Chief-Starks's Blog

Posted Monday, October 19, 2009 01:03 AM

Week 8 Value Plays

10-24 Week 8 NCAA Football

Record Posted YTD: 5-3

On the lines early this week, definately going to be watching the movement...I'll be putting plays/thoughts here through the week. Here we go..

Maryland @ Duke (-6)

Lean: Duke - 6 ... I really like them in this spot here. Coming off a bye week so they've had extra time to prepare for the Terps. Looks like it opened @ -7 and now is down to -6 so hopefully the public stays on Maryland and gets this even lower. Duke's QB Lewis is a stud over 1600 passing yds 12td 2 int very effective, doing it quietly though. Duke scoring 32 a game and has the stingier defense here. Duke averaging 41 ppg their last 3. Terps giving up 47 ppg and 520+ yds away. Maryland's leading rusher also out for season..

The Play: DUKE - 6

More to come..



Posted Friday, October 09, 2009 07:40 PM

10/10 NCAA Plays (Opinions Inside)

10/10 NCAA COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS

Record YTD: 0-0-0

Avid reader, first time poster...few plays I'm running with this weekend and just my opinions on the games. Feel free to leave any thoughts/comments discussion is welcomed.

1. NO. 25 WISCONSIN (5-0, 3-2 ATS) @ NO. 8 OHIO ST (4-1, 4-1 ATS)

Line: OHIO ST(-16.5)

Opinion: Historically I've seen Wisconsin get up for these games with Ohio St at the Horseshoe. Wisconsin does have the leading Big 10 rusher in Clay, and is still undefeated, ranked, with quality wins @ Minnesota and vs. Michigan St. Underdog is 7-2 ATS past 9, road team is 7-3 ATS past 10 meetings, and Ohio St is 3-7 ATS last 10 at home. Tolzien complees 65% of his passes and has statiscally is better then Pryor right now, and Im a Pryor fan. Wisconsin has a better offense then State period. In the past 10 meetings, only in '07 and '00 did State ever win by more then 17. This reminds me alot of the Navy game Ohio St had earlier this year (31-27 W, Buckeyes fav by -22), Wisc may be able to pull off the upset. Badgers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Ohio State. Take the Badgers.

The Play: WISCONSIN (+16.5)

2. BOSTON COLLEGE(4-1, 3-1 ATS) @ NO. 5 VIRGINIA TECH(4-1, 2-3 ATS)

Line: VIRGINIA TECH(-14)

OPINION: Like the Wisconsin/Ohio St series, recently Ive seen these games end up much closer then the 14 Vtech is fav by. BC is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. The winne... [More]

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User: Chief-Starks
Joined: October 2009
Location: Nebraska
Team: Nebraska Cornhuskers
Occupation: Arts/Entertainment

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