goodluck you may ne right but i CANT pass up this pk with peyton leading that lucky bunch. He shredded the Pats D and will do the same to the Ravens. I just dont see how the ravens can compete in this one. The way Indy came back and took it from the Pats was impressive. Dont think Balt will be able to score as easily as New England did.

gl

Colts struggled in last 3matches, honnestly if you guys watched the

game versus the Pats , Colts get hammered even they won, in other side

ravens offense did nothing much last night even they won 16-0.
If i have to bet 10000$ i will choose the Ravens
but i know Peyton will kill me.
tough match , its a pass for me...

I understand what you are saying, but if ravens offense were playing like they did in the first half of the season, then they would have a shot. All of the seasons you are showing they never had a QB. So I am playing the Colts in this one

I remember an unfeated Patriots team in 2007 who faced Baltimore mid season...Pats won by a miracle.

This line is fishy.  Vegas does not screw up.  This line tells me that Indy is an overrated 9-0. 

I will not touch this game.  However, if i was forced into it, I would wait until public hammers Indy, and take Balt + 2 or 2.5.

LOL at you all thinking that wind can be accurately predicted 6 days out, or basing a pick off of a weather forecast at all this far away from the game.

I got a bridge to sell you if you believe any weather forecasts this far out.

The wind would need to be blowing about 40 for the Ravens to have ANY shot at keeping this within a TD.

And BTW-

http://www.weather.com/weather/wxdetail/21234?dayNum=4

Wind projected at a brisk....5 mph.

BRAVE? This has nothing to do with bravery. Suck it up dude(not the pipe either, ha,ha,ha).

Hear me out. I believe there is a way to win every battle so I have a plan to do just that. I am a big fan of something I learn in the Army called the 6 P's.......

Proper Preperation Prevents Piss Poor Performance!!!!!!

I'm sure the Raven "D" will come out and play inspired and with a full head of steam. So I'll take Baltimore in the first half getting maybe a half point.

Then in the 2nd half, with the Ravens "D" getting a little tired from trying to blitz manning who will quick release all game, I'll take Indy who most likely will only be a few points fav's there. Manny outscores the Ravens in the 2nd half and I win on both teams as I play to both of thier strong points.....

1) Ravens "D" at home fired up out the gate.

2) Manning patient and plodding to expose the tired Ravens "D" in the 2nd half.

So, I'll take both teams and let them smack each other around while I sit back and enjoy the winning. I'm not saying either team will win, but that my plan just might be the best course of action in this game.

Never bet against Manning? Have you bet with him his last 3 home games 0-3 ATS

You have to know when to bet with him, and when to bet against him.Its called picking your spots

I bet against Manning his last 3 home games: The last 2 big

Sfran +12 W

Houston +10 W

NE +3 W

Ive bet against Manning Last 3. 3-0 ATS

Ive also bet the Browns 2-1 ATS. never again though

Baltimore 36-13 ATS last 49 as non div host.

Myths GL

Suggs being out doesn't make much of a difference. He has done nothing all year.

They might put someone in who can actually rush the QB.

Ngata will play, that makes a huge difference.

They need to keep Webb on the field, he just makes things happen.

Ravens are one of the best home teams in the league.

Great write ups.  I agree with most of them, I do like your Colts pick.  I think that the way they are playing lately does indicate that they are due for a loss but I don't think its going to be Baltimore.  I know it was only Cleveland, but Baltimore is playing on a short week.  They couldn't put points up against Cinci either so have they been hiding their offense for two weeks? or are they just having problems moving the ball and more importantly scoring?  We know Indy can put up points against pretty much anybody, especially a Baltimore defence with some key injuries.  They're defence can't and won't win this game.  The thing with Indy is you can't stop Peyton you can only hope to contain him.  If Baltimore can't put up points, they won't be in this game.  Indy's first loss is going to come at the hands of Houston.

team is fairly good at limiting teams to field goals in the Red Zone,

Peyton Manning is expected to pick the defense apart. There is a 66

percent chance that Manning has at least 2 passing TDs and he is

averaging 290 yards per simulation. The Ravens need to limit Manning to

no more than 1 TD and Ray Rice needs to have a huge game with at least

125 rushing and receiving yards. If Rice can dominate and the Ravens

can keep Manning to just 1 TD they are 74 percent favorites."

Colts projected to win by 7 points.  They are favored to win 57% of the time, Baltimore wins 42% of the time. 

Also, the Colts own Baltimore in recent meetings. 



This is why I'm laying off this game.  Both teams have good reasons for betting to bet them.  Logic says, take the Colts.  But logic can = in the NFL.


