CrazyMilkMan's Blog

Posted Tuesday, January 31, 2012 10:15 PM

Late Games

Looking at the Two remaining games. I got

SACRAMENTO +7.5
UNDER 198

CHARLOTTE +13.0
OVER 180.5

 

What do you guys have?



Posted Sunday, January 29, 2012 11:38 AM

Pro Bowl

NFC -4.0
UNDER 74.5

I think the total is a bit too high. IMO, both team should probably hit 24 easy and the winner be decided with the next two touchdown plays and one FG. I only based my NFC play backing Brees and Rodgers. Seriously, I just consulted Pipa the Parakeet for this one and easily took the NFC seed cup.

 

BOL degens.



Posted Thursday, January 26, 2012 12:56 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

5-10 Wednesday. 97-102 YTD. Going on a two-three week break after this play. NBA's not been treating me well this season so a much needed break is necessary:

 

Orlando Magic -8.0
Been looking forward to this game and I'm pretty sure the rest of the Magic are. Revenge match after an embarassing offensive display against Boston. Allen is out but Rondo will most likely play for the visiting team.

 

BOL.



Posted Wednesday, January 25, 2012 06:15 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

92-92 YTD. Full Cards:

Philadelphia 76ers -11.5
Washington Wizards -7.0
New York Knicks -3.5
Miami Heat -8.0
Indiana Pacers +9.0
Houston Rockets -4.5
Oklahoma City Thunder -13.5
New Orleans Hornets 1Q +4.0 (13-4 ATS)
Minnesota Timberwolves +5.5
MIN/DAL UNDER 184.0
San Antonio Spurs -4.5
Utah Jazz -10.0
Denver Nuggets -6.0
Portland Trailblazers +3.5
POR/GSW UNDER 192.0

BOL.



Posted Tuesday, January 24, 2012 01:26 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

5-3 Monday. 91-89 YTD. Tuesday:

Lean: Charlotte Bobcats +4.5
They got the Knicks' number up. This plays out a close game and the Cats for the cover. Seriously, just toss a coin here.

 

Indiana Pacers +4.0
I hate betting against a winning team off a bad loss. Setting that aside, I like the Pacers after a strong showing agaisnt the Lakers. They are also at home which gives them more edge. They score better at home and even defends better.

 

Not much to look at for Tuesday. I can't wait to see the line for MIA, TOR and POR.

 

BOL.



Posted Monday, January 23, 2012 01:32 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

2-4 Sunday. 86-86 YTD. Monday:


Lean: Philadelphia 76ers -13.5
Them being at home and off a loss is enough to back them. 7-1 ATS/SU at home, 6-2 ATS off a day rest, and have a 19-point winning margin at home. Wizzy is the opposite on the road. This was downgraded to a lean because the team from DC seem to find their groove as of late playing impressively against winning teams like Denver, OKC and Houston. They also only lost by 13 at home and really played them well. I'm on a look out if Hawes will suit up with their front court slowly thinning down and may make a play out of it.

 

Lean: New Orleans Hornet +5.0 and UNDER 178.5
Hornets are a relentless bunch and against the Spurs, I think they can keep it close and cover. Tim Duncan will most likely play against them after taking a day off against the Rockets. Tony Parker looks okay after a minor hip injury. Hornets are looking healthy except for Eric Gordon. They have the size and athletecism to play the Spurs close. I don't see the visiting team trying to force a running game here since they really don't want to add any more mileage to the aging team. Hornets will pretty much be in favor of a slow paced game where they'd allow their bigs to do the damage.

 

Houston Rockets +2.5
Houston's road woes are really from playing the toughest home teams in the league. Minny plays tougher at home and is a win close to a .500 home record. I guess that made the l... [More]

Posted Sunday, January 22, 2012 02:49 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

Full Cards:
LA Clippers 1Q -2.5
LA Clippers -8.5
Miami Heat 1H -5.0
Miami Heat -9.0
Cats/Nets OVER 192.0
LA Lakers-5.5

BOL.


