After a horrible week last week, going 1-2-1, it's time to get my stuff together and end the season on a strong note. Going into week #13, documented here on Covers, my season record is 14-11-1.
Week #7 4-1
Week #8 2-3
Week #9 3-2
Week #10 2-3
Week #11 2-0
Week #12 1-2-1
So, without further ado, let's break out this weeks games, including the SNF and MNF plays.
Tennessee Titans (+7) - With the resurgence of Vince Young, this will be a great litmus test for the Titans to see where they are in relation to the elite teams of the NFL. One single stat stood out to me more than the others, and that is that as an underdog of (+3.5) - (+9.5) this season are 3-1 ATS. While the Colts being a favorite of (-3.5) - (-9.5) this season are 1-2 ATS. On top of that, the Colts have won 3 of their last 4 games by only 4 points or less. Indy, the #14 ranked rushing D, is going against the #2 rushing offense led by Chris Johnson who's the #1 rusher in the league with 1396 yards this season.
Washington Redskins (+10) - Everything about this game reaks SAINTS but I think that the weather is going to play a major facctor in this game. It's supposed to be 36 degrees at kickoff tomorrow, it's always a cozy 72 degrees in the dome. In the past 3 seasons, the Saints haven't faired well in cold weather games. Remeber last season Saints vs. the Bears in December? Also, the Skins are the #1 ranked passing defense in the league giving up the 6th fewest total yards. This is my UNDERDOG of the weekend.
Miami Dolphins (+5) - The Pats got spanked on MNF. Look for them to bounce back vs. the Dolphins, but wait! Miami is 4-1ATS this season vs. division opponents while the Pats are 1-3 ATS in the same category. And the Pats don't seem to cover the spread this season when playing on the road going 1-3 ATS. Wildcat is going to run wild all over the Pats.
SNF Minnesota Vikings (-3) - Initially I was going to go with the Cardinals @ home (+5.5), when the line came out, but so many people pounding the Cards that I flipped over to the Vikings. The Cards have a lot riding on this game. A loss on Sunday night, and next MNF game vs the 9ers becomes a game for 1st place in the NFC West. With Kurt Warner being a game time decision, I believe that Minny will dominate this game. GO VIKINGS!
MNF Baltimore Ravens (+3) - The Ravens coming off a win vs. the Steelers last Sunday night, expect the to ride that winning wave right into Green Bay. The Packers are 0-1 ATS this season on MNF while the Ravens are the complete opposite going 1-0 SU & 1-0 ATS this season on MNF. The Packers destroyed the Lions last week, but then again, only one team hasn't beaten the Lions this season so that really doesn't mean shit. So forget that I wrote that. My only concern is if Ray Lewis will be ready to play on Monday night. If he does play, and with Aaron Rodgers having bruised ribs, expect the Ravens to pressure the hell out of the Packers. Two or three pancakes, and Rodgers will have to leave the game. Baltimore covers the (+3).
So that's all for this week fellas. I'll be around tomorrow posting updates before and during the games. I just didn't have to wake up hella early and type all this up.
On a side note, one small parlay that I like is a 1st half parlay. The Steelers (-8) + OVER (19). Raiders just won't be able to stop the Steelers.
GL