CrazyMilkMan's Blog

Posted Saturday, April 28, 2012 01:10 AM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Saturday

26-12 (+21.52u) Took a much needed off after losing 3 of my last play in the last inning. Cleveland doesn't match well against  the Angels in the past and so we got a nice opportunity here at plus money in the afternoon game. I give a bit edge to the Angels' bats but with a struggling Haren, I think they pretty much evens out. Cleveland by a run win here most likely. If you're feeling a bit ballsy (as I'm still thinking about this one as well), I get a good feeling the Stro's pull another win over Cueto. The Yankees are also a good play after their bats can't hit the Rangers and losing on a hitting battle against the Tigers tonight. Get on this one before the juice starts to pile up some more. Probably that or will add either the Braves, Zona,  or the Dodgers.

Cleveland +122
Yankees -117



Posted Friday, April 27, 2012 10:18 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Playoff Saturday

Ended the regular season with a measely 215-196 record or 52%. Let's try to get it to turn around in the playoffs.

 

Chicago Bulls -8.5
Bulls roll here. I don't buy the 76ers' recent win streak nearing the end of the season. 76ers are offensively challenged and the Bulls' defense is just too good to allow a first game first round meltdown to the visiting team. As for the total, I'm leaning the OVER as I think this one is set a bit too low. Both teams are easily capable of scoring 80 points and I believe the winning team gets the remaining points to go over.

 

New York Knicks +8.5
See here if Amare wasn't back, we could've gotten a point or two more off the Knicks and I myself will have pretty much more confidence into the wager. Miami holds an average of 10-points in all their games this season (they were more effecient in their last head-to-head with Lin and Amare out) which means the cover is only a basket away. With the way the Knicks progressed through all the injuries, player roles were finally distinguished and they look more of a team now than they were months ago. Leaning the UNDER here.

 

Indiana Pacers -9.0
Orlando is obviously missing Dwight's 31.7ppg, 10.8rpg, and 1.5bpg against the Pacers and that isn't going to help their chances one bit. Pacers roll here pretty much in a convincing way, as they are also getting Danny Granger back. Pacers wins probably in most position except for th... [More]

Posted Thursday, April 26, 2012 06:48 PM

Last Day Gems

Toronto -7.0

Atlanta -4.5

New Orleans +5.0

Denver +8.0



Posted Thursday, April 26, 2012 12:44 AM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Thursday

26-10 (+23.52u) No further comment as to what went down in the last few innings of the Sox-Oaks game. Only one good play for Thursday and you even have to take the RL for it to be decent in value.

Cin.Reds -1 RL (it probably should be around +120 or something).



Posted Tuesday, April 24, 2012 10:52 PM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Wednesday

26-9 (+24.75u) Had to sweat the last two innings before cashing on Cleveland Tuesday night. I'd love to get on the Brewers and Marcum but man the price is steep. One play for the afternoon game is the Sox. Just bad matchup here overall. Probably Bucholz and Lilly for the night games.

Chi.Sox -123



Posted Monday, April 23, 2012 11:10 PM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Tuesday

25-9 (+22.75u) Nice hit with the Blue Jays monday night, moving on to Tuesday. Let's fade KC again going up against Lowe and the Indians team who has only notched 1 home win which IMO is pretty much worth 2 units there. I'm thinking of putting a play on them Reds after seeing SanFran play 2 games today and score 13 runs. Seattle's hefty +173 pay out looks really nice and they probably have a real shot at winning SU. I will probably add a game or two more later in the day. Dodgers and Phillies are also one of them leans.

Cleveland -133 (2u)



Posted Sunday, April 22, 2012 09:06 PM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Monday

24-9 (+21.75u) Went 0-2 Sunday. So much for trying to bet on more than 2/3 teams per outing for me. Sticking to what's working. Only one play for me and I think this one's the best on the board Monday night. runners up are Dodgers and ChiSox.

Toronto -108



Posted Saturday, April 21, 2012 11:53 PM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Sunday

24-7 (+23.9u) Cards sucked early but Texas Gm1 and Dodgers -2 RL came through to keep us at positive. I'm feeling biased again with SanFran and Lincecum so I'll probably just stay away from it. Washington and Lohse is a steal this early while it's plus money. Dodgers came as a runner up play and I suggest drop one on the RL for a better payout.