Posted Saturday, January 21, 2012 01:30 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

5-3 Friday. 80-80 YTD. Saturday:


Denver Nuggets -2.0
Better team overall. Denver gets good results on the road (6-2 ATS) and on back-to-back games (4-1). Knicks uncharacteristically seem to find trouble scoring.


Lean: Detroit Pistons +6.5
Portland plays a step slower on back to back games. Pistons doesn't have nothing to lose and has played the Blazers close in their home games. Blazers also might look ahead to going home, playing the last leg of a 6-game road trip. This is only a lean because you know how teams would want to get out of a long road trip on a positive note. Just a slight lean on the Pistons because they can actually keep it close.


Lean: New Jersey Nets +8.0
I know the Thunder is a good road team and the Nets not really the best team at home. They are, however, finding ways to keep up with the scoring. They play the winning teams at home pretty close for almost 3 quarters. I'm taking a good stab at that 8 points because I have this gut feel that they bag one in and may surprise the Thunder.


Memphis Grizzlies -10.0
Sac-town is slowly improving but still shoots the ball pretty bad. Grizzlies is better at home and has tramendously improved their chemistry winning 5 in a row now. Kings suck on the road. Memphis by 15+ here.


Lean: New Orleans +5.5 and UNDER 175.5
All stats leads to an UNDER play. Mavericks are having trouble getting their shots. Hornets are getting healthier and will... [More]

Posted Friday, January 20, 2012 01:44 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

0-1 Thursday. 75-77 YTD. Back to square one:


Lean: Portland Trailblazers -6.5
Only 1 win in the last 5 games but they are all against winning teams. Their struggles on the road isn't a secret but you still got to love them in this spot playing a weaker team from the East. The only thing I don't like is that I think this is a point or two higher than what I'd expect to get them. Portland is obviously the better team here and I see them winning but everyone knows the Raps finally understood that they need to play defense in the NBA (and actually isn't that bad, 9th in the league in the least number of points allowed per game). I think this one will come to a last few plays where the cover will be decided so it's downgraded to a lean.


Lean: Atlanta Hawk +6.0
I hate backing the team who possibly is looking ahead (Philly goes to Miami the next day). Hawks definitely is the right play here. They can matchup well even without Horford (given Hawes' status) and can play them toe-to-toe. 6 points is a little too many (last season Atl was also a 7-point road dog) for a team who have won 4 in a row (although against teams with bad record).


Denver Nuggets -7.0
Heck of a game for the Wizards against the Thunder. I like Denver here. Nene is finally slipping back to his usual self.


Milwaukee Bucks +6.0
A definite play here. Bucks matches up well against New York and would play them close. I'm throwing away the stat... [More]

Posted Thursday, January 19, 2012 01:13 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

2-5 Wednesday. 75-76 YTD. I'm a little discouraged with January but let's just hope for the besst. One play for tomorrow:


Utah Jazz -2.5

 

BOL.




Posted Wednesday, January 18, 2012 09:28 PM

Late Games 01/18

Indiana Pacers -5.5
Dallas Mavericks  -3.0


Still looking at the totals.

 



Posted Wednesday, January 18, 2012 12:51 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

3-4 Tuesday. 73-71 YTD. I hate typing stuff on Google Chrome. LOL. Here's for Wednesday:


Philadelphia 76ers -5.0
Oklahoma City Thunder -10.5
Orlando Magic -5.0
Phoenix Suns +7.5
Atlanta Hawks -1.5

Lean:  New Orleans 1Q
Lean: Minnesota Timberwolves -8.0
Lean: Indiana Pacers -5.5


BOL.



Posted Tuesday, January 17, 2012 01:20 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

6-4 Monday. 70-67 YTD. That Lakers game was hella painful to watch. Tuesday:

 

Lean: Orlando Magic -12.0
On the road, the Cats allow a lot of 3-balls at 41% clip. They are also losing by an average of 17 (again, on the road) and by 10 in their last 5 games. With those said, they now look like sitting ducks against the Magic who beat the hell out of teams who play little defense. I made this a lean because the Magic might look ahead to hosting a stronger team and reserving their tanks for the Spurs the next day (their first b2b2b). Magic also have no problem playing back-to-back going 3-1 ATS so far to the Cats' 2-3 ATS. They did destroyed them by 21 earlier in the season and I think they can actually do it again.



