Blakejeff's Blog

Temple - UCLA Bowl Preview and the rest of my bowl selections

By Blakejeff | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, December 15, 2009 01:55 AM   36 comments
Before we get into all of the other bowls, let's talk about Temple - UCLA. Personally, I'm stoked about this matchup for multiple reasons...First off, the Bruins are a nice name/test for the Owls to use to go into the 2010 season which could be even bigger for Temple if things bounce right for them. The talking heads on ESPN said that UCLA has the better talent and should easily walk all over the Owls. I just can't see that happening unless Golden is gone. No this Cincinnati opening scares the crap out of me but I can't see him leaving...I just can't.

For those not familiar with the Owls, Temple gets it done on the ground with freshman stud Bernard Pierce and Matt Brown along with Lamar McPherson and a little James Nixon around the edge. Pierce is practicing and should be ready for this. Chester Stewart has been an improvement over Vaughn Charlton as he's slightly more accurate and gives them a threat to run. This offense uses the reverse and the play action pass so well in getting it out to Nixon, Maneri and Campbell.

Defensively, I must say that this defense is perplexing. Their front four/five are outstanding. Adrian Robinson can get to the QB along with Neblett and the rest of the boys up front. Lately they havent been as good getting to the QB though and it's forcing this piss poor secondary to get burned. I've never seen a team run zone coverage worse then Temple does. They cover no one at all. I'm stunned at how poor they are. The linebackers are pretty good as this team hasnt been gouged too badly on the ground.

With regards to UCLA, from what I know about them, they were an under team. Great defense but a piss poor offense. This is a great matchup for Temple as I dont think the Bruins can beat the Owls as badly thru the air. Their QB play is so inconsistent that I can't see it going haywire on us. Defensively of course it's a concern for me as they could bottle up the run and force Temple to pass. Of course other teams have done that too but the Owls managed to still move the ball on them as well.

Intangibles in this one are these....Will Coach Golden be Coaching the Owls? I'd love to think he will but there's a chance he won't. If he's not, who knows what the mindset will be. Attendance will be another intangible. I have a feeling that UCLA fans won't be that thrilled to be in DC on the 29th and who knows if that carries over to the team. Flying east for a relatively early bowl game isn't exactly the best thing for a west coast squad. Finally, the intangible that is Temple in the bigtime...The Eagle Bank Bowl isnt great to most teams but this means a whole lot to these players, this school, this fanbase and everyone involved. Will nerves be a factor? Will the experience of UCLA win out?

Prediction: Your gonna think this is a homer pick...your going to question my thinking....I'm going to take Vegas gift and say thank you as I just think this magical season ends with a win. Could Temple be outclassed and get run out of the building? Sure....I see the game going like this....defensive struggle early on with field position flipping back and forth...Maybe a 7-3 halftime score...Temple's going to win this thing.

Temple 21-17

Other Bowl Game Picks:

St. Petersburg Bowl: Under 44.5 with two good defenses going at it here. The UCF offense is pretty bad. Rutgers is inconsistent but may struggle with UCF.
New Orleans Bowl: Under 58....Two underrated defenses in this one. I really like Dwight Dasher in this one almost enough to take MTSU but I'd rather go total here instead.
Las Vegas Bowl: Oregon State ML...The Beavers are the better team. How much motivation does BYU have to play in this bowl again? Not exactly what the Beavs want either but I'll take this PAC 10 talent over the Mountain West.
Poinsettia Bowl: Utah +3...Utes have won eight straight bowl games. Something about Cal just doesn't sit right with me.
Hawaii Bowl: Over 73.5...Two fun offenses in this one. Kyle Padron has moved in nicely for Bo Levi Mitchell. The balance of Nevada prevents me from taking SMU in this one but I'd lean to the underdog if forced to take a side.
Little Caesar's Pizza Bowl: Ohio ML...Bobcats win behind another solid effort by Theo Scott. Who is going to coach Marshall? Will Darius Marshall be healthy? Neither are questions I want to ask before a bowl game.
Meineke Care Bowl: Under 44.5 -- Two solid defenses. I like UNC to slow down Dion Lewis and force Stull to beat them. The Heels offense has been disappearing way too much this season.
Emerald Bowl: BC +9 -- Gotta question the Trojans motivation for this one. My worry about taking BC is that they dont have the talent to compete with a focused Trojan team. I'm banking that they arent and BC wants it more.
Champs Sports Bowl: Miami ML...Canes win this one with better athletes then Wisky has. Home field will play a factor a bit in this one too.
Humanitarian Bowl: Over 68...Fun game here with two teams that have smoking hot offenses. Idaho's defense tends not to show up in shootouts. This one will be played in the 40's.
Armed Forces Bowl: Houston -4.5...Air Force can't keep up in this one. Sure points will be scored but Case Keenum has a field day.
Sun Bowl: Stanford +8...Another chance for the Cardinal to make a statement to the country. Toby Gerhart will run wild on OU.
Texas Bowl: Over 53...This one will be like the SMU or Hawaii games. Navy can't stop the balance of Missou while the Tigers struggle with the Naval attack.
Chick Fil-A Bowl: VT ML...If the Hokies don't blow out Tennessee, i'll be disappointed. VT is head and shoulders above the Vols it's not even funny.
Gator Bowl: West Virginia -3....I dont care that it's Bowden's last game. Give me the more talented squad and the shorter number. FSU's defense is one of the worst units i've seen this season.
Rose Bowl: Oregon ML....I lulz at Ohio State. The Ducks will run roughshod all over the Buckeyes.
Sugar Bowl: Over 57...Cincinnati will be angry and will really test the Gators without Charlie Strong. The Bearcat D sucks too and Tebow won't want his last game to be a dud.
International Bowl: NIU +6.5 -- South Florida's collapse continues as the Huskies beat em outright.
Papa Johns Bowl: UConn +4.5 -- This team should have more wins and has played inspired ball since their CB's death. The Huskies close out the season on a high note.
Cotton Bowl: Ole Miss -3 -- Better team. SEC > Big 12
Liberty Bowl: ECU +7.5 -- The Pirates defense is underrated. They did some work on Tulsa who isnt as good as Arkansas but I feel they will do enough to hang around.


