CrazyMilkMan's Blog
Posted 3 hours, 13 minutes ago
Went 0-3 with public plays yesterday. Here's for Friday.
Los Angeles Lakers -3.5
Golden State Warriors +6.0
Houston@Phoenix OVER 198.0
BOL.
Posted Wednesday, February 08, 2012 01:31 AM
1-1 Tuesday. 106-106 YTD. We almost had that Cavs cover the late play on OKC was even a nail biter. Still 6-1 since returning hopefully we get on a good week here. I got about 3 plays brewed up and can't really decide which one is better than the other so I decided to throw it out there this early. They should move by half a point come game time.
Philadelphia 76ers -3.0
Miami Heat -3.0
Indiana Pacers +3.5
BOL.
Posted Tuesday, February 07, 2012 12:56 AM
4-0 Monday. 105-105 YTD. Tomorrow's a good time to pass up on the NBA but you know how we degens are. Anyway, I only like the Cavaliers for tomorrow because it's a bit too much. Same position as when the Heat hosted the Raptors. Heat may also look ahead to the better Magic team the next day.
Cleveland Cavaliers +13.0
BOL.
Posted Sunday, February 05, 2012 10:19 PM
2-0 Sunday. 101-105 YTD. IMO that SB was amazing. Momentum shifts every quarter. I feel bad for the Pats. Horrible showing after going 17-9. One road doggie for Monday. Raps seem to play well on back-to-back road games especailly when they perform well the night before. The Suns is looking like a good play but I'm still looking around to get a good read on Dudley. He's playing well the last 4 games and may spell the difference for a cover. Suns-Hawks seem to always play a close game.
Toronto Raptors +4.0
Lean:
Phoenix suns +7.5
BOL.
Posted Sunday, February 05, 2012 08:13 PM
On the Pats -3.0 for the Full Game. 2nd Half plays:
Pats -0.5
UNDER 26.5
BOL.
Posted Sunday, February 05, 2012 05:39 AM
YTD 99-105. Games prior to the Super Bowl usually ends like crap but how can you stay away.
Boston Celtics -4.5
Toronto Raptors +16.0
BOL.
Posted Sunday, February 05, 2012 05:37 AM
New England Patriots -3.0
Let's go.
Posted Tuesday, January 31, 2012 10:15 PM
Looking at the Two remaining games. I got
SACRAMENTO +7.5
UNDER 198
CHARLOTTE +13.0
OVER 180.5
What do you guys have?
Posted Sunday, January 29, 2012 11:38 AM
NFC -4.0
UNDER 74.5
I think the total is a bit too high. IMO, both team should probably hit 24 easy and the winner be decided with the next two touchdown plays and one FG. I only based my NFC play backing Brees and Rodgers. Seriously, I just consulted Pipa the Parakeet for this one and easily took the NFC seed cup.
BOL degens.
Posted Thursday, January 26, 2012 12:56 AM
5-10 Wednesday. 97-102 YTD. Going on a two-three week break after this play. NBA's not been treating me well this season so a much needed break is necessary:
Orlando Magic -8.0
Been looking forward to this game and I'm pretty sure the rest of the Magic are. Revenge match after an embarassing offensive display against Boston. Allen is out but Rondo will most likely play for the visiting team.
BOL.
Posted Wednesday, January 25, 2012 06:15 PM
92-92 YTD. Full Cards:
Philadelphia 76ers -11.5
Washington Wizards -7.0
New York Knicks -3.5
Miami Heat -8.0
Indiana Pacers +9.0
Houston Rockets -4.5
Oklahoma City Thunder -13.5
New Orleans Hornets 1Q +4.0 (13-4 ATS)
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5
MIN/DAL UNDER 184.0
San Antonio Spurs -4.5
Utah Jazz -10.0
Denver Nuggets -6.0
Portland Trailblazers +3.5
POR/GSW UNDER 192.0
BOL.
Posted Tuesday, January 24, 2012 01:26 AM
5-3 Monday. 91-89 YTD. Tuesday:
Lean: Charlotte Bobcats +4.5
They got the Knicks' number up. This plays out a close game and the Cats for the cover. Seriously, just toss a coin here.
Indiana Pacers +4.0
I hate betting against a winning team off a bad loss. Setting that aside, I like the Pacers after a strong showing agaisnt the Lakers. They are also at home which gives them more edge. They score better at home and even defends better.
Not much to look at for Tuesday. I can't wait to see the line for MIA, TOR and POR.
BOL.
Posted Monday, January 23, 2012 01:32 AM
2-4 Sunday. 86-86 YTD. Monday:
Lean: Philadelphia 76ers -13.5
Them being at home and off a loss is enough to back them. 7-1 ATS/SU at home, 6-2 ATS off a day rest, and have a 19-point winning margin at home. Wizzy is the opposite on the road. This was downgraded to a lean because the team from DC seem to find their groove as of late playing impressively against winning teams like Denver, OKC and Houston. They also only lost by 13 at home and really played them well. I'm on a look out if Hawes will suit up with their front court slowly thinning down and may make a play out of it.
