CrazyMilkMan's Blog

Posted Monday, March 30, 2009 10:01 PM

Late Game

Take Memphis +6




Posted Monday, March 30, 2009 01:54 AM

Last One from the Milky One

Yep this will be the last pick from me. Will be back when the play-off starts. Hope you guys had a profitable season so far. I'll be enjoying some of my winnings hopefully we get back on another winning track when the playoff starts. Clear mind and in a better capping mood come play-off time. Good luck on your future plays guys. Save some betting cash for the playoffs. We start making serious money there!


Knicks/Jazz UNDER 213

Knicks has been Under backers dream the last 10 games. Their games went under 8 of their last. On the road, they cap a 14-21 o/u record. Utah Jazz will be Utah Jazz. They are a monster at home and they would bow to no one in Salt Lake. They dictate their own pace and would play stellar defense against any teams. With 31-6 Home SU record they force totals to go under 21 out of their 37 home games. My numbers tells me that the total should go somewhere near 205. Utah 113 to 92 Knicks demolition isn't far from happening.



BOL.




Posted Sunday, March 29, 2009 08:04 PM

*** Sunday Suns ***

Phoenix Suns -6

Gonna make this one short. Phoenix definitely took a beating in that past two games and look for them to rough things up and turn things around with a win against the lowly Sacto-team. With 8 games left, Phoenix is 3 games behind Dallas who owns that coveted 8th playoff spot in the West. Look for the Suns to continue dominating the Queens and claw their way to that 8th and final play-off spot.

BOL.



Posted Friday, March 27, 2009 10:06 PM

*** This will Hurt ***

Portland -13

Memphis' season is over. Portland on the other hand still has chance on getting better positioning in the play-offs and with 5 more home games (this one included) I bet they'd want to maximize and get as much home wins as they can. Portland is amazing after a day of rest with 22-19 and a convincingly 21-14 ATS at home. Memphis on b2b are 7-11 ATS and a horrific 14-20 ATS, 5-29 SU on the road. 13 should be a scary number but not for Portland at home. They are 7-4 ATS when set as a 10 or more point favorite.



BOL.



Posted Friday, March 27, 2009 04:16 AM

*** 2 is Just 2 Much ***

Thunder Folks +5.5

Yep. Too much for the Raps and I think they will be played by them Thunder Folks to the wire. Oklahoma is by far one of the best ATS covering machine and they are back in the range where they would mostly cover games. 9-5 ATS on 2 days rest, 21-12 ATS on the road and 16-9 ATS when set as a 5 to 9 points dog. Toronto on the other hand is horrible 13-21 ATS at home with 14-28 after a day of rest. They are 3-14 ATS after 2 or more home SU wins and 0-8 ATS after covering 2 straight games. Too many numbers. LOL. So I'll feed you more. Toronto is 1-4 ATS against Western Conf teams while the Thunder is coming in strong as a 4-0 ATS team after getting blown out at home. 13-2 their last 15 following an ATS loss.


BOL.



Posted Wednesday, March 25, 2009 10:57 PM

*** Mr. One Play a Day ***

Nicolas Batum -7

I know Phoenix is on a 3 games in 4 nights but I'd careless. These old men have a 9-7 ATS on b2b and 4-0 ATS when they are made dogs (3-0 ATS as road dogs). Then again, they are 13-19-1 ATS on the road and is only a 16-18 road team SU. Portland has Roy and Outlaw listed as probable and questionable. I think this is some bull. LOL. You gotta love this team even more. Anyway, the Blazers are streaking 6-4 ATS after 2 days of rest 4-1 their last 5. They are one of the NBA's best home team logging 28-7 SU and 20-14 ATS. Phoenix should tire their old legs out tonight in Utah as I write this. Hopefully Phoenix loses this one out so we could see chasers running after Phoenix in Thursday's game.


BOL.




Posted Wednesday, March 25, 2009 02:07 AM

*** Greywolves ***

Puppies +10.5

For some strange reasons, them pups looks like the Kryptonite of the 76ers. If you go back to the past matchups between this two teams, it seems like they've been playing neck-to-neck in every meeting. Anyway, the real reason I like to bet against Philly (not only as a revenge bet because they destroyed my Portland team) is because coming off a five game west coast trip should have negative effect on thier first home game. They've played offensive teams and has run with them. For some reason, they look very energetic in every game and has not let up since winning in LA. Philly will be placing one Road ATS Juggernaut in the T'Wolves holding on to a 21-13-1 road record against the 76ers' average 15-17-2 mark. Look for the 76ers to come out tired and sluggish on the offensive with Minnesota catching up at the last quarter (if ever they are down big).