Washington +102
Dodgers -1.5 RL +120
Cleveland -115
Yankees -130



Posted Friday, April 20, 2012 11:26 PM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Saturday

22-6 (+22.89u) Hit the Dodgers. Get on this afternoon play while it's still in a pretty decent price. I'll go look at the other cards in a couple of hours. I'll probably get two more in.

Texas +142



Posted Thursday, April 19, 2012 10:30 PM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Friday

21-6 (+21.89u) Nice hit with that juicy +422 parlay with O's and Dodgers. Darvish was money from the get go. Let's keep on rolling. Only one play looks good for tomorrow. Playing Ted Lilly early while it hasn't hit more than 130 yet. I don't know if I'll pull the trigger yet but I have the Boston, Washington, Blow Jays, Brewers, White Sox and Phillies for leans and still thinking of a possible second play.

Dodgers -126

 



Posted Thursday, April 19, 2012 11:19 AM

NBA Thursday

Pacers -5.0

Clippers ML

Bulls +5.0



Posted Wednesday, April 18, 2012 10:49 PM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Thursday

19-6 (+16.67u) Fairly comfortable wins by Texas and St. Louis. Out of the four afternoon games, I like two road dogs in Hammels and Harang and will probably just parlay them for trips. Night games, I particularly like Darvish and the Rangers again. Outside those three, I'm still thinking if I'd go over two plays for Thursday. Leaning on Minor and the Braves but will probably let it sit for a bit.

Baltimore (+130) and Dodgers (+127) = Two-team Parlay +422
Texas -115



Posted Wednesday, April 18, 2012 01:15 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Wednesday

YTD: 210-194. 1-0 Tuesday. Fixed my count last Monday counting the damned Thunder as a W. 76ers will probably win here to try and separate themselves from dropping out of playoff contention. The UNDER is a play on the Cavs sucking (and perhaps both). I see a 95-82 type of game here. This part of the season will be tricky on teams fighting for contention. Hawks can still aim to move up to 4th to gain home court during the playoffs or drop a game or two to position themselves against either Boston or Indiana (I pick the home court). But anyway, I'm still playing the Pistons because it's a point too many and they seem to have the Hawk's game.

Phi @CLE UNDER 184.5
Detroit +9.5
Houston Rockets +5.0
OK City -3.5

BOL.



Posted Wednesday, April 18, 2012 01:00 AM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Wednesday

17-6 (+14.52u) St. Louis have to take it to extra inning but still got the game for us. Here's for Wednesday. I like Dickey for the afternoon game but gonna have to wait for a better line there. You also gotta love Texas (Holland) on plus money. I think their bats heats up again for them. I'll be playing the Cards again before the price on Garcia goes up some more.

Texas +115
St.Louis -128

 



Posted Tuesday, April 17, 2012 12:35 AM

CrazyMilkMan's MLB Tuesday

16-7 (+12.52u). I give up on Lincecum. Will finalize this afternoon. Here are my leans so far, I'll cut it down to just two or three.

Leans:
NY Mets -103
Baltimore +122
Dodgers +114
Detroit -114
St. Louis -114
San Diego +106
Philadelphia +135



Posted Tuesday, April 17, 2012 12:28 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Tuesday

YTD: 210-193. 3-2 Monday.

Indiana Pacers +3.5



Posted Sunday, April 15, 2012 10:29 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

YTD: 207-191. 4-2 Sunday.


New Orleans -5.5
Philadelphia -3.5
T'Wolves +10.0
OK City -2.5
San Antonio -10.5



BOL.



Posted Sunday, April 15, 2012 08:04 PM

MLB Monday

15-5 (+13.72u). 3-1 Sunday. Nice value on Shields but seeing how alive the Sox' bats are I probably have to rethink playing them or maybe if I can get a much better value. So much juice on games say Strasburg, Verlander and Weaver and after losing on the Dodger's RL I pretty much don't want to touch those types yet. Got three so far but only playing one. I'll probably add either of my lean later.