Golden State Warriors ML
The 2-points or whatever amount you get them won't really matter so might as well go the ML route. The play is really against the Cavaliers off a long road trip and playing the next day at home. They also just have to exert so much effort in the second half against the Cats to get away with a win. The rested warriors should be able to edge the Cavaliers here.



Lean: San Antonio Spurs +7.5
This one is tricky. The points is just too enticing to pass up. Last season, they split the series 1-1 both in a blow out fashion. Two key players are out, Manu averages 16 and Wade by 24 against each other. Spurs are getting 5 in that road game against Miami so the 7.5 i... [More]

Posted Monday, January 16, 2012 12:37 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

1-0 Sunday. 64-63 YTD. Monday, keeping it short and sweet:


Chicago Bulls -3.5
Lean: OVER 177.5
I mean, why not right? One of the best road team of the season. Strong lean on the OVER since the Grizz have no problem scoring at home.


Philadelphia 76ers -8.0
Bogut will most likely play but it doesn't matter since the 76ers are at home and playing like a seasoned team. Hawes' back is a lot better and should contribute like he did early in the season. Bucks play them really close last season but I don't see it happening here. I guess it's because of the 76ers' improvement as a team.


Houston Rockets -5.5
Don't think too much here. Rockets suck on the road so we have such "low" line. Fading DC here! If you've been fading them the whole season you'll probably be up by 5 units now.


New Orleans ATS 1Q
Going for 12-1!


Lean: Toronto Raptors +12.5
No Bargnani and yet this team seem to not have any problem scoring. Leaning on the Raptors because it's one too many points for the Hawks to cover.


Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5
Nah. I don't think the Celtics of old will show up. Youth rolls.


Lean: Minnesota Timberwolves -7.0
Minnesota/Sacramento UNDER 192.0
Queens will continue to suck on the road. Making a 4-8 home team a 7-point fave is saying a lot about their opponent. I do believe they run them out but Sacto are so inconsistent that one good night from them may tur... [More]

Posted Sunday, January 15, 2012 08:12 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

3-4 Saturday. 63-63 YTD. Pretty late posting for Sunday:


San Antonio/Phoenix UNDER 196.5

 

BOL.



Posted Sunday, January 15, 2012 01:51 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NFL Sunday

Baltimore -9.0
HOU/BAL OVER 36.5
Green Bay -7.5
OVER 53.0


Posted Saturday, January 14, 2012 02:23 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

6-3 Friday. 60-59 YTD. Finally got over the .500. Here's for Saturday. Let's go Saints and Broncos!:


Philadelphia 76ers -8.0
Same shit as last night.


Lean: Golden State Warriors -2.5
Leaning against my Cats. I think Steph Curry plays tonight. Warriors are looking really motivated to get wins on their road trip with Cats, Det, Cavs and the Nets ahead of them.


Lean: Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5
Too many points for a short handed Hawks team against a scrappy Wolves team always tries to fight back. They should keep it close and cover.


Indiana Pacers -3.5
I don't get it. Pacers opened as a -1.5 and jumped two points up. I wasn't expecting the Pacers to win on the road (against the Raptors) but they did. Boston ran out of gas last night trying to make a comeback against the Bulls and now they have to play in Indiana on a back-to-back. Pacers edged them earlier and I expect them to get on the same groove. Until the Celtics display the defensive stuff the are best at, I think it is safe to play against them especially on back-to-backs.


