CrazyMilkMan's Blog

Posted Saturday, March 31, 2012 01:34 AM

Final Four

Louisville +8.5
Kansas +2.5


Posted Saturday, March 31, 2012 01:24 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

YTD: 188-176. Crazy 4th quarter for the Warriros:

New York Knicks -9.5
Cavs are back to its old ways - losing. They have lost 9 of their last 10 games and 6 straight with an average losing margin of 18 points. Knicks plays well at home and has tramendously improved their defense since the coaching change. They average almost close to 100ppg under Woodson while only giving up 87 points (in only 10 games). At home, they average an 107ppg while only allowing 85ppg. That's a whooping 21.5-points win margin in all 6 games. Without Lin and Amare the offense only suffers 5-7 points in difference while barely giving up any dip in points allowed on the defensive end. Knicks wins here in a blowout.


Atlanta Hawks +6.0
Line is just about right here. Hawks plays well on back to back games (11-4) and would love to have a piece of Philly to try and move up some more in the standings. Philly is still a struggling bunch who peaked way too early in the season. They are struggling with injuries and the wear of the packed scheduling. 76ers revert back to their old offensively challenged self. Also a motivational spot here for the Hawks who have yet to win against the 76ers this season.


Two plays so far. Leaning on  the Bucks, SAC UNDER and Jazz but still evaluating things.


BOL.

... [More]

Posted Friday, March 30, 2012 01:06 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

YTD: 185-172. 4-0 today, man I can't remember the last time I got a sweep in this shortened season. Writeups:

Toronto Raptors +7.0
Perfect spot for the Raptors here catching the Heat off a nice win against the one who knocked them out in the Finals (4-10 ATS on 0 day rest). Raps plays better at home and even better after a day of rest (19-11 ATS). The starting V is coming together and working well at the moment. They have always played teams close at home and boasts somewhat better defensively at home. Earlier this season, Miami caught up with the Raptors and only won by 6 (line's 16). It wasn't because the Heat had lapses or anything but the Raps are just able to keep it close matching them blow by blow most of the time. Heat sails comfortably here with the home team stealing a cover.


New York Knicks +3.5
Lin is questionable and Amare is out till say playoff time. Again, like most of you would have known by now, the Knicks have shifted its principle from an offense to a more defensive approach. So far they've thrived under Woodson and everyone is buying it. Lin and Amare are two defensive liabilities and replacing them with Shumps and Baron (at least he won't be pushed around that easy and still have that veteran mind) has allowed the Knicks to be more flexible in defense and saw the re-emergence of Chandler's defensive presence (the same one that help Dallas win a ring). Anyway, the only real angle I have here is Woodson as the Knicks' coach. If ... [More]

Posted Thursday, March 29, 2012 01:41 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

YTD: 181-172. Two plays for Thursday.

Miami Heat -8.0
This one is a play against Dallas more than anything. See, every other team Dallas knocked out in the playoffs seem to bring a certain fire in them when they play the defending champs. Check this out:

3/21/2012 L.A. Lakers L 93-109 Regular Season L -4.5
3/5/2012 @ Oklahoma City L 91-95 Regular Season W 6.5
2/22/2012 L.A. Lakers L 91-96 Regular Season L -4.5
2/1/2012 Oklahoma City L 86-95 Regular Season L -1
1/16/2012 @ L.A. Lakers L 70-73 Regular Season W 3.5
1/2/2012 Oklahoma City W 100-87 Regular Season W 2.5
12/29/2011 @ Oklahoma City L 102-104 Regular Season W 5
12/25/2011 Miami L 94-105 Regular Season L 4.5

They are currently 1-7 SU against teams that they've screwed en route to a ring. Averaging a lossing margin of only 5 points, I think Miami is capable enough to push it further. In their earlier meet, Miami easily separated from Dallas outscoring them 97 - 65 in the first 3 quarters until the Heat layed an egg in the 4th to allow Dallas to make a game out of it and end with an 11-point deficit.

