If you're a trend follower......I know this bowl season it's dogs covering or winning outright more. (I had the last two- Iowa and Boise st.), but I checked back to 02 and the Fav has covered the GMAC Bowl. That's 7 yrs and counting.
If you're team emotion follower....Lefevor's last game, and they want to avenge last yr's bowl loss.
If your're a stat follower....Troy cannot handle monster throwing teams. e.g. Florida and Arkansas.
If you're a team follower....Both teams played at Bowling Green. CMU won by 2 TD's and Troy lost by 17.
All Roads point to CMU covering.....