Posted Wednesday, March 18, 2009 06:08 PM
Right now is the best time of the year to bet against the best teams in the league right now. This is my most profitable time of the year in the NBA.
Lakers were favored by 9.5 the other night against the 76ers. Sixers covered and got the SU as well. Cleveland was favored by 6.5 against the Magic (Magic Covered). These are just a couple examples of what is to come folks. Fade the big favorites the rest of the regular season, and you should see about 60 - 65% winners ATS.
Look for the "Playoff" teams playing on the road as 4 or more point favs, and look for these teams as double digit favs at home. Last year during this time I hit 72% winners playing only these parameters. This can't happen every year, so this year I am shooting for 60-65%. It's really this simple and doesn't require much work, just stay on top of current injuries and/or suspensions and roll all the way to the bank.