I know Miami is not quite the same with LeBron really hindered by his injured finger. It's not that I'm counting the 2 loses and expecting them not to fall to 3 in a row. In fact, 8 is such a big number at t... [More]

Posted Wednesday, March 28, 2012 01:38 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

YTD: 178-166. Still sitting at 51.7% looking to at least finish close to 54 by the end of the regular season. Time to be a bit moer omptimistic. Throwing quick writeups as well for a change.

Minnesota -5.5
T'Wolves are playing back to back games but it doesn't matter. It only makes them sharper (9-7 ATS on 0 day rest) as to the Cat's measly 8-15 ATS after a day of rest. My Cats are done and the Wolves are still gunning for a playoff finish this season. Bismack is a promising center but he's the only one who can decently guard Love but let's face it. It will be close to impossible since Kevin Love usually goes far out taking out Biyombo from the paint where he's lost. Sad to say it but my Cats get on their futile season even into this game.

Detroit +1 / ML
I think this one's the best play for Wednesday. Cavs are undersized and relies on the rookie T.T. to bang down. Cavs' front court will have a long night against the bigger and taller Detroit front court. Rodney Stuckey back in the mix and Jamison falling out of form just adds up to a Detroit advantage. Pistons' have lost a couple on (5 straight) before being lucky in Washington while the Cavs are experiencing scoring drought barely passing 90 points their last 3 games. The road team is a much better team now than when they played earlier in the season. This team will have a bright future if they continue to buy into Lawrence Frank's defensive stimulus.

Utah Jazz +4.0
I know the Celtics is a g... [More]

Posted Tuesday, March 27, 2012 01:09 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

Posting early.

Atlanta Hawks +2.0
Memphis Grizzlies -5.5
SAS@PHO OVER 202.0
Oklahoma City Thunders -4.5

BOL.



Posted Monday, March 26, 2012 07:04 PM

CrazyMilkMan Crazy Card Monday

Posting my full cards tonight. Usually goes sour so fade away.

Miami -3.5
Boston -6.5
Milwaukee +5.0
Milwaukee@Knicks UNDER 205.5
New Jersey -1.0 (got them at +2 as well)
Jazz@Jersey UNDER 197.5
Sacramento +6.5
Sacto@Houston UNDER 210.0
Clipjoint -9.5
Nawlins@Clips OVER 181.0

BOL.



Posted Monday, March 26, 2012 12:38 AM

Nets tomorrow?

Got it earlier at +2.5 right after the UTA@ATL game went to 3rd OT and it's now at -1.0. I think this game is for the Nets to lose. Jazz starters played almost 50+ minutes not to mention that they are easily one bad road team. IMO, there's still value at -1.0 and should probably even hit -2 by game time. Also the UNDER 197 is still a good play. Should also go down come afternoon.

Posted Sunday, March 25, 2012 09:35 PM

Late Plays

LA Lakers -6.5



Posted Sunday, March 25, 2012 01:46 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

YTD: 170-159. Couple of bad beat last night with the weaker lines I got. A couple of popular plays today:

PHO@CLE UNDER 202.0
Washington +9.5
Miami +2.0
Golden State +9.5


BOL.



Posted Saturday, March 24, 2012 02:32 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

YTD: 169-157. Horrible season for me.

Clip-joint -3.5
Atlanta -3.5
Warriors -3.5

BOL.



Posted Friday, March 23, 2012 03:09 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

New York -5.0
Indiana -4.0
Oklahoma -10.5



Posted Wednesday, March 21, 2012 11:24 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

Washington +7.0
Milwaukee -3.5
Memphis -1.0


Posted Wednesday, March 21, 2012 01:22 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

Chicago -7.0
New York +4.5
Phoenix +8.0



Posted Monday, March 19, 2012 12:37 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

THE BEAST -3.5



Posted Monday, March 19, 2012 12:35 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NCAAB Monday

Princeton +7.5

Posted Sunday, March 18, 2012 08:44 PM

NCAAB Sunday

Purdue +8.0

Florida St. -2.5



Posted Sunday, March 18, 2012 11:30 AM

NBA Sunday

ATL-2.0

OKC-10.0

 



Posted Saturday, March 17, 2012 01:17 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

Raptors -2.0
Spurs+3.0
Nuggets -6.0



Posted Wednesday, March 14, 2012 07:48 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NCAAB Wednesday

Money with Akron yesterday. Another one for tonight:


Cal St. Fullerton +6.5


BOL.



