CrazyMilkMan's Blog

Posted Thursday, March 31, 2011 11:26 AM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Thursday

0-0

Washington +130

BOL.



Posted Thursday, March 31, 2011 01:18 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

NBA YTD: 427-313-16
Sunday: 3-2
Monday: 2-3
Tuesday: 1-2
Wednesday 2-1-1

Los Angeles Lakers -6.0



BOL.



Posted Wednesday, March 30, 2011 03:23 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Wednesday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 30, 2011 Philippine Basketball Association game.

Projected Line for March 30, 2011:
PBA
5pm Game: Ginebra vs Smart Gilas +4.5 179.5
7:30pm Game: Air 21 +3.5 vs Meralco 189.5



Bet365 line: 3:30pm
5pm Game: Ginebra vs Smart Gilas pk 190.5
7:30pm Game: Air 21 +2.5 vs Meralco 192.5



Projected Scores:
Ginebra 86 - 78 Smart Gilas
Air 21 105 - 104 Meralco


Mojo Chart *NEW
Ginebra - A+
Alaska - A
Smart Gilas - A-
Talk N Text - A-
Air 21 - B+
Rain or Shine - B
Powerade - B
Derby Ace - B-
Meralco - B-
San Miguel - C-


Projected Consensus:
Ginebra : 40%
Smart Gilas: \60%
O/U: 90-10

Air 21 : 30%
Meralco : 70%
O/U: 70-30



BOL.

... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 30, 2011 03:03 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

NBA YTD: 425-312-15
Sunday: 3-2
Monday: 2-3
Tuesday: 1-2

Can't wait for the playoffs. Still a bit more grind till we get there. Not much great games tonight so a bunch of leans for now.

Rockets are still hustling and only 2 games behind the Grizzlies. It's really hard to dissect both teams at the moment. Houston are playing like crazy and has no more room for error in the upcoming games. 76ers just had a momentum booster with a win over the Bulls on the road. At home, they are tough as hell and  not give an inch to the visiting team. Rockets are playing 3 games in 4 nights and will pretty much dig deeper to not get affected by the wear and tear of the trip. In their game earlier this season, Kevin Martin was shut down to 9 points good thing Kyle Lowry (who is putting up good numbers the last few games) picked up the slack with 36. Scola chipped 26 and Patrick Patterson's 10 points were all from hustle plays that showed the team his worth. The 76ers had an unreal night going 55% from the field with 7 players scoring in double figures. The play here should the Philadelphia 76ers -3.0 but the line dropping from 4 to 3 kinda scares me. Philly does play the Rockets really well when you look at the head-to-head and has fared well especially playing at home. I'm still looking for other angles to this but the 76ers is pretty tough at home which is overshadowed by only 5 wins in the last 10 games they played.

This play is pretty much like last night... [More]

Posted Tuesday, March 29, 2011 02:23 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

NBA YTD: 424-310-15
Sunday: 3-2
Monday: 2-3

Houston Rockets -6.5 is an easy play here and you guys might want to play it with caution. The Nets boasts of playing better defense at home and can go for easy covers with 6.5 at hand but you still got to hand it to the road team because they aren't that far off the 8th spot in the west. Nets doesn't have any where to go but to gain more mileage for next season. As for the total, I believe it can go OVER 203.0 easy because the Nets can score if you let them.

Miami off a good game against the Rockets and they're rested. LeBron will be playing the last game this season in Cleveland where they averaged 20.33 points winning difference. The right play here is Miami Heat -13.0. You got to love LeBron on the road with an angry crowd. He loves torching and bringing it to places like that so you can expect him to get ridiculous. They play in Washington the next day which isn't really any concern. Cavs are just trying to get by and hopefully try to save face and get on one last good revenge over the Queen James. Still as offensively challenged as the Cats or Bucks now, but 197 is just about right up there. I see the heat getting to 100-110 points while the Cavs probably trying had for 80-90 points. Other concern is that the Heat might go into cruise control having scrub teams in their schedule on the list.

Oklahoma City has no where to go now with their remaining games. They're stuck at 4th not unless Dallas start... [More]

Posted Monday, March 28, 2011 01:31 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

NBA YTD: 422-307-15
Sunday: 3-2

One play at the moment. Will be back for the writeup.

Charlotte Bobcats -1.5

BOL.



Posted Sunday, March 27, 2011 11:45 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

Will return later for the rest of the stuff. Plays for today:

Sacramento Kings +9.0
SAC@PHI UNDER 208.5
Memphis Grizzlies -3.0
Portland Trailblazers (+4.5) ML





On VCU and Kentucky tonight as well.


BOL.



Posted Saturday, March 26, 2011 01:31 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Saturday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 26, 2011 Philippine Basketball Association game.