BOL.





Also liking Orlando and the Bucks.


Posted Tuesday, March 24, 2009 01:07 AM

*** Recovery Bill 101 ***

Luis Scola +5.5

Houston are 6-1 as underdogs this big. They play well when facing tough teams and they've covered the last 4 games against teams with more than .600% home record. Jazz has been cold ATS-wise only covering 1 of their last 5 games. Expect this game to go down the wire with the winner only scoring 3 or 4 more than the other.


BOL.




Posted Sunday, March 22, 2009 11:12 PM

*** 5 in 7 ***

On a little 5-1 run the past few 5 days. Let's keep checkin'


ROYalty - 7.5

Portland is a tough place for visiting teams and the ROYalty takes things a little seriously. They are winners of 8 out of their last 10 home games and has recorded 28-6 SU and 20-13 ATS at home. The 76ers on the other hand has been on the road for quite some time now and they should start feeling the fatigue after their game against the Queens tonight. They've been running in 4 games in 6 nights going for the 5th in 7 nights on the road against offensive teams (Lakers, Phoenix, Golden State and now Sacramento). 76ers are horrendous back-to-back teams going for 6-11 ATS against a decent 22-18 ATS of Portland on 1 rest day. If you would, this is such a nice revenge spot for this young Portalnd team after being embarassed by 21 in Philly last 01/14/09. If you would argue that Blazers has been too long on the road and would most likely F-up in their first home game. Worry not as they are 4-1 on their first home game coming off 3 or more consecutive road games.



BOL.





Posted Sunday, March 22, 2009 02:08 AM

*** KD35 ***

Kevin Durant -1

Oklahoma City is an ATS machine. Although they are 20-12 ATS on the road, they suck as hell when made as the favorite in the game. Anyway, Minnesota suck as hell at home going for 10-24-1 ATS and 7-20 in games after 1 day of rest. Oklahoma is a 21-14 ATS team after a day of rest. Minny is coming off a 3 game road trip losing in Houston, New Orleans and San Antonio. The negative effect of such road trip should still be evident in their first home game. This scenario end up with the home team losing in their first home game following 3 or more consecutive road games. I think Oklahoma suffered a beat down last 1/07/09 against Minny and so you could say we can take that revenge factor here. Thunder are also a pretty strong 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games following an ATS loss.



BOL.




Posted Saturday, March 21, 2009 01:15 AM

*** Dogs will be dogs ***


Atlanta Hawks +8.5

Is it me or has teams that clinched play-off berth plays half-heartedly out there? Spread this big looks like no problem for the cavs if they were in the race for a good play-off spot. I think the Cavs will have less motivation to blow out teams and would have to take care of their core players so they could be as fresh as they could get come play-off time. Stat shows that they are quite evenly matched ATS-wise as well as ATS based on rest-days. Anyway, Hawks are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. They are also a perfect 6-0 their last 6 games against teams above .600 as well as their last 6 playing after a day of rest. I don't expect the Hawks to win out there. I think they lose by 4 or 5 points the same way Portland put up a fight. It should fall to a 92-87 type of contest. Cavs will distance itself early on and let a backdoor slip.



BOL.



Posted Wednesday, March 18, 2009 11:16 PM

*** Swagger of a Champ Part 2 ***

No Flash No Problem for the Heat to cover. Let's keep it rolling again:


King James -9


Great spot to take the Cavs here. Not only because they are monster at home but because Portland suck big time on the road. Portland is in their 4th game in 5 nights on the road and these most of the time spells trouble for the visiting team. LBJ is 23-8 ATS at home and is 19-15 ATS after 1 day rest. Portland is 13-20 ATS on the road, 6-7 ATS on b2b. Cavs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games againts teams with a losing road record. The only concern this would raise is that the Cavs has not been in the mood after clinching play-off berth. Although winning 9 of the last 10 games only covering 4 of 10.





BOL.





Posted Wednesday, March 18, 2009 01:16 AM

Swagger of a Champ

We got that nice hit on the Baby Bulls. Let's move along and keep on picking that winner!

 FLASH +6.5


Green men at home are scare but D-Wade are twice as much. Anyway, the game against the Bulls sure is expected. The Celts really need KG to have three real offensive options in offense. The Celts stands with a 27-6 Home record (17-16 ATS). Heat is a misserable 12-19 on the road and just as bad ATS with 14-16-1. The go for 5-6-1 after 2 days of rest as to the Celts' 7-7 ATS on b2b. The schedule kinda reminds me of when Boston went sour losing 4 games in a row. D-Wade and his boys are playing pretty well on the 2nd game of a 4 or more road trip and so far they are 2-0 SU/ATS. This looks like a good spot for good spot to play the Boston since most would say that "Boston won't lose 3 straight". Again, this set-up reminds me of the 1/02/09 - 1/11/09 stretch for Boston.