Proceed with caution.  

The Pats have elected 2 punt the football instead and the game will B resumed from there on Saturday afternoon.....

The biggest key to beating any good quarterback is pressure.  So the question is:  

Can Baltimore put pressure and/or sack Manning? 

If you can pressure him and/or hit him, he becomes as normal as the rest.  If not he will eat you alive!  Unlike, when you take the Browns and their rookie quarterback Quinn.  He just isn't mature enough to read defenses like Manning can!   

I'll be playing on both teams strengths....

Take Baltimore in the 1st half since they will come out at home all fired up and attempt to lay the wood on Manning.

Then in the 2nd half take Indy who will have survived the Ravens best shots and Manning will begin to take advantage of a tired Ravens defence after it shoots its load trying to rough him up in the first half.

Seeing how these two teams have played in recent games, this is the safest bet to me.

I'll let the rest decide who is gonna win ATS for the whole game. I'll play the ATS in halfs and msot likely win on both.

I feel that the key to this game is for Indy to not abandon the running game, keep trying and keep the Ravens guessing. The Colts just might win this game by running the ball. Just maybe.

If the Ravens can force Manning to throw MORE than the Colts want him to, It might work in the Ravens favor since Manning can be a robot at times and not see the INT's coming. The Ravens must score on "D" in this game, maybe twice, in order to win. Flacco has been in a slump lately. Short fields would help him greatly so getting T.Overs is key for the Ravens in this game.

One thing about Manning that always made me dislike him is the way he shakes his head walking off the field after an INT as he looks at his receiver that he was throwing it to, like he could never be blamed for throwing a pick so it must have been the receivers fault ALWAYS.

Robots don't make mistakes... Do They?

E X A C T L Y

imo a quaterback who has the ability to adjust as the game goes on has the ability to beat anyone in this league........i think the line is on the money.........colts can score but ravens defense is good........colts defense aint that bad and ravens offense suck.......so its a even steven matchup........good luck........this is a toss up..........

Let me start off by saying that I am a DIEHARD RAVENS FAN!

however, it appears there are either some Ravens Homers or Colts haters picking the Ravens to win this, but let's be honest, if our team was 100% healthy we would more than likely still get blown out by the Colts. They have the Ravens number PERIOD!

Add to that from top to bottom, John Harbaugh has shown he really has no F'ng clue what he's doing, he can't manage the clock, he has piss poor judgement of talent and when to put certain players in, for instance, after week 4 Ladarius Webb should've not only been returning punts and kicks but starting at CB or at least nickel back. The 2nd round pick Kruger has had about 4 snaps since the begin of season, Chris Carr is an absolute bum, along with everyone else in the secondary not named Ed Reed.

Our LB core outside of Ray Lewis is complete TRASH, except Jarret Johnson as well, but the other guys do not belong in a Ravens uniform. This team started out underacheiving since day 1 against the chiefs were in the 4th quarter the Chiefs had the lead.

I think the defensive reputation Bmore has had the past 10 years has clouded the judgement of odds makers all season long, this defense is SOFT, on top of that Flacco seems to be regressing, mainly because he can no longer trust his piss poor WR corps which Ozzie so arrogantly refused to upgrade in the preseason. Our Dline with Suggs is awful, now they are without him, and believe it's not like there are these magical studs on the Ravens team just waiting for the Colts game to play for real, please folks, if they had it in them they most certainly wouldn't be only 5-4 now would they?

Colts by AT LEAST 10 points.

FYI - my post is not meant to bash any other opinions, or sound like I know everything so please do not take offense to any of my post. I know some people get pretty passionate about why they believe their picks are right is why I say this and it's not my intention to anger anyone, i'm new to the board and enjoy reading all the posts here!

GL to all!

At the end of the day Vegas is not crazy, but to think they don't get it wrong from time to time is insane. They are humans just like us folks, if I only have to use one example that should convince you of this game, just think a few weeks back when Vegas had the Ravens going into Cincy as a 3 point favorite, i'm a die hard Ravens fan and I couldn't get to my Sportsbook fast enough to bet BIG on the Bengals to win AND they were giving me points? WOW that was easy money, I bet with my brain and not my heart, I have NEVER missed a Ravens game and I can tell you all reading right now, we will NOT beat the colts and I will be shocked if we lose by less than 10 points, but regardless, we will NOT beat the Colts.

I am just waiting for the line when we go to Green Bay as I fully expect Rodgers to carve up our extremely pathetic Secondary, and hopefully this will convince Ozzie to draft some big physical CB's with speed to get this D back to it's dominant self, a true pass rushing DE wouldn't hurt either.