Charlie111's Blog

Posted Saturday, March 19, 2011 02:10 PM

March 19 NBA

YTD: 2u (4-3) 1u (37-21) Overall (+15.3u)

One play for my top play of 2 units

Memphis TT over 107  The Pacers are off an emotional OT win over a solid Chicago team and now have to travel down to Memphis the next night.  I don't think the defensive effort will be there for the Pacers.  They are not a great defense anyway and they do like to play at a fast pace.  Memphis was off yesterday and lost to NY the night before in a pitiful effort.  This club will play better tonight and I think they light up the scoreboard against this Indiana club on their home wood.  I think they cover the 9.5 points, but I like the TT over better. 

Charlie



Posted Friday, March 11, 2011 04:35 PM

NOV 11 NBA

YTD: 2u (3-3) 1u (33-18) Overall (+12.6u)

2 totals for one unit each

Celtics / Sixers under 192

Jazz / Wolves over 207.5

Charlie



Posted Wednesday, August 11, 2010 02:08 PM

Small Conferences

Years ago at a casino, a sharp told me to cap and bet small conferences only and I can make money in college football.  Of course, I haven't been patient enough to stick to this philosophy, but I know he has a point.  Just wanted to ask all the guys out there if you know anything special about any small conference games, please contribute.  These type games may not have been studied as hard by the oddsmakers and there may be some value there.  Not saying there can't be value in major conferences, but you can't ignore the advice of a sharp. 



Posted Friday, October 02, 2009 03:15 PM

Charlie's Week 5 College Plays

Season YTD after Week 4
3 units (5-1) +11.7 units
2 units (8-5) +4.8 units
1 unit (10-5) +4.5 units
YTD +21.0 units
 
Week 5 plays
Kansas st. +3 (-1.20) for 3 units
C Mich -8 for 2 units
Syracuse +7 (-1.20) for 2 units
Illinois +7 for 2 units
S Diego st. -17.5 for 1 unit
Arkansas -1.5 for 1 unit
N Dame -13 for 1 unit
Auburn +3 for 1 unit
 
Good luck  


Posted Wednesday, September 23, 2009 05:04 PM

An inside look at the Ole Miss / S Caro game

It is currently Ole Miss -3. I could see this game moving back to -4, but who knows.  A lot of people think Ole Miss is the easy play, but lets look at this matchup a little closer.   S Carolina is 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS.  They won their first game 7-3 against NCst.  I agree it was an ugly game, but it was the first game of the year and on the road in front of a hungry rowdy crowd.  They had 16 first downs to NC's 11, and they outyarded NC 256 to 133 (+123 yards).  An ugly win, but a deserving win.   They then played another tough road game at Georgia in a game they lost 41-37.  But they could have won this game.  They had 26 first downs to Georgia's 16.  SC had 427 total yards to Ga's 308, a difference of 119 yards.  Georgia was lucky to win this game.   SC then played Fl Atlantic and was favored by 20.5.  They won 38-16 so they got the ATS cover.  SC and Fl AT both had 21 first downs, but SC outyarded them 516 to 307 (209 yards)  Oh, I'm sure many will say that Fl AT got killed by NEB 49-3,  But in that game, FL AT and Neb both had 22 first downs and Nebraska out-yarded them by 135 yards.  A little closer game than the score suggests.   Let's look at Ole Miss.  They are 2-0 and I'm only counting the Memphis game as a real game.  In that game, the Rebs won 45-14, but this game was 24-14 with 7 minutes left in the game.  Ole Miss had 22 first downs to 19 for Memphis.... [More]

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User: Charlie111
Joined: October 2008
Location: Mississippi
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