Lean: New Orleans Hornet +5.0 and UNDER 178.5
Hornets are a relentless bunch and against the Spurs, I think they can keep it close and cover. Tim Duncan will most likely play against them after taking a day off against the Rockets. Tony Parker looks okay after a minor hip injury. Hornets are looking healthy except for Eric Gordon. They have the size and athletecism to play the Spurs close. I don't see the visiting team trying to force a running game here since they really don't want to add any more mileage to the aging team. Hornets will pretty much be in favor of a slow paced game where they'd allow their bigs to do the damage.
Houston Rockets +2.5
Houston's road woes are really from playing the toughest home teams in the league. Minny plays tougher at home and is a win close to a .500 home record. I guess that made the l... [More]
Posted Sunday, January 22, 2012 02:49 PM
Full Cards:
LA Clippers 1Q -2.5
LA Clippers -8.5
Miami Heat 1H -5.0
Miami Heat -9.0
Cats/Nets OVER 192.0
LA Lakers-5.5
BOL.
Posted Saturday, January 21, 2012 01:30 AM
5-3 Friday. 80-80 YTD. Saturday:
Denver Nuggets -2.0
Better team overall. Denver gets good results on the road (6-2 ATS) and on back-to-back games (4-1). Knicks uncharacteristically seem to find trouble scoring.
Lean: Detroit Pistons +6.5
Portland plays a step slower on back to back games. Pistons doesn't have nothing to lose and has played the Blazers close in their home games. Blazers also might look ahead to going home, playing the last leg of a 6-game road trip. This is only a lean because you know how teams would want to get out of a long road trip on a positive note. Just a slight lean on the Pistons because they can actually keep it close.
Lean: New Jersey Nets +8.0
I know the Thunder is a good road team and the Nets not really the best team at home. They are, however, finding ways to keep up with the scoring. They play the winning teams at home pretty close for almost 3 quarters. I'm taking a good stab at that 8 points because I have this gut feel that they bag one in and may surprise the Thunder.
Memphis Grizzlies -10.0
Sac-town is slowly improving but still shoots the ball pretty bad. Grizzlies is better at home and has tramendously improved their chemistry winning 5 in a row now. Kings suck on the road. Memphis by 15+ here.
Lean: New Orleans +5.5 and UNDER 175.5
All stats leads to an UNDER play. Mavericks are having trouble getting their shots. Hornets are getting healthier and will... [More]
Posted Friday, January 20, 2012 01:44 AM
0-1 Thursday. 75-77 YTD. Back to square one:
Lean: Portland Trailblazers -6.5
Only 1 win in the last 5 games but they are all against winning teams. Their struggles on the road isn't a secret but you still got to love them in this spot playing a weaker team from the East. The only thing I don't like is that I think this is a point or two higher than what I'd expect to get them. Portland is obviously the better team here and I see them winning but everyone knows the Raps finally understood that they need to play defense in the NBA (and actually isn't that bad, 9th in the league in the least number of points allowed per game). I think this one will come to a last few plays where the cover will be decided so it's downgraded to a lean.
Lean: Atlanta Hawk +6.0
I hate backing the team who possibly is looking ahead (Philly goes to Miami the next day). Hawks definitely is the right play here. They can matchup well even without Horford (given Hawes' status) and can play them toe-to-toe. 6 points is a little too many (last season Atl was also a 7-point road dog) for a team who have won 4 in a row (although against teams with bad record).
Denver Nuggets -7.0
Heck of a game for the Wizards against the Thunder. I like Denver here. Nene is finally slipping back to his usual self.
Milwaukee Bucks +6.0
A definite play here. Bucks matches up well against New York and would play them close. I'm throwing away the stat... [More]
Posted Thursday, January 19, 2012 01:13 AM
2-5 Wednesday. 75-76 YTD. I'm a little discouraged with January but let's just hope for the besst. One play for tomorrow:
Utah Jazz -2.5
BOL.
Posted Wednesday, January 18, 2012 09:28 PM
Indiana Pacers -5.5
Dallas Mavericks -3.0
Still looking at the totals.
Posted Wednesday, January 18, 2012 12:51 AM
3-4 Tuesday. 73-71 YTD. I hate typing stuff on Google Chrome. LOL. Here's for Wednesday:
Philadelphia 76ers -5.0
Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5
Orlando Magic -5.0
Phoenix Suns +7.5
Atlanta Hawks -1.5
Lean: New Orleans 1Q
Lean: Minnesota Timberwolves -8.0
Lean: Indiana Pacers -5.5
BOL.
Posted Tuesday, January 17, 2012 01:20 AM
6-4 Monday. 70-67 YTD. That Lakers game was hella painful to watch. Tuesday:
Lean: Orlando Magic -12.0
On the road, the Cats allow a lot of 3-balls at 41% clip. They are also losing by an average of 17 (again, on the road) and by 10 in their last 5 games. With those said, they now look like sitting ducks against the Magic who beat the hell out of teams who play little defense. I made this a lean because the Magic might look ahead to hosting a stronger team and reserving their tanks for the Spurs the next day (their first b2b2b). Magic also have no problem playing back-to-back going 3-1 ATS so far to the Cats' 2-3 ATS. They did destroyed them by 21 earlier in the season and I think they can actually do it again.