Chicago Bulls -13.0
Bulls at home after a nice win against rivals Boston. Raptors will most likely play without Bargnani. I see the Bulls holding their opponent to less than 70 again while they score somewhere around 90+. They are one of the best home teams right behind Philadelphia, who's been winning by 26+ points at home. Raps should also been in bad form/mood right after a... [More]

Posted Friday, January 13, 2012 03:08 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

1-1 Thursday. 54-56 YTD. Friday the 13th:


Lean: Philadelphia 76ers -12.5
Still waiting for news on Hawes. I read that the 76ers are playing it safe. If they are, IMO would get him another day off since we'll only be playing a horrible Wizards on a home-and-home series and have him ready for Milwaukee instead. If Hawes plays, the play is on. 76ers is at home and playing a bad team who'll pretty much get blown by 15+ points. That's all the capping to be done here.


Charlotte Bobcats -4.0
Out of the 6 times I played the cats this season, I only managed to get 3 of the right. I think this will be the 7th and I'm pretty confident they cover. Totally fading this bad Pistons team on the road. I know they got more firepower but Cats (or any other team to that matter) plays better at home. I think this is because, at home, they shoot the three and rebound better than they are on the road. Until this Pistons team play by Lawrence Franks' ways, they aren't going to be any better than this run down expansion cats.


Lean: New Orleans/Minnesota UNDER 182.5
I'm surprised as I look at this. Hornets are an under team themselves but I have no idea the Wolves are just the same. Both teams combine for 5-14 O/U and will probably continue the trend with injuries in their team. I downgraded this to a lean because I feel the total will be pretty close to the line. I have this feeling that both... [More]

Posted Thursday, January 12, 2012 12:33 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

2-2 Wednesday. Miami play is still pending. I could finally hit .500 if they cover. Currently at 53-54 YTD. It's only going up after that.


Charlotte Bobcat +9.5
How many times has it been when a good team gets blown out only to be somewhere close to a double digit fave at home and end up actually covering? It's been set up like this where the public casually goes and plays the team with the points and ends up getting blown out. Not wasting time here and getting 9.5 right away. It opened at 10.5 (I wish I got it at that number) and will probably see 8.5 later on. Hawks are banged up and they do not have a good support unit to play for the hurt/injured guys. They are even thinner now and so the play on my Cats now looks like a good idea. Atlanta is the few team that the Bobcats play well and getting 9.5 is a bit too much. Earlier they played the Hawks hard only to lose in OT. IMO, Cats do it again and even get a shot winning SU.


Lean: Milwaukee Bucks -8.0
It's a lean because the line is a bit too high for my liking. Bucks get Bogut and will see him more productive now that he has a couple days of practice with the team. Detroit is just bad and even worse on the road. Either the Bucks or burn your ticket on the Pistons.


Lean: New York Knicks +4.5
This got the same feel as the 76ers play I had Wednesday night. I don't know why though but I feel the Knicks as they are now is one bad fit against the struggling Grizzlies. Amare, Melo and... [More]

Posted Wednesday, January 11, 2012 12:26 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

3-0 Tuesday. 51-52 YTD. Here's for Wednesday:


Sacto/Craptors UNDER 189.0
Hard to call a side play on this game. Thornton will probably be back playing but not 100%. The extra 4.5 points is tempting but it's hard to back such struggling road team (0-4). Raptors plays a lot better at home and if there's anything they should be proud of that's their defense. They are 9th in the league in points allowed and second (Philly is .003% better) in the league for the lowest FG% allowed. So if there's anything, the play should be on the total instead. The UNDER is really tempting considering that the Kings is the third worst shooting team in the league (.406 overall and even worst at .368 on the road).


Philadelphia 76ers +4.0
I messed with the way I look at scheduling and thought the 76ers are on their b2b2b last night against Sac but this will be the actual one. Since all 6 teams that have b2b2b schedules so far won all their games SU, it's also a good idea to try and bank on the trend one more time. The trend isn't the only reason to back the road team tonight, but because the 76ers is really balling right now. They are playing the best defense in the league and catching the Knicks at the right time, who currently are having a hard time getting their shots. Like my Cats, the 76ers is the other team who plays the Knicks well and could keep it close. IMO, they can actually win SU.