BOL.



Posted Monday, March 16, 2009 11:06 PM

*** Easy Pickin' ***

Sorry loss for the Hornets. They thought they could just show up and win the game knowing that Yao is out with a flu. Anyway, let's keep it rollin'

Stern's Baby Bulls +2

Bulls will be rocking the house against the Defending Champs. They are awful with out the real Celtic man in Brian Scalabrine. LOL. They are 1-8 ATS without him. Seriously now, the Bulls are terrific at home. They are 5-0 the last 5 home games. 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against teams with above .600 record and 4-1 the last 5 games when set as a home dog. Also notice that the Bulls has been given "fishy" lines quite a number of times already. They're like Stern's favorite or something. Anyway, it's either the Celts gets blown out again or win by one or two. Wait for better lines as it will surely fire up!



BOL.





Posted Sunday, March 15, 2009 08:37 PM

*** Mr. One Play a Day ***

Doing what I do best. A play a day keeps them bookies from collecting your money away.


New Orleans Hornets -3.5

Hornets is like a mini-Lakers team. They bounces back after getting embarrassed. Between two good teams, I give more value to the home favorite. They are 23-9 at home against the Rockets' 16-17 road record. IMO, this line is rather scary. Houston is 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS when they are set as a 5-point dog or below. The Hornets are 5-1 ATS and 6-0 SU on their first home game coming from a two or more road trip. In their last two games this season (both with Alston and TMac), the home team took the game winning by 9. Home court should be big here with a play-off like atmosphere here. CP3 will be insane in this game.



BOL.



Posted Sunday, March 15, 2009 09:59 AM

*** Starting Out Right ***

Let's start the week right and play these gems. I'll be posting write ups now so we could both learn from each other's view in capping games:

Atlanta Hawks -4.5
They are a hot home team and they aren't stopping. We can argue all day as to which team would need this game far more than the other. I say they just need them just as bad. Simple reasoning here. One team is bad on the road and who could have forgotten that the other pushed the defending champs to seven games. Portland (41-24) has done well despite injuries but I see them missing out Batum (possibly), Rudy's energy and Oden down-low tonight against this relentless Hawk squad. Not much stat but just picking the better team tonight.


Dallas Mavericks +9.5
Okay, I don't know what I'm missing here but surely this one's set so high. 4th game on the road in 6 nights for the Mavs. They are 2-1 so far and has toughen up even without Josh Howard out there. Dallas also plays the Lakers tough, head-on and I don't see the Mavs getting blown out here. I don't have enough courage to put anything on the ML but I think 9.5 is just too much even if the Lakers is at home.


BOL.



Posted Saturday, March 14, 2009 02:04 AM

*** New Swagger ***

Finally got the swag back in place. 5-1 last night and hopefully we keep on rolling! Let's hear it:

AK47 +1

I have no Idea why in the world is the Jazz as a one point dog here. They are an average 15-16 ATS on the road compared to the Heats' 15-18. They are better at 7-7-0 ATS after 2 days of rest against the Heat's 4-6-1. Wade is listed as probable but don't believe this rubbish. He'll play. He's a fighter. Also, it is a good spot for anyone to fade teams that defeated those top teams (Cavs, Lakers, Boston) and the Heat did it by 8. The Jazz is in the middle of their East-coast road trip and a possible look ahead game against Orlando the next day. Utah is 3-2 ATS on the game before a the game they are possibly looking ahead to (I only considered the above .500 teams as look ahead games). This is also a possible revenge game for the Jazz as the heat is accounted for one of the six home losses they have.




Other leans:
Bobcats - 4.5
Spurs +2



BOL.




Posted Friday, March 13, 2009 02:27 AM

Winless and Fighting

I think I've forgotten about how to win in the NBA already. Really on a horrible slump. Anyway, everyday is a new day and it won't make you a good or a bad bettor/capper  the next day.

Chicago +3.5
Orlando-8.5
Portland -6.5
New Orleans -3.5


BOL.



Posted Thursday, March 12, 2009 02:32 AM

Public gets butchered on Thursday

Looking at the consensus right now. It looks like we're going to have:

San Antonio Spurs -2.5
Lakers/Spurs UNDER 196
Phoenix Suns +4
Cavaliers/Suns UNDER 219.5












Posted Wednesday, March 11, 2009 01:16 AM

NBA Wednesday

Horrible month. It seems like I'm seriously feeling the recession. Anyway, the Public has been toast for quite some time now. Let's try and get it back.