Golden State Warriors ML
The 2-points or whatever amount you get them won't really matter so might as well go the ML route. The play is really against the Cavaliers off a long road trip and playing the next day at home. They also just have to exert so much effort in the second half against the Cats to get away with a win. The rested warriors should be able to edge the Cavaliers here.
Lean: San Antonio Spurs +7.5
This one is tricky. The points is just too enticing to pass up. Last season, they split the series 1-1 both in a blow out fashion. Two key players are out, Manu averages 16 and Wade by 24 against each other. Spurs are getting 5 in that road game against Miami so the 7.5 i... [More]
Posted Monday, January 16, 2012 12:37 AM
1-0 Sunday. 64-63 YTD. Monday, keeping it short and sweet:
Chicago Bulls -3.5
Lean: OVER 177.5
I mean, why not right? One of the best road team of the season. Strong lean on the OVER since the Grizz have no problem scoring at home.
Philadelphia 76ers -8.0
Bogut will most likely play but it doesn't matter since the 76ers are at home and playing like a seasoned team. Hawes' back is a lot better and should contribute like he did early in the season. Bucks play them really close last season but I don't see it happening here. I guess it's because of the 76ers' improvement as a team.
Houston Rockets -5.5
Don't think too much here. Rockets suck on the road so we have such "low" line. Fading DC here! If you've been fading them the whole season you'll probably be up by 5 units now.
New Orleans ATS 1Q
Going for 12-1!
Lean: Toronto Raptors +12.5
No Bargnani and yet this team seem to not have any problem scoring. Leaning on the Raptors because it's one too many points for the Hawks to cover.
Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5
Nah. I don't think the Celtics of old will show up. Youth rolls.
Lean: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.0
Minnesota/Sacramento UNDER 192.0
Queens will continue to suck on the road. Making a 4-8 home team a 7-point fave is saying a lot about their opponent. I do believe they run them out but Sacto are so inconsistent that one good night from them may tur... [More]
Posted Sunday, January 15, 2012 08:12 PM
3-4 Saturday. 63-63 YTD. Pretty late posting for Sunday:
San Antonio/Phoenix UNDER 196.5
BOL.
Posted Sunday, January 15, 2012 01:51 AM
Baltimore -9.0HOU/BAL OVER 36.5Green Bay -7.5OVER 53.0
Posted Saturday, January 14, 2012 02:23 AM
6-3 Friday. 60-59 YTD. Finally got over the .500. Here's for Saturday. Let's go Saints and Broncos!:
Philadelphia 76ers -8.0
Same shit as last night.
Lean: Golden State Warriors -2.5
Leaning against my Cats. I think Steph Curry plays tonight. Warriors are looking really motivated to get wins on their road trip with Cats, Det, Cavs and the Nets ahead of them.
Lean: Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5
Too many points for a short handed Hawks team against a scrappy Wolves team always tries to fight back. They should keep it close and cover.
Indiana Pacers -3.5
I don't get it. Pacers opened as a -1.5 and jumped two points up. I wasn't expecting the Pacers to win on the road (against the Raptors) but they did. Boston ran out of gas last night trying to make a comeback against the Bulls and now they have to play in Indiana on a back-to-back. Pacers edged them earlier and I expect them to get on the same groove. Until the Celtics display the defensive stuff the are best at, I think it is safe to play against them especially on back-to-backs.
Chicago Bulls -13.0
Bulls at home after a nice win against rivals Boston. Raptors will most likely play without Bargnani. I see the Bulls holding their opponent to less than 70 again while they score somewhere around 90+. They are one of the best home teams right behind Philadelphia, who's been winning by 26+ points at home. Raps should also been in bad form/mood right after a...
[More]
Posted Friday, January 13, 2012 03:08 AM
1-1 Thursday. 54-56 YTD. Friday the 13th:
Lean: Philadelphia 76ers -12.5
Still
waiting for news on Hawes. I read that the 76ers are playing it safe.
If they are, IMO would get him another day off since we'll only be
playing a horrible Wizards on a home-and-home series and have him ready
for Milwaukee instead. If Hawes plays, the play is on. 76ers is at home
and playing a bad team who'll pretty much get blown by 15+ points.
That's all the capping to be done here.
Charlotte Bobcats -4.0
Out of the 6 times I played the cats this season, I only managed to get 3
of the right. I think this will be the 7th and I'm pretty confident
they cover. Totally fading this bad Pistons team on the road. I know
they got more firepower but Cats (or any other team to that matter)
plays better at home. I think this is because, at home, they shoot the
three and rebound better than they are on the road. Until this Pistons
team play by Lawrence Franks' ways, they aren't going to be any better
than this run down expansion cats.
Lean: New Orleans/Minnesota UNDER 182.5
I'm surprised as I look at this. Hornets are an under team themselves
but I have no idea the Wolves are just the same. Both teams combine for
5-14 O/U and will probably continue the trend with injuries in their
team. I downgraded this to a lean because I feel the total will be
pretty close to the line. I have this feeling that both...
[More]