Projected Line for March 26, 2011:
PBA
6pm Game: Ginebra vs Rain or Shine +7.0 177.5


Bet365 line: 1:30pm
Ginebra vs Rain or Shine +5.5 189.5


Projected Scores:
Ginebra 93 - 81 Rain or Shine


Mojo Chart *NEW
Ginebra - A+
Alaska - A
Talk N Text - B+
Rain or Shine - B
Meralco - B
Air 21 - B-
Smart Gilas - B-
Derby Ace - B-
Powerade - C
San Miguel - D


Projected Consensus:
Ginebra : 80%
Rain or Shine : 20%
O/U: 90-10




BOL.
... [More]

Posted Saturday, March 26, 2011 01:19 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

NBA YTD: 420-307-15 
Sunday: 2-2
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 2-3
Wednesday: 8-0
Thursday: 1-1
Friday: 1-4

Tough break Friday. Moving on to Saturday as usual.

Hawks is due right? But Nets won't make it any easier for them, New Jersey has been playing pretty good basketball the last 10 games and I see them not stopping. Although losing by 10, they did show the Magic some tough love. The play here is New Jersey Nets +10.0 because it's one too many for a team that they've beaten twice already this season. Hawks sucks and with no real floor general to rally them together and make them compete as a unit, they're doomed to fail. Horford is a bit bothered by that Hamstring injury and won't do them any good tomorrow. I see the UNDER  185.0 hitting pretty decent given both teams are really a somewhat defensive team. Hawks are notorious in having offensive lapses while the Nets on a back to back should be a step slower in offense. Hawks will be focusing more on keeping the team intact and ready for the playoffs, having the Cavs next before hosting Orlando puts them in a two game cruise mode. Hawks are also pretty bad ATS-wise at home.

The chase for the 8th spot is still up for grabs in the East. IMO, the 7th spot occupied by the Knicks even! I'm waiting for 4.5 if I could before I get a jump on the Cats. I guess there'll be no S-Jax Saturday night against the Knicks but still the Knicks are horrible and I won't back my gut feel this time with ... [More]

Posted Friday, March 25, 2011 02:13 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Friday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 25, 2011 Philippine Basketball Association game.

Projected Line for March 25, 2011:
PBA
5pm Game: Meralco +5.5 vs Alaska 182.5
7:30pm Game: Talk N Text vs San Miguel +4.5 194.5


Bet365 line:
N/A


Projected Scores:
Meralco 81 - 89 Alaska
Talk N Text 100 - 93 San Miguel


Mojo Chart *NEW
Ginebra - A+
Meralco - B+
Talk N Text - B
Alaska - B
Air 21 - B-
Smart Gilas - B-
Rain or Shine - B-
Derby Ace - B-
Powerade - C
San Miguel - C-


Projected Consensus:
Meralco : 30%
Alaska : 70%
O/U: 35-65

Talk n Text: 65%
San Miguel: 35%
O/U: 30-70



BOL.
... [More]

Posted Friday, March 25, 2011 02:02 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

NBA YTD: 420-307-15 
Sunday: 2-2
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 2-3
Wednesday: 8-0
Thursday: 1-1
 
I'm feeling a bit off with the Kings@Pacers games. No real angle to look at you can't even use the head to head matchup because it was before both teams had any changes. It's pretty hard to call a Kings game because you just don't know when they'll show up. They can, at one time, give a good team a hard time and be a complete ass the next time around. Pacers on the other hand is looking to solidify it's hold on the 8th spot with 10 games left in their schedule. This game is one of those that they have to win to completely distance themselves from the 8th spot chase. They have 5 more teams to play that is above .500 and they'll probably not take any chances giving up winnable games like this one. Kings doesn't have any advantage over the Pacers. Size-wise, the Pacers have the bangers to hustle downlow and as long as Psycho T continues playing like crazy, they'll be close to impossible against the Kings (21.0 points and 7.6 rebounds over the past 10 games). A no play here since the Kings is a team who hardly stops scoring even down, say 30+. Pacers have the guys to run them out of their home court but I'm not too comfortable with 7.5 points. The total is also pretty high but not so much for an under play since both can score 100 easy. Pacers plays better defense at home and so a little lean on the over but not so much. A lot of games tomorrow so it's not too... [More]

Posted Thursday, March 24, 2011 01:06 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

NBA YTD: 420-307-15 
Sunday: 2-2
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 2-3
Wednesday: 8-0

Only one play at the moment. The UNDER is only a lean.

New Orleans Hornets -1.0
New Orleans@Utah UNDER 191.0


Projected line:
Minnesota Timberwolves+12.5 @ Dallas Mavericks 207.5

BOL.



Posted Wednesday, March 23, 2011 02:27 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Wednesday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 23 Philippine Basketball Association game.

