/05/09 05:53PM

changing ,y play going with MIAMI O!

Temple 27

Miami Ohio 21

ZIMKID101 says:
11/05/09 05:59PM
zmanpga i will give you a pick also to rocover what you lose tonight
Dowen says:
11/05/09 06:18PM
All hail zimkid
AtlFader says:
11/05/09 06:29PM

Well MiamiOH is highly ranked in these categories

Miami Ohio Ranks

118th Nationally in Scoring Offense  13.78 PPG

107th Nationally in Scoring Defense 33.22 PPG

119th Nationally in Sacks Allowed 4.67 per game

119th Nationally in Net Punting 28.78 Net yards per punt

120th Nationally in Kickoff Returns with 15.42 yards per return

120th Nationally in Turnover Margin at -2.0 per game

Does that count?

 

outlaw96 says:
11/05/09 06:37PM
i hope your score holds true and your OWLS win  just dont go over the 17 points Miami is getting g.l.
Cooler999 says:
11/05/09 07:00PM


How very Touty of you.baby
kewlassht says:
11/05/09 07:10PM

Nice writeup, I really liked Temple tonight bc of how hard they play. I also disagree that they are a one man team on offense. Miami Ohio put points up against a vastly over rated Toledo team (the name just makes people think they score like years past) and a NIU team i think they simply surprised.

Temple will not be stopped on offense at all I believe and Miami Ohio offense returns back to old ways.

Now only thing getting me is putting my bet on same side as moron ZimKid and his advice not to anaylze when betting money on football which is stupidest advice i ever heard. Also your 7-1 temple record is pretty impressive. I just have to pick Temple bc Miami Ohio is one of worst teams in CFB and against a team of Temple Caliber i dont think anyway they can hang. Temple 34-7

kewlassht says:
11/05/09 07:14PM
Oh i also can't put money on a team that dreadful on the road just because they showed signs of an offense in weeks past. GL anyway bro . best of Luck to you!
AtlFader says:
11/05/09 07:27PM
Kewl...... just trust your own judgement
Beechernic says:
11/05/09 08:35PM

KID101 -        Thats great that you're riding Snoop's coat tails, but hedging isnt the worst thing in the world...If I find out the QB is injured or a RB's parent died and wont be at the game.  Then YES it will change my opinion and Ill hedge the other way.  Who wouldnt? 

And YES i acknowledge that ill cough up (at best 10%) on the vig.  But I only bet $50 a game, so I can eat $5 bucks when I think its a good money management decision.  Especially if my "analsy" supports it.....     But maybe I would ride it out too, if I lived a life that afforded me to dropped $5K on a thursday game.  or $7K on a cross sport wednesday parlay.  But I dont, Im a lowly Engineer and can only afford to wager chump change, compared to you.  So since we obviously live in different worlds, of course we have different angles.

Needless to say 14-3 right now.

The_Whitemare says:
11/05/09 10:19PM
Nice write up! This game is looking good 
ScrewWallstreet says:
11/05/09 10:23PM
Nice Call, Blake
tsw says:
11/05/09 10:24PM

Rack him !

 

 

 

Humblepie says:
11/05/09 10:27PM
M/O   gonna win....good pick ZMKID...
djplayer says:
11/05/09 10:28PM
someone forget to mention that their passing D is absolutely Horrid!!!  who gives up 400+ passing yards to MIAMI OHIO??
willowtip says:
11/05/09 10:31PM
awesome write up, thanks for the help!
goatmc says:
11/05/09 10:37PM
What up Zim Kid. Tailed you tonight Blake. Thanks!
bamaprincess says:
11/05/09 10:38PM

 

       

Pat2b27 says:
11/05/09 10:38PM



RedDog54 says:
11/05/09 10:42PM

Hey ZIMKID, I guess you'll need a couple picks to recover from your loss tonite.

5k,  OUCH!   

luckyshades says:
11/05/09 10:45PM

I don't usually gloat at other ppl losing, but when someguy comes in here talking like he is some kind of big player, and guaranteeing his picks, it's pretty funny

Cya next week ZimKid (with a new name I'm sure!!)

george2 says:
11/06/09 06:34AM
great call!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
D-Town says:
11/06/09 07:48AM
zmanpga says:
11/06/09 08:49AM

ZIM KID!!! ZIM KID!!!!

 

ahahahaha

zmanpga says:
11/06/09 08:49AM
JEFF BLAKE!!! GREAT CALL!
snatraps says:
11/06/09 08:53AM
right on the button!
GQStatus says:
11/06/09 01:22PM
u must of lost a bank on that game zim kid, cause all the talk how your were trying to secure that temple as a good bet. i think you should listen to some experts like blake here.
kewlassht says:
11/06/09 04:42PM
great call man!!  i was on wrong side
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User: Blakejeff
Joined: December 2005
Location: Virginia
Team: Philadelphia Eagles
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