Posted Wednesday, March 14, 2012 07:33 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

Missed posting a play on the 76ers tonight. Here's another winner for tonight.

 

Toronto Raptors +2

 

BOL.



Posted Wednesday, March 14, 2012 04:36 AM

Napoli to Qualify -275

Stamford bridge is a tough place to play but Napoli has been phenomenal. Chelsea will pressure and come out firing possibly picking them with counters. I can see a 2-2 match score here with Napoli doing so much to qualify. (I won't be surprised if they even win this game).



Posted Tuesday, March 13, 2012 08:29 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NCAAB Tuesday

Akron +6.5

I rarely post in this parts of Covers but here's a nice situational spot to take Akron plus the points. Looking for an "upset" here.

BOL.



Posted Tuesday, March 13, 2012 01:58 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

WAS@DAL UNDER 198.5

Washington seem to score less than 90 points in the second game of a b2b. Dallas could only rely on their D and not much on their offense now. Do the math, it probably goes under. Given the double digit spread, I believe the linesmaker are expecting a blow out game here. I see it happening but it should be pretty close. A respectable game from the Mavs probably ends to a 102-90 type of game.

BOL.



Posted Monday, March 12, 2012 11:21 AM

New Orleans Hornets -6.5 3/12/12

Reverting to playing one a day and presenting the play on a different style. Hornets -6.5.

Ref's stats favors home favorites of 5-9.5 points. 17-7 ATS combined. Two referees who favors the home team

This is the first time Hornets are favored this much. The whole season they are favored 5 times (averages to -1) and didn't cover all 5.

My Cats goes 2-6 ATS when made a 5 to 7 point dog.

Throw the past h2h matchups because they ain't shit.

Home-Away ATS record ain't shit with both teams combining for 13-28-0. Same goes for their ATS record after a day of rest. They combine for 16-28.

Cats have at least a 4-game slide before breaking it with a W this season. Hornets has only stringed wins twice this season winning their season opener in Phoenix and their home opening against Boston. Then streaking to 3 from 02/13-02/17.

I don't think either team have a luxury of looking ahead. They rest the next day anyway. Hornets have the Lakers coming in next.

Cats has only beaten 2 teams on the road this season. The pre-Lin Knicks (and they are still healthy) and a tired Bargnani-less Raptors. Hornets have Boston, Orlando, Utah and Dallas as their only Home wins (averages a 14-point winning margin in those 4 games).

BOL.

... [More]

Posted Sunday, March 11, 2012 11:07 AM

CMM's NBA Sunday

Knicks -2.5

Rockets ML

Rockets OVER 196.0



Posted Wednesday, March 07, 2012 08:21 PM

2nd Half Plays

Houston Rockets -3.0 2nd Half

Posted Wednesday, March 07, 2012 12:59 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

1-3 Tuesday. 158-142 YTD.



Rockets -1.5
Celtics +5.5
Bucks +8.0
Kings -4.5



BOL.



Posted Tuesday, March 06, 2012 12:12 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

3-1 Monday. 157-139 YTD.


Magic -9.0
Celtics -4.5
Lakers -5.0
Knicks +2.5


BOL.



Posted Monday, March 05, 2012 01:35 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

6-0 Sunday. 154-138 YTD.

Magic -6.0
Bulls - whatever
Mavericks +7.0
Trailblazers -10.5



BOL.



Posted Saturday, March 03, 2012 08:32 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

3-1 Friday. 147-136 YTD.


Bucks +9.0
Pistons +8.0
Hornets +5.5

BOL.



Posted Friday, March 02, 2012 01:07 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

2-1 Thursday. 144-135 YTD.

Nets +6.0
Bulls -8.5
Bucks +6.0
Spurs -14.5

BOL.



Posted Thursday, March 01, 2012 12:10 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Thursday

2-3 Wednesday. 142-134 YTD.

 

Thunder -1.0
Kings +3.5
Heat -4.5

 

BOL.