Projected Line for March 23, 2011:
PBA
5pm Game: Derby Ace +2.5 vs Smart Gilas 188.5
7:30pm Game: Powerade vs Meralco +3.5 185.5


Bet365 line: 2:30pm
5pm Game: Derby Ace +4.0 vs Smart Gilas 188.5
7:30pm Game: Powerade vs Meralco +4.0 188.5


Projected Scores:
Derby Ace 89 - 108 Smart Gilas
Powerade 89 - 87 Meralco


Mojo Chart *NEW
Smart Gilas - A
Ginebra - A
Meralco - B
Alaska - B+
Talk N Text - B
Air 21 - B-
Rain or Shine - B-
Derby Ace - C+
Powerade - C
San Miguel - C-


Projected Consensus:
Derby Ace : 30%
Smart Gilas : 70%
O/U: 60-50

Powerade: 45%
Meralco: 55%
O/U: 55-45



BOL.
... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 23, 2011 02:02 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

NBA YTD: 412-307-15 
Sunday: 2-2
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 2-3

If the Bulls were the play of the day yesterday, you can say that New Jersey Nets -3.5 is Wednesday's equivalent. I know, only 4 wins on the road doesn't cut it but you got to love how Farmar is running the show now for the Nets (with Deron out) and they never looked better after a surprising 5 game streak which is like eons ago already. Cavs will continue to suck and pretty much make the Nets look good. Jamison has been huge in keeping the Cavs keep up with the Nets in their last 2 games averaging 20+ points in those games. Hickson and Gibson are the other players who were consistent in putting up points against the Nets. Their production will be canceled out by Lopez and Farmar leaving it to the other guys to make the difference. You also got to love how the Nets are playing defense now and will be frustrating for Cavs' having no real offensive players. Hickson, on of the cavs offensive option, has been taking mid range jumpers and should be a double edged sword for the team.

Hawks and the 76ers are yet to be able to cruise to the playoffs yet. The lower 4 spots in the east is still anyone's game. Anyway, no play in this game. 6.5 is quite a number for the 76ers who's playing the first time after a week on the road. I also don't like this spot because the Hawks just got blown out by the Bulls last night and they'd be ready for this game to remove that bad taste, at least hungry enough fo... [More]

Posted Monday, March 21, 2011 10:58 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

NBA YTD: 410-304-15
Sunday: 2-2
Monday: 2-1 (counted the TOR Full game a loss already and TOR 2nd half still pending)


Chicago Bulls -4.0 is the play. Hawks sucks and that's all the explanation needed here. Leaning the OVER 180.0 here. I know Hawks' offense are crap and pair it with the Bulls' suffocating Defense and watch them squirm from shots not falling. Both teams are a combined 57-81-0 O/U record. Their first two games went 163 and 170 total respectively. I feel the Bulls are going to run the Hawks out of their building now that they are looking healthy and gunning for the top seed. I see them jumping the gun and scoring a hundred here with the Hawks limited to say 80-85. It should flirt pretty close to the total and jump over it nearing the end of the game.

I really hate betting against the Lakers since they are team that can really turn it on any time of the day. Good thing the decision is easier when they are playing the Suns who are deadly from beyond the Arc and is pretty annoying laying 7 points on the road. They may be down say 15 nearing the end game but having scrubs who can hit threes late in the game for them is a blessing. Phoenix Suns +7.0 is the play here. Lakeshow and Suns look to compete close and should be able to keep it within 7-10 which still a good chance for the cover. As for the total, I'm leaning the UNDER because the Suns seem to be an UNDER team the last few games not entirely due to defense but having scoring lapses. La... [More]

Posted Sunday, March 20, 2011 11:05 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

NBA YTD: 408-303-15
Sunday: 2-2

Orlando is under performing in their last 10 games and the last 14 games for the Cavs starts when they host the Magic Monday night. It's tough to not take the Magic over the Cavs asking them to win by 12 or more. With only 11 games remaining for the Magic, 7 of which are below .500 teams, it's a problem whether you see these guys come out firing. They still have a shot at the top seed and again with 7 sub .500 teams it's pretty good motivation to gun for it. With no real health issue for this team, they do seem to struggle in form but hopefully regain it in this game. The Magic averages win margin is 14 in the 3 games they played the Cavs. Cleveland doesn't have much offensive firepower that they can stage huge comebacks but with the Magic having several lapses in both offense in defense the last 10 games, I won't be surprised if they ended up with a push or a crazy cover at the end game. No play at the moment here as both are bad ATS teams, I do like the UNDER 194.0 in this situation but only as a lean. Magic plays a good chunk of half court sets and they pass the ball around more eating a bit more from the clock. Cavs is offensively challenged with no real scorer anywhere. They should have a problem with the Magic's size and defensive pressure.