That's my bowl picks....have at it.

36 comments
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fightintigraz says:
12/15/09 02:21AM
BOL on your bowl games Jeff...
topperchris says:
12/15/09 10:03AM
If UCLA shows up they win big..The question is do they care..I dont know if they do or not..No bet for me..Like the write ups..Ole Miss big
G8RB8 says:
12/15/09 01:03PM
Good Stuff Jeff

I'm not 100% on this, but I read somewhere yesterday that Strong is checking back in Dec 17th to coach the Bowl Game

I'll try and find a link
G8RB8 says:
12/15/09 01:04PM
Link
Ice4Blood says:
12/15/09 01:16PM

i like almost every single one of your picks... but i disagree with two of them in particular, and both games seem to show that you have some bias favoring the MAC... i think you should reconsider that in light of bowl season... the MAC represents the bottom feeders of college football... they don't stack up against BCS conference schools... don't see Temple or No Illinois having much of a chance at winning their bowl games... Temple does at least have the advantage of homefield and much more motivation, but the difference in the class of athletes is pretty gaping...

UCLA won all 3 of their non-conference games this year...

Blakejeff says:
12/15/09 01:20PM
Ice4Blood,

My NIU pick is more of a fade of USF. How will they handle this stuff with their coach? Also, they certainly havent played very well entering this bowl game. What's their motivation? I think that plays a big factor in these bowl games. I dont have any bias towards the MAC at all actually.
Blakejeff says:
12/15/09 01:22PM
Also,

With regards to the difference in athletes in Temple/UCLA...let me just say that the last two classes Golden has put together, they've beaten BCS schools for these kids. Pierce was heavily recruited and so were a few other kids. Temple hung around with PSU for a lot of that game and beat Navy who is pretty damn good too. Ask Ohio State and Notre Dame.
CalBear says:
12/15/09 01:45PM
Good stuff temple.  Like most of your picks...specifically the unders in UCF/Rutgers and UNC/Pitt.  You can mix these match ups with these teams in any way and I'd still like the unders in both. GL
lineinspector says:
12/15/09 02:16PM

got 2 numbers for ya...

ranked strenght of schedule:

 

ucla...........51

temple........116

 

116?....my god man!

Gold_Rush says:
12/15/09 02:39PM
Nice info but please use paragraphs when u go to a next game
it makes it easier to read for us

thanks and GL 


kittsd says:
12/15/09 02:41PM

Good luck with your bowl selections.

Charlie Strong will coach Fla in the bowl game - also like th eover in the muffler bowl and as bad as USC has been BC is rotten away from home and I can't get to the window with them.

Gold_Rush says:
12/15/09 02:45PM
I like Stanford as well, they are very much under-rated

TRAIN69 says:
12/15/09 02:48PM
Monte Kiffin with a month to prepare for Tyrod Taylor and Beamer ball has me liking the Vols and the points....

like the rest bro
Blakejeff says:
12/15/09 03:05PM


my apologies sir. It was late last night when i did this. haha
Spiller28 says:
12/15/09 03:15PM

Nice picks...gl 

Ice4Blood says:
12/15/09 03:27PM
i think i agree with all of your totals plays... planning to bet a couple of those myself...

i think Wyoming/Fresno over deserves a look... both offensive strengths play against the weakness of the opposing defense...