 

San Francisco -103

 

Leans:
Arizona -134
Colorado -130

 



Posted Sunday, April 15, 2012 12:00 AM

MLB Sunday

12-4 (+10.64u). San Fran -150 still pending but went 2-0 with LAD and BAL Saturday night. Posting this early. Detroit IMO is the best paly of the afternoon on the board with an even value on Porcello. Get the value now before it turns the other way. Pretty big card for me this Sunday as I will rarely go over 3 plays in a day.

Boston +108
Detroit EVEN
Cleveland -117
LA Dodgers -1.5 RL +105



Posted Saturday, April 14, 2012 11:45 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

YTD: 203-189

Miami -2.5
Miami@Knicks UNDER 189.0
Celtics@Cats UNDER 183.5
Toronto@Atlanta UNDER 184.5
Memphis -5.0
Nuggets -3.5

BOL.



Posted Saturday, April 14, 2012 02:31 AM

NBA Saturday

YTD: 202-187

Los Angeles Clippers -11.0
Warriors have mailed it in since the Denver game. I guess they realized they get more from landing a better draft place than trying to salvage an already bad season.

Cleveland Cavaliers +4.0
This part of the season is all about spotting which team is aiming for good lottery place. Anyway, this time both are on bad spots with an almost same chance of getting as high as they could. I like the Cavs in this spot because they seem to be the team that tries in their last few games (even against winning teams).

 

Leans:

Oklahoma City -10.5
I think they'd go on and just beat the hell out of any team at this point. The win over Sacramento is a statement.

Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 / OVER 206.5
Team still trying their hardest to get on the 8th spot. I'd love for them to knockout the 76ers. Bucks and Pacers are a combined 37-21-1 O/U home-road record.

Phoenix Suns +9.0
Too many points. Also, just a game behind Denver.



Posted Saturday, April 14, 2012 01:53 AM

MLB Saturday

10-4 (+8.12u). Tigers went down like cheese. I like Baltimore this afternoon. I think they can pull another one over the Blue Jays. Also, I'm willing to drink that juice with Zito against the Pirates at home.

Baltimore +152
San Fran -150
Dodgers -130



Posted Friday, April 13, 2012 07:38 PM

What do you think of this Parlay?

Zona +106
Dodgers -125
Texas -150
Mariners -161

A 4-teamer that is priced at +902 over at bet365. Any thoughts? I'm really confident on the teams in this order: Dodgers, Arizona, Seattle, and Texas.



Posted Friday, April 13, 2012 01:05 AM

MLB Friday

10-3 (+9.14u). Went 3-1 last night. MLB's been kinder than the NBA this season. Let's keep on cashing.

Detroit -106



Posted Thursday, April 12, 2012 09:26 PM

Chicago Bulls 2nd Half

Perfect spot to take the Bulls here. I was thinking of just waiting for a better line at the half than betting on the Full Game line. Value on the Bulls 2nd Half.

Chicago Bulls -2.0



Posted Wednesday, April 11, 2012 04:54 AM

MLB Wednesday

YTD: 7-2 (+7.47) Gotta love the Tigers with Verlander but we can't just lay that much juice. Brewers are up there as one of the better afternoon pick but got to go with Santana and the Mets.

NY Mets +102



Posted Tuesday, April 10, 2012 08:08 PM

Boston/Miami 2nd Half UNDER

Yep. You know it's going UNDER (for the second half). Calling it this early. 

Posted Tuesday, April 10, 2012 01:43 AM

MLB Tuesday

YTD: 6-2 (+6.47) Went 2-1 Monday night with Hou and SanFran. Taking the Yanks early thinking the line would go up come game time. Leaning on Pits with Correia going against Kershaw, I think there's a nice chance there to steal. Also leaning on the Mets and Astros. I'll probably make a stab at it a couple of hours before game time.

NY Yankees -128



Posted Monday, April 09, 2012 07:29 PM

Late Plays Tuesday

YTD: 5-1 (+6.2) Comfortable win with the Giants this afternoon. I think these two dogs have a good chance of winning, I just can't tell which one is so I'm making them both a half unit play.

Houston +150
Kansas City +105

 



Posted Saturday, April 07, 2012 10:43 AM

MLB Saturday

YTD: 4-0. One for now, thinking of which one to throw in whether Brewers, Zona, Orioles and/or Dodgers. MAx of two plays per day.

Atlanta -110

BOL.



Posted Friday, April 06