Lean: Dallas Mavericks +6.0 and UNDER 186.0
I really like the Mave... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 10, 2012 12:59 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

1-4 Monday. 48-52 YTD. Here's for Tuesday. Going to run down all the games here but will be picky with the play:


Lean: Sacramento Kings +10.5 and UNDER 197.5
76ers on a b2b2b and I think teams on the same sched are 6 of 6. I think something's got to give and sooner or later it will average out. I like the Kings for this reason and the change to Keith Smart somehow made them better. They are able to keep the Magic within' reach and escape a win against the Bucks. It's all home games so there's a slight edge there but I think they carry it over against the 76ers. What I also like is that the Kings look to rebound better now. With their front court, they should be winning the rebounding count most of the nights (but they aren't). They side is only a lean because (again) the b2b2b trend who favors the team playing 3 in 3 and because the 76ers is still at home (Kings loses at an average of 20 something points). I might upgrade the UNDER later to a play since the 76ers is 0-2 O/U so far at home (Kings is 1-2) and they really take their time in every possession. Kings also looking a bit more organized in their last 2 games taking their time in offense.


Toronto/Washington
No play here. I like the Raps but this have the same feel as Minny last night. Winning against a bad team then traveling the next day and getting a short line. If you look at it that way, the play should be on the home favorite. But who would play the Wizards right now? I'd stay away.[More]

Posted Monday, January 09, 2012 12:04 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

5-1 Sunday. 47-48 YTD. Here's for Monday:


Minnesota Timberwolves +3.5
Leaning: 76ers -4.5
Indiana Pacers/Philadelphia 76ers OVER 183.5
Atlanta Hawks -5.0
Charlotte Bobcats +11.0
Detroit Pistons/Chicago Bulls OVER 175.5
Leaning: New Orleans +13.5


BOL.



Posted Saturday, January 07, 2012 02:06 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

5-3 Friday. 40-45 YTD. Almost back. Here's for Saturday, again I'd love to hear your thoughts on the games:


Chicago Bulls -3.5
If the Hawks aren't tired after their last two games (or say playing the 5th game in 6 nights), then they have one hell of a conditioning coach. Going to ride the Bulls here on a sucker looking line but I'm going to bite. It shouldn't be as close as their game earlier in the season.


Lean: Indiana Pacers -9.0
I like Pacers here playing at home. Cats will have to contend with a formidable front court tonight and Tyrus Thomas' arrival will take say 2 or 3 more games for him to really be relevant. I see the Cats having a rough time here with the bigger Pacers team playing with momentum. This team can really defend but what worries me is the Pacers sometimes plays down to their opponent and when that happens they rarely blow out  the competition.


Lean: Philadelphia 76ers -10.0
Gotta go with the team playing well at the moment. 76ers saw huge improvements from last year and they don't look like they are offensively challenged anymore. They are getting good support from their bench and the getting good production from Spencer Hawes. I really like the 76ers especially when they are at home but what makes me think twice is because the Raptors (so far) plays better (and shoots better) on the road than they do at home. They even hit those 3s far better so getting 10 on a team that can stretch the floor (on near 50% ... [More]

Posted Friday, January 06, 2012 01:55 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

3-0 Thursday. 35-42 YTD. Hope to build on this fine Thursday. Got really lucky with the Heat bet. I guess people are sleeping on Chris Bosh.


Leaning: New York Knicks -6.5
Wizards has yet to do anything right to win a game and the Knicks is the perfect team for them to get a win. Third home game for the Wizards. The first one against the Nets was pretty close until they ran out of gas in the 4th (lost by 6). The next one against then winless Boston wasn't even a contest though they came back stronger in the second half to keep in within 8. Knicks on the other hand are a mess. Melo called them out after being embarassed by my Cats. The last time the team were called out (by Amare after losing 6 in a row) they went on to win 13 of the next 14 late in November. The team lacks real guard play to utilize to of the better big men in the league and a real leader to lead the team. I'm leaning on the Knicks in this game because I feel that this should somehow be a spark for the team to get a win. Wizards is also the perfect opponent for them (allowing their opponents close to 100points). Knicks haven't played them after the Melo trade but had success against their current lineup. Basing this purely on gut feel as I feel the Knicks are looking to be relevant again.


