Crashdavis565's Blog

2011 Resolution

By Crashdavis565 | View all Posts
Posted Tuesday, January 04, 2011 07:44 PM   3 comments

My New Years resolution is to only gamble at games I know I statistically have a chance to win at, games that can be 'BEATEN"

These are:

1)poker

2)BJ

3)sports betting

4)horse racing.

I have beaten one and two enough to feel comfortable in my abilities to do that. I have played 4 far more than I would care to admit and have never beaten it in the long run. Although I think I am better than an avg capper, I do not believe anyone can beat  the outrageous rakes taken at the tracks today. I will still bet the ponies this year but WPS only and in a limited degree only.

That brings us to sports betting. I am a terrible sports bettor.  I have lost consistently over the last 10 years. 2010 was the first year I showed a profit but at the end of the year I hit a terrible patch that has continued into 2011 and has taken most of my profits now. I want to try and build a bankroll and play 2011 on houses money and contine for the rest of my life. That is my goal.

If people can honestly help me to my goal I would appreciate it.

Simply put people, I need consistent winners or the ability to pick consistent winners and that as we all know is not easy.

3 comments
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Crashdavis565 says:
01/04/11 07:57PM

so here we go

got just  a little over 6 grand in the old account

first bet is stolen from a covers legend...

Grizzlies plus 1.5 minus 106 matchbook- $315 bet (5%)

I will steal the best pick I see and this is the best one.

Crashdavis565 says:
01/05/11 06:26PM

On my way to being a pro-

Have looked over the form today and like a few.....

scalabrine has a nice write up on the 76ers but this line has serous reverse movement- I would be the Wiz or not at all and going to take not at all.

Like the Nuggs, really like them - but agree with MrB this is a square play and I hate being a square. To me, this is a seminal  game for this squad, I think they really show that they will beat these crappy teams and it starts today. They are healthy, they are rested. If it does not start today it does not happen. They should win the next two by double digits easy, easy.

Like the Spurs, the blowout last pm  would seem to motivate them and a wounded Rondo with no KG makes this Celtic team lacking.

B2B game though............

Going to bet the under in that game. Feel that both teams will want to show their D presence and one of the refs has the Spurs under for 9 games in a row. This my pick, not a tail.

LIke the Suns, this line screams take the Lakers, take the Suns.

Like the Nets, this line screams take the Bulls, take the Nets.

got it at minus 107 on matchbook $330 to win (5%). The standard line is minus 110, is this an angle when it is so close?

5t4r5align says:
05/01/11 01:07AM
Bodio and Vegas Butcher
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User: Crashdavis565
Joined: December 2007
Location: Colorado
Team: Colorado Avalanche
Occupation: Health Services

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