Grizzlies have the Celtics in two days and should be looking forward to avenge that 6 point overtime loss they had at home. Anyway, the Jazz isn't exactly a team to bet on specially o... [More]

Posted Saturday, March 19, 2011 10:37 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

NBA YTD: 406-301-15
Sunday: 2-0
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 1-1
Wednesday: 11-3-1
Thursday: 1-0
Friday: 5-5
Saturday: 1-3 (counted the spurs under as a loss already)


Only two plays for Sunday:

Detroit Pistons +7.0
DET@ATL UNDER 190.0



BOL.



Posted Saturday, March 19, 2011 01:35 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Saturday and Sunday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 19 and 20 Philippine Basketball Association game. I squeezed it in one thread so it won't be too cluttered.

Projected Line for March 19, 2011 (Saturday):
PBA
6pm Game: Talk N Text vs Alaska +3.5 185.5

March 19, 2011 (Sunday):
PBA
4pm Game: Rain or Shine vs Air 21 +4.5 196.5
6pm Game: San Miguel +3.0 vs Ginebra 186.5


Bet365 line: 1:30pm
Talk N Text vs Alaska +3.5 191.5



Projected Scores:
Talk N Text 77 - 69 Alaska

Rain or Shine 99 - 87 Air 21
San Miguel 82 - 93 Ginebra


Mojo Chart *NEW
Smart Gilas - A+
Ginebra - A-
Meralco - B
Talk N Text - B+
Alaska - B+
Air 21 - B-
Rain or Shine - B-
Derby Ace - C+
Powerade - C
San Miguel - C-



Projected Consensus:
Saturday Game:
Talk N Text: 50%
Alaska: 50%
O/U: 55-45

* - none for the Sunday game yet


BOL.

... [More]

Posted Saturday, March 19, 2011 01:23 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

NBA YTD: 406-301-15
Sunday: 2-0
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 1-1
Wednesday: 11-3-1
Thursday: 1-0
Friday: 5-5

This isn't actually the best spot for the Nuggets that's why the line is quite high. Nuggets continue to play well after the Melo trade and is an ATS machine at the moment. Miami just recovered from that OKC beat down they got with a win in Atlanta. No play here at the moment but I'm seriously leaning the Miami Heat -8.0 because of the Nuggets' bad schedule. If you take out that game against Detroit, they've almost been on the road for the rest of March which is why they are more or less looking forward to end the last game of the trip. 3 games in 4 nights and already 2-1 in their quick 4 game trip. They have only 2 back to back games as a new unit and played both games pretty close. At the moment, I see the UNDER 206.5 a good bet than the heat lean given the Nuggets has played a bit slower and showed that they can defend.

Looks like a trap line from when they played Boston, just after a huge back to back win against win against New York. I'm still biting. Indiana Pacers +9.0 for me. 3 games in 4 nights for the Pacers and a sorry 5-14 ATS playing the second of a back to back and every other trend goes the Grizzlies way. I'm not really going against it but with the way Psycho T is playing and Granger looked motivated again, this team is pretty dangerous laying this much points. They also have their playoffs hope riding in every winnable games... [More]

Posted Friday, March 18, 2011 12:41 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

NBA YTD: 401-296-15
Sunday: 2-0
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 1-1
Wednesday: 11-3-1
Thursday: 1-0


Leans for now, be back later for the writeups and the play.:
Denver Nuggets +5.0
Miami Heat -4.5
Minnesota Timberwolves +14.5


BOL.





Posted Thursday, March 17, 2011 12:46 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

NBA YTD: 398-296-15
Sunday: 2-0
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 1-1
Wednesday: 8-3-1 [Phi, Dal, Dal 2nd Half pending]


I hate Thursday, specially when you see one play that looks oh-too-easy. I'm referring to the only game available so far and on the UNDER 195.0. Seriously, you pit the slowest team in the league with 90.9 Pace Factor (which simply translates to the number of possession a team uses per game) against a not so distant one with 96.0 pace factor (CLE) who is offensively challenged at the moment and takes too many out side shots. Portland even got better with Wallace in terms of defense and flexibility against the Cavs who could barely score past the century mark over a Sacramento Kings team who has allowed teams to go over 105+ points per game.  With no look ahead angle whatsoever, expect this game to be dragged into the Blazers' pace and hold the Cavs to say 80-85ish at best. Portland could edge them and score say 90 to 100ish which is safe to safe a couple of points below the set total which should be safe. As for the side, I'd careless. LOL. Cavs can get their backdoor cover easy with that much points.