Charlotte Bobcats +1.5
Hawks will be hella tired tonight (3 OTs with starters logging 40+ minutes and playing the 4th game in 5 nights). Cats always follows up good wins with good performances. If ... [More]

Posted Wednesday, January 04, 2012 01:17 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

1-5 Tuesday. 26-37 YTD. Dug myself a real bad hole. Hope you guys have been doing better, still not giving up on this. I've been basing my plays a lot on scheduling but it obviously isn't working well. I'm twisting it up and just giving little edge on the scheduling. I'd love to hear what you guys think of the plays. Let's do this!


Toronto Raptors -4.0
Cavs/Raps OVER 191.5
I noticed that home games have been huge this year and they are getting real good support from the home crowd. Cavaliers have been performing well as of late but the same can be said for the Raptors. They've played the top tier teams so far and managed themselves well keeping up and at some point even controlling the game itself. Cavaliers have been alive thanks to their rookie Kyrie and Jamison who's slowly becoming relevant again. Coach Scott is also looking to shoot more 3s (currently ranked 6th in the league in 3P%). Anyway, I'm playing the Raptors here given their success against the Cavaliers from last season. They are somewhere near the 50% mark in FG% against them (winning 3 of 4 matchups) and has been one of the better shooting team in the league (ranked 4th in FG%). I see this game turning into a shootout with the Raptors really trying to play defense. I guess that explains why the total is 10 points lower than last season's average (201).


Lean: Orlando Magic -13.0
You know you gotta look ahead to Orlando's next game right after a loss especially if they were d... [More]

Posted Tuesday, January 03, 2012 12:54 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

0-1 Monday. 25-32 YTD.


Chicago Bulls -9.5
Hard not to like the Bulls in this spot. Rested and taking on a Hawks team playing the 4th game in 5 nights. Bulls also have a history of blowing out the Hawks in their wins. In 6 games that they've won against the Hawks last year, the winning margin goes up to 22points. I believe we'll see the Hawks tired in this game with their starters logging heavy minutes and will have to ask more from their really short bench.


Portland Trailblazers +5.0
OKC is playing 3 in 4 (going 5 games in 7 nights) against a rested Blazers squad who just got off a bad beating in Lob City. I fear the Blazers playing sourly on the road and their past head-to-head against the Thunders might reflect in Tuesday night's game. It's not really that bad though, 2 of their 3 losses from the Thunders are decided by a mere bucket.


BOL.



Posted Monday, January 02, 2012 12:17 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

3-5 Sunday. 25-31 YTD. Cutting down on the number of plays now. Only two for Monday.


Orlando Magic -3.0
Denver Nuggets -5.0


BOL.



Posted Sunday, January 01, 2012 02:27 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

4-1 Saturday. 22-26 YTD. Here's for Sunday. Happy New Year fellas!


Boston Celtics/Washington Wizards
No play here.


Toronto Raptors +11.5
Toronto actually playing with a workable defense now. They've managed to keep up with Dallas for most parts and play the improved Pacers to the tooth. Raptors also plays the Magic really well winning  two games last season. IMO, Raptors are better this year than last year and Orlando barely had any changes. Magic is also looking at a potential 4 in 5 in the next two days. Bayless will most likely be out of the game.


Charlotte Bobcats +14.5
Miami is looking at a 4 in 5 starting tonight. I don't think they'd go full throttle and think too much of their last head-to-head. They did won the game and would be a different matter if they lost and a looming revenge angle would be possible. Wade is still hurt and I don't think they'd push harder than they did in that second half in Charlotte. I see the Heat winning comfortably here with the gritty Cats cutting corners for a cover.


New Jersey Nets +3.0
Something about the Nets that I like them going to Cleveland. Kyrie Irving is slowly improving his game and getting used to the NBA. Deron loves to out play other guards and so far, IMO, have been successful. Nets plays better if you let them score and the Cavs is a type that will engage them to a scoring battle. Both teams may seem evenly match but I'm taking the team with the point... [More]