Leans:
New York +7.5
Washington +7.5
Portland -8



What do you guys think?


BOL.



Posted Tuesday, March 10, 2009 10:03 PM

Cavs @ Clips

Anyone thinks King James -11 is a good idea?




LA Clippers


Posted Monday, March 09, 2009 01:06 AM

NBA Monday

Back to playing pick'em style.


New Orleans Hornets -1.5

You may be scratching your head with this one. I was scratching mine twice as much. Hornets has received such number on the road for a couple of times now:

03/02/09 @ Philadelphia W 98-91 Regular Season W 2 P 18903/01/09 @ New Jersey W 99-96 Regular Season L -4.5 O 192.502/09/09 @ Memphis L 80-85 Regular Season L 3.5 U 18601/17/09 @ Detroit W 91-85 Regular Season W -2.5 P 17601/16/09 @ Cleveland L 78-92 Regular Season L 2.5 U 184.5 01/14/09 @ Dallas W 104-97 Regular Season W -4.5 O 18912/28/08 @ Indiana W 105-103 Regular Season L -4.5 O 19612/14/08 @ Toronto W 99-91 Regula... [More]

Posted Saturday, March 07, 2009 11:37 PM

NBA Sunday

4-0 last night. Totally wiped out that bad week we had. Let's keep it rolling and get on with this nice little gem:



Brevin Knight -5.5



BOL.



Posted Friday, March 06, 2009 09:09 AM

NBA Friday



Minnesota Timberpups +15.5


It's time to fade the Lakers when they are double digit faves. T'Wolves should get the usual beating and look for them to cover at the very last minute as Phil Jackson sends Kobe and the rest of his starters to Taco Bell in the 4th when they are up double digit. Same thing lik ethe Memphis game.


BOL.



Posted Thursday, March 05, 2009 09:55 AM

NBA TNT Thursday

Huge Play. Gonna make it short.



Brandon Roy +6




BOL.



Posted Wednesday, March 04, 2009 10:02 AM

NBA Wednesday

4-4 Last night. Still not working. LOL. Here's my play:

Mil/Cle U197
Boston -6
NY+1
Jazz -8.5


BOL.



Posted Tuesday, March 03, 2009 08:54 AM

NBA Tuesday

Spurs bailed me out from that 0-3 night I'm supposed to have. Up by a little spare coins but hey, it's better than the other end. Anyway, I'm releasing my full cards now. Hope we end our bad luck this tuesday. Still got 4 betting days to go. Let's get it done!


Charlotte Bobcats -2.5  /  Chicago Bulls @ Charlotte Bobcats UNDER 192.5
Deng and Thomas is out. Cats just have enough defensive options to stop the Bulls' young gunners. Cats are 7-3 ATS playing after resting for 2 days. The Bulls are only 6-9-1 ATS and 15-16-1 on the road. The Bobcats are actually best when they are at home as they are 18-13 ATS with a 35-25-0 overall ATS record. Teams that Larry Brown coaches is an automatic UNDER. The Cats are 26-32-2 o/u record with majortiy of that under coming from a 13-17-1 o/u home record. I see the Cats dominating the Bulls here and easily covering.


New Jersey Nets +2.5
Nets enjoys picking on the Bucks, special mention: Vince Carter. This man almost had two triple-double performance the last time they palyed. Both teams on a possible look ahead game as Nets will get to play Boston at home and the Bucks will visit the Cavs the next day. Both are perfectly set-up for a 3-games in 4-nights type of scenario (Milwaukee will have the 3rd on the 6th against Orlando) where they are an almost perfect fade material. Anyway, Devin Harris has picked things up the last 3 games and has showed why he was an all-star. Seriously this play is more of a ... [More]

Posted Monday, March 02, 2009 01:09 AM

NBA Monday

NBA: 144-97-6
This Week: 3-3-1


Tough beat last night. Hooks and/or just one point got to us. Anyway, still early this week and we can still turn things around. Let's do it with this card for now, the rest of my picks to follow:


White House +4.5



BOL.




Posted Sunday, March 01, 2009 09:21 AM

NBA Sunday

NBA: 141-94-5
Last Week: 14-10

Hey Guys! How've you been doing? I hope you've been earning money every week with me. Last week was rather tough but we managed to pull through. I think we start taking more money from the books this week. Here's my full cards:


Detroit Pistons +9.5 (P.O.D.)
Denver Nuggets -2
New Orleans Hornets-3.5
Houston Rockets -6
Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5
Dallas Mavericks -6.5
Toronto/Dallas OVER 207



BOL.