Other line predictions and leans:

At the rate the Bulls are playing, it's quite stupid to bet  against them playing the lesser teams in the league. I suspect a CHI@NJN+6.0 187.5 type of line to come out. With the way the Nets are holding its own, running with a 5 game streak to the Bulls' 7 with no real look ahead angle... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 16, 2011 01:09 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

NBA YTD: 390-293-14
Sunday: 2-0
Monday: 2-2
Tuesday: 1-1

Who's not liking Denver now? I just can't seem to pass up on them even with the low line. You got to love how this team is performing. Screw the fact that they are 13-20 on the road, they've played well since the trade and it's pretty safe to safe that they got a good deal off Melo. Few days after the all star break, they hosted the Hawks as a 6.5 home favorite and managed to win by 10. It was almost a close game till the Nuggets broke the 4th quarter open. K-Mart is slowly being relevant again with TY and JR carrying most of the scoring load and at the same time being able to distribute. Hawks suck and I don't think that 9 points win over the Blazers or that 25 point win over the Bucks will do them any justice. Denver will be out to compete. It's not that I see the Nuggets dominating, I believe they'll be able to edge them out in the 2nd half. Denver Nuggets +1/ML is the play here. Hard call on the total, you just don't know which Hawks team will come out.

Two scrub of a team which you guys shouldn't bother capping. Here are the numbers. As for the side, Raptors are horrible on the road standing at 5-26 with a 13-16-2 ATS card. Detroit is okay at 16-17 SU and 17-16 ATS. They suck against a Bosh-lead Raptors team as seen in their head-to-head but now seem to be able to dominate the Raptors without their former star. It's also a safe play here for Detroit Pistons -4.5 because the season series is a... [More]

Posted Tuesday, March 15, 2011 01:07 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

NBA YTD: 390-293-14
Sunday: 2-0
Monday: 2-2

Projected line for the other games:
NYK @ IND +4.5 218..5
MIL +2.0 @ ATL 181.5
WAS +12.0 @ CHI 189.5

Leaning on:
Dallas -1.0
OVER 189.5

BOL.



Posted Sunday, March 13, 2011 11:21 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

NBA YTD: 388-291-14
Sunday: 2-0

Miami lost 5 in a row before topping the Lakers. Why not see the high and mighty Boston Celtics, who has yet to lose 3 in a row this season, make it to 3 against the lowly Nets? If it isn't enough, why not set the line to as low as 5 points and will practically move only by half a point all day tomorrow (Monday). With that, I'm really feeling the New Jersey Nets +5.0, who's 5-2 ATS after the break. Boston's on the other hand is only 3-6 ATS after the break/trade (4-6 now after the blow out against Milawukee) and an abysmal 3-10 ATS on the second game of a back to back. Celts still having trouble with their second unit having no real offensive option outside Jeff Green who's been producing really well. Nets is looking alive with the momentum of their winning streak, home court advantage plus Deron's return, should be enough to keep it at least within covering distance. I hate to be on the UNDER in this game since both teams seem to go OVER the total easy in their last 10 games. Thing is that, Boston may anytime lay them the smack down on D and fuck the total bet.

Clippers and Memphis head to head seem to always be close. Clippers will be playing the last game of a 5 game road trip winning 3 of 4 already. Memphis is crazy good at home but so is the Clippers when they're on a roll. The key to capping this game is the matchup, in 3 head-to-head games this season, Grizzlies front court isn't as dominant as they are against the Clipj... [More]

Posted Sunday, March 13, 2011 07:18 PM

Late Game [MIN@GSW]

Wasn't able to post my play on my thread but here's at the very least for today:

Golden State Warriors -6.5
Wolves@Warriors UNDER 219.5

BOL.



Posted Sunday, March 13, 2011 01:22 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

NBA YTD: 386-291-14
Sunday: 4-2
Monday: 5-4
Tuesday: 4-1
Wednesday: 3-1
Thursday: 0-6
Friday: 4-3
Saturday: 3-2


Leans:
Toronto -1.5
Tor OVER 198.5
Cleveland +9.5
Milwaukee +9.5
New York OVER 218.0
MIN OVER 218.5

BOL.




Posted Sunday, March 13, 2011 01:19 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Sunday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 13, 2011 Sunday, Philippine Basketball Association.

Projected Line for March 13, 2011:
PBA
4pm Game: Alaska vs Derby Ace +6.0 181.5
6pm Game: Rain or Shine +5.0 vs Talk N Text 193.5


Bet365 line: 2:15pm
Alaska vs Derby Ace +3.5 188.5
Rain or Shine +4.5 vs Talk N Text 196.5




Projected Scores:
Alaska 87 - 77 Derby Ace
Rain or Shine 99 - 98 Talk N Text


Mojo Chart *NEW
Smart Gilas - A-
Ginebra - B+
Rain or Shine - B
Alaska - B
Derby Ace - B-
Air 21 - B-
Meralco - B-
Talk N Text - C+
San Miguel - C-
Powerade - D


Projected Consensus:
1st Game:
Alaska: 60%
Derby Ace: 40%
O/U: 55-45

2nd Game:
Rain or Shine: 45%
Talk N Text: 55%
O/U: 40-60


BOL.
... [More]

Posted Saturday, March 12, 2011 12:26 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Saturday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 12, 2011 Saturday, Philippine Basketball Association.