DoubleUp4Life says:
12/15/09 04:50PM

Nice write-ups as always Brother

Agree with Plenty of Plays/Leans (love the comment about Florida St's Defense being one of the worst you have seen, They are just Horrible vs the RUN )

One thing I have to Say  You and I are both Gulity of following the MAC with Biased intentions  Not sure either one of US should be Backing them with money... Fading the MAC is usually .....

BOL on all your Wagers and May God Bless

3Teamer30 says:
12/15/09 05:25PM
Why Temple loses:

1.Brian Price: Ranked as a second team AA (despite having 10 more tackles, 7 more TFL, and 2 sacks more than Gerald McCoy). This is all done against exceptional OLs and RBs in the Pac-10 (Tenn. too) and against double teamsl. The guy is an absolute beast and is going to be playing is his last college game ever.

2. Bruin Secondary: While an injury to RS Frosh Aaron Hester was a HUGE set back, the Bruins still have AA teamers Alterraun Verner and Rahim Moore.

3. Kai Forbath: Inside the 38? 3 Points.

Temple will not be able to control tempo on the ground and the opportunistic Bruin D will make up for a mediocre offense.

27-10 Bruins.

eagles_year says:
12/15/09 06:22PM
No pick for the big game?
Blakejeff says:
12/15/09 11:58PM
Managerdent, VT's staff is up there with almost any. Bud Foster is a top 5 Defensive coordinator and Beamer makes adjustments when he needs to.

Doubleup, I'm not really biased to the MAC. I'm biased towards Temple but those who follow me know I have no problem betting against them. I just think this is a great situation for the Owls and Huskies.

Eagles year, first off, great name....i agree with you. With regards to the title game, I have no thoughts yet. I don't love Alabama and I feel like Texas is waiting lying in the weeds to ambush them. Everyone forgets how much the Tide struggled before their win over a possibly overrated Florida.
nc1capper says:
12/16/09 02:55PM
be extra careful of the air force, not only are the cougs coming in off a tuff loss that sends them to a lower bowl it just so happens its the same bowl against the same team as last year- really have to wonder how motivated the cougs can be
PrimeTimeBoys says:
12/16/09 03:12PM
I love Temple plus the points & moneyline.
PrimeTimeBoys says:
12/16/09 03:12PM
Nice write-up on the Temple game!  
johnobvious says:
12/16/09 04:42PM
The talking heads on ESPN are not cappers.  They look at the spread and pick with it and try to sound like experts.  They won't dare pick against a big favorite for fear of looking like fools.

Its not that I dislike them but they should stick to analysis and not picking winners under the guise of being experts.

GL this bowl season
Gold_Rush says:
12/16/09 05:38PM
UCLA is traveling clear across the country for this one
playing at RFK. So they won't have too many fans at the game

Temple will have some kind of home field advantage I gather
Blakejeff says:
12/16/09 06:16PM
I'll be there for the game. There will be an Owls presence.
JGalt says:
12/17/09 08:42AM
Blakejeff, what could possibly make you think that Toby Gerhart will run wild on OU?  What RB has had even a decent game against that defense this year?  I understand that Toby is better than most, but I think this will be the toughest test to date for him in terms of churning out yards.
RedRockets says:
12/17/09 09:51AM
Like a lot of your picks.....Might take a small flier on your Temple pick
D-Town says:
12/17/09 10:57AM
Good luck Jeff. 
Monkeybongos says:
12/18/09 12:50PM
Nice write-up on Temple-UCLA.  Think you're on the money...
Blakejeff says:
12/18/09 11:39PM
Glad to see the support for the Owls. Petros Papadakis said UCLA is going to kill the Owls in Sporting News. I wonder if it'll be like how much he sucks as a broadcaster.
pags11 says:
12/18/09 03:16AM
GL blakejeff...
Mr803 says:
12/18/09 11:58AM
TEMPLE
DOVJAK says:
12/18/09 03:20AM
SolidCapper says:
12/19/09 01:55AM
This OWLS pick seems like a Homer pick, and they normally don't pan out that much.  I don't know who I like in this game yet.
BBallday10 says:
12/17/09 09:03PM


Just looking at quasi-rushing offenses OU has faced...

James from the U rushed for 150
K State rushed for 150
Helu ran for 138


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User: Blakejeff
Joined: December 2005
Location: Virginia
Team: Philadelphia Eagles
Occupation: Media

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