Keyed Wake and Texas.
My plays today:
Penn State @ Michigan State
Michigan has lost once to Penn State in the last 6 years. They have beat Penn State by double digits 9 of the last 10
In the last 6 years Michigan State has never lost at Home to Penn State and the average point/dif has been 24.5
Penn State is on a 3 game win streak - wins have come against poor teams out of the top 100
Because of the home record against and the strength of State's sched. I would take Michigan State to cover the 13 points at home.
Nova is 2-1 against Cincy.
Nova is 10-1 on their home court and just beat Pitt by 10 at home. at Home Nova scores above 70 and gives up below 60. Cincy scores below 60 and gives up above 60 per game. The trend is Villanova here. 11.5 is a lot to give up especially considering that Nova is in a let down spot (10 point win over ranked Pitt). Nova has only lost to Louisville at home.
The quality teams that Cincy has played on the road they have lost by 11, 9, 18, 34.
I like Villanova to win but I think Cincinnati covers the spread, only because this is a let down spot for Villanova.
Creighton is 10-1 ATS in the last 11, Missouri State can't even cover the beds in their dorms and is 1-7 on the road.
Missouri State has a good defense, but their offense barely scores 60 a game. Creighton gives up 65 and scores almost 74 per.
I like Creighton to cover the the 10.5
Illinois are 6-3-1 ATS in the last 10
Iowa are 4-6 ATS in the last 10
Illinois 11-1 at home scoring 72 and giving 54
Iowa 1-6 on the road scoring 56 and giving 64
Illinois has owned Iowa at home 4-0 an d has covered in all of them.
Plus Champagne is a very very tough court to play on as a road team
I think Home cooking wins and Illinois covers the 13
Michigan State -12.5
Cincinnati +11.5
Illinois -12.5
Creighton -10.5
Box Virginia+22.5/Duke-22.5
illinios -12
Canisius +7.5
no parlays