Projected Line for March 12, 2011:
PBA
6pm Game: San Miguel vs Smart Gilas +5.5 180.5

Bet365 line: 1:25pm
San Miguel vs Smart Gilas +2.5 188.5



Projected Scores:
San Miguel Beermen 73 - 77 Smart Gilas


Mojo Chart *NEW
Rain or Shine - B+
Ginebra - B+
Alaska - B
Smart Gilas - B-
Air 21 - B-
Meralco - B-
Talk N Text - C+
Derby Ace - C+
San Miguel - C+
Powerade - D


Projected Consensus:
1st Game:
San Miguel: 45%
Smart Gilas: 55%
O/U: 70-30


BOL.
... [More]

Posted Saturday, March 12, 2011 12:19 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

NBA YTD: 383-289-14
Sunday: 4-2
Monday: 5-4
Tuesday: 4-1
Wednesday: 3-1
Thursday: 0-6
Friday: 4-3 (waiting for ORL-4.5)

You think Miami is back? 7.5 is one too many and for a team that just got their mojo back after a good win. Cutting to the chase, you got to love the mid day atmosphere of a 3:30pm game against a team that won over the Heat earlier this season. The Heat were a 5.5 point road favorite and without Wade. I see almost the same thing going on here except that the Grizzlies will have a better time now that they're pretty adjusted playing without Gay and getting decent production from two hard nosed defenders in Shane and Tony. At the same time, their front court is gaining ground at the right time and should peak nearing the playoff time. Not that I have no respect for Miami, it's just tough to be backing them with this much point not to mention the road team is a solid 22-12 ATS team with no real look ahead games and is pushing to hand on a playoff spot to an abysmal 12-20-1 ATS team who just had a 5 game slide checked. The play is Memphis Grizzlies +7.5. The total is rather messed up, Grizz has been giving up to many point as of late.

Atlanta was horrible last night against the Bulls. It's like Bad Offense meets Crazy Good Defense and it unfolded like hell in the 2nd half. Hawks were limited to only 26 points by the Bulls. I was hoping to see a trend where the Hawks claw their way in the next game for a win and can't seem to get... [More]

Posted Friday, March 11, 2011 02:11 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

NBA YTD: 383-285-14
Sunday: 4-2
Monday: 5-4
Tuesday: 4-1
Wednesday: 3-1
Thursday: 0-2

Leans at the moment:

Philadelphia 76ers +2.0
Los Angeles Clippers -2.5
Oklahoma City Thunders -9.0
SAC@SAS OVER 208.0
Orlando Magic -4.5

BOL.



Posted Friday, March 11, 2011 02:09 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Friday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 11, 2011 Friday, Philippine Basketball Association.

Projected Line for March 11, 2011:
PBA
5pm Game: Talk N Text vs Meralco +4.5 189.5
7:30pm Game: Powerade +6.5 vs Ginebra 186.5

Bet365 line: 3:15pm
Talk N Text vs Meralco +5.5 192.5
Powerade +9.5 vs Ginebra 190.5


 
Projected Scores:
Talk N Text 98 - 94 Meralco
Powerade 84 - 92 Ginebra

Mojo Chart *NEW
Rain or Shine - B+
Alaska - B
Smart Gilas - B-
Air 21 - B-
Ginebra - C+
Derby Ace - C+
San Miguel - C+
Meralco - C
Talk N Text - C-
Powerade - C-


Projected Consensus:
1st Game:
Dark: 75%
Light: 25%
O/U: 90-10

2nd Game:
Dark: 45%
Light: 55%
O/U: 80-20


BOL.
... [More]

Posted Thursday, March 10, 2011 12:32 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

NBA YTD: 383-283-14
Sunday: 4-2
Monday: 5-4
Tuesday: 4-1
Wednesday 3-1


Los Angeles Lakers -2.0 is the right play here. Two months ago, Lakers were still struggling and finding form. Now they're back on track and winning again. Miami will have to do everything it can to go against the Lakers' 8-game streak to get back on track after dropping 5 in a row, winning only 2 games after the all star break. I'm not going to pay any attention to anything else but present only the matchup. Lakers is pretty dangerous against the Heat because they have the people who can cover the Heats' superfriends without trouble. Gasol will be all over Bosh and will come out better in that matchup, Artest or Lamar can guard LeBron and at the very least limit him to scoring 30+. He'll drop 20 at the very least for all we know. Kobe can do single coverage on Wade. Fish and whoever plays Point for Miami just cancels each other out leaving Bynum and the Lakers bench with no real counter for the Heat side. Heat gets so much points in transition and with the way the Lakers are cleaning out the board, it'll be hard to get a good run at them tonight. It's more like a team with a good form against one that;s struggling to find their own.

Both Knicks and Dallas game ended up ugly except the Knicks kept the lead and won and the Dallas got screwed by Jack. Knicks has done a pretty good job playing the better teams and somehow screw up against the really bad ones (only CLE actually)... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 09, 2011 12:55 AM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Wednesday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 9, 2011 Wednesday, Philippine Basketball Association.

Projected Line for March 9, 2011:
PBA
5pm Game: Air21 +6.5 vs Smart Gilas 183.5
7:30pm Game: San Miguel +3.0 vs Alaska 179.5

Bet365 line: 1:45pm
Air21+5.5 vs Smart Gilas 191.5
San Miguel vs Alaska +1.0 183.5

 
Projected Scores:
Air 21 80 - 87 Smart Gilas
San Miguel 87 - 91 Alaska

Mojo Chart *NEW
Rain or Shine - B+
Smart Gilas - B
Talk N Text - B
Alaska - B-
Derby Ace - C+
San Miguel - C+
Air 21 - C-
Ginebra - C-
Powerade - C-
Meralco - D

Projected Consensus:
1st Game:
Dark: 30%
Light: 70%
O/U: 60-40

2nd Game:
Dark: 20%
Light: 80%
O/U: 55-45


BOL.
... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 09, 2011 12:34 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

NBA YTD: 380-282-14
Sunday: 4-2
Monday: 5-4
Tuesday: 4-1

The 76ers are peaking right now and is a good time to backing them. The last time they played, Philadelphia hanged with the Thunders but still ended up losing by 6. They were without Igoudala that time (Jeff Green was out as well so it's even a better sample). The game should pretty much roll the same way but I give a slight advantage to the home team plus with a healthier team. Durant and Westbrook will be themselves and could pretty much combine for 50-60 of the Thunders' points. The 76ers' starting 5 could pretty much go for 50-60 at the very least and still boast of a better bench than the visiting team. Philadelphia 76ers -1.0 is the play here since they are peaking at the right moment and playing better basketball with good defense and bench support over the visiting team.

I can't really put a hand on this game. The Celtics look a bit depleted but the Clippers can find ways to lose themselves. I'm playing the Los Angeles Clippers +9.0 because of the Celtics looking short handed and pretty unsure with the rotation/roles yet. I like them to do a repeat on how tough the Clippers went against Boston a couple of days back only losing by 7 (covering the spread by a point). I really don't expect Randy Foye to score 32 on the green men again but I'm looking at MoWil and Chris Kaman to provide the difference. Clipper has the size to go up against the Celtics but lacks the consistency. Hopefully we ... [More]

Posted Tuesday, March 08, 2011 12:14 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

NBA YTD: 377-281-14
Sunday: 4-2
Monday: 5-4 (waiting for the Rockets)


Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 is really weird. Indiana isn't getting anything done after the break (3-4 SU/ATS) then again they were up against the better teams in the league. The 76ers is flying under the radar and has come from a sub .500 team to an above .500 team. They've won 8 of their last 10 and 15 of their last 20 games (13-7 ATS in that stretch from 01/22/11 to 03/06/11), The Pacers leads the season series 2-1 and is currently in 8th spot in the east (1.5 games above Charlotte) so if anything, it should be a motivation for them. ATS trends all points to the 76ers and they are pretty much the better team all around in every areas except for the Center position.

I don't know what's up in Cleveland nowadays but the only thing that should keep you from playing the Golden State Warriors -3.5 is that they are on the road (8-22) and is playing the 6th game of a 7 game road trip which is a brutal schedule for them almost gone for a week now from home. Then again, the Clippers were just as bad on the road but managed to slug it out against the Bobcats Monday night. Earlier this season, the Warriors played the Cavs and they went on to shoot 14/28 in 3pt en route to a comfortable win and cover. It should be same as that night except it should be a bit closer like the Knicks@Cavs game except the Warriors edge them in the latter quarter like they put a scare on Boston a few games ago.

I... [More]

Posted Sunday, March 06, 2011 11:57 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

NBA YTD: 372-277-14
Sunday: 4-2

Los Angeles Clippers +1.5 - No S-Jax and the Cats just got blown out in Portland. It looks too easy right? Clips were a 5.5 home favorite late in January and won the game by 15 behind Foye and Griffin combining for 45 points. I cap the game at pk here (3/3.5 for home court, 1/2 for the missing S-Jax, another .5/1.5 from the traded Wallace and it should fall pretty close to the line we have now). The UNDER looks gold as well with both teams lacking in offense. The Clippers are still that 5-25 road team which means they shouldn't be respected on the road.

Leans:
Orlando Magic -2.0 - I cap it for Orlando to be a 4-5.5 home fave. Portland sucks right after the brake and riding that train. They did won their last 2 but they were against teams missing a good player or two. I'm still not sold to the Wallace acquisition and the guys coming off and hurrying the recovery from injury isn't helping as much either.

OKC@MEM UNDER 203.0 - Both teams playing 3 games in 4 nights and OKC is coming off a fast game that pushed for extra time. Grizzlies mustered up a lot of energy to stage that 2nd half come back en route to a nice little win.

Dallas Maverick -6.5 - You gotta love the Mavs off a defeat like last  night. They almost always come out hard the next night to make up for it. I don't see anything working for the Wolves against a defensive team like the Mavs.

Houston Rockets -4.0 - One crazy good team after th... [More]

Posted Sunday, March 06, 2011 10:11 PM

Boston 2nd Half

Classic lazy Boston going through the motion in the first half of a late game. The team is still executing well but the shooting almost 55% and down by 6. It's almost as if you can feel/predict that this team wins it by 2 or 3.

Boston Celtics -7.5 2nd Half


Posted Sunday, March 06, 2011 08:33 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

Afternoon games:

Chicago Bulls +5.0
San Antonio Spurs -2.5
Philadelphia 76ers -7.0


Posted Friday, March 04, 2011 07:31 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

Two plays for friday:

Los Angeles Lakers -12.5
Phoenix Suns -2.5


BOL.



Posted Wednesday, March 02, 2011 10:30 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

NBA YTD: 367-274-14
This Week: 11-10
Wednesday: 1-2


Miami Heat -5.0
Denver Nuggets +3.5



BOL.



Posted Tuesday, March 01, 2011 11:36 PM

CrazyMilkMan's PBA Wednesday

New thread for Local Hoops in the Philippines. This thread will be covering the March 2, 2011 Sunday, Philippine Basketball Association.

Projected Line for March 2, 2011:

PBA

5pm Game: Air21+5.0 vs Derby Ace 183.5
7:30pm Game: Talk N Text vs Powerade +9.5 187.5


Projected Scores:
Derby Ace 86 - 89 Air21
Talk N Text 102 - 87 Powerade

BOL.


Posted Tuesday, March 01, 2011 10:47 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

2-1 Tuesday

Leans for Wednesday:

Chicago Bulls ATS - Should be somewhere from a 2 to 3 point road favorite. Bulls are crazy good and not to be messed with at the moment. Hawks sucks. LOL.

Cleveland Cavaliers +9.0 - Pretty weird feeling about this. Cavs has come about and has played well their last 6 games. Spurs should however be good enough to win here after the setback in Memphis. What I fear is that if they try and bounce back after that bad game. Spurs are 8-3 ATS on back to back games and I hate it when there's already a line out just before they finish the Memphis game. It's like they're expecting something already. May flip on this one or just pass up.

Washington Wizards -1 - Can't believe I'm thinking of betting on the Wizards. They're catching the Warriors on a 3 games in 4 nights after playing fast paced games in Minnesota and Indiana. Warrior's Lee, Ellis and Curry played almost 40+ minutes in both games. They should have some sort of impact in this game not to mention Wizards will be bigger than them. Warriors isn't too sharp on the road as well.

Boston Celtics -7.0 - Not really into this play. IMO, it's a point or two too high for my taste. Revenge factor if you must here after an 88-71 beat down late in January in Phoenix. Suns should feel the toll of the road trip by now. You know how those old legs holds up. Still a lot of chemistry issues for Boston so may not really be a legit play at the moment.

New York Knicks -3.... [More]

Posted Tuesday, March 01, 2011 12:35 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

NBA YTD: 364-271-14
This Week: 8-7
Tuesday: 1-1

Leans:

New York Knicks +7.0 - Too much points for a rejuvenated looking Knicks team. Knicks have enough fire power to keep up with Orlando and so the OVER would be a terrific idea. This should be a score fest and probably won't drag on like the Heat game.

Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 - Not really a good spot for the Mavs. This reminds me of way back when they started slow and trailed at the half against the Clippers only to make a romping comeback for the win and cover. Also a day rest in between, they played Houston and came out flat. Rockets almost getting away with the win but didn't get the break in the waning moments of the game. 76ers flying under the radar beating good teams on the road and shooting lights out. They've been executing well in the half court which translates to their wins.

Indiana Pacers -5.5 - Both teams looked bad in their last game. I'm still giving the Pacers the edge here for their turn around after the coaching change. In their last meet, Hibbert was out but Granger carried a hefty load scoring 32 for the Pacers. Ellis cancelled him out with a 36 of his own en route to a 2 point Warriors win at home. Decent home team against a bad road team that doesn't bother playing any D.

San Antonio Spurs +1.5 - Parker out but what the hell is wrong with that almost 10 points swing of the spread from their last game. I still like the Spurs to come out and win here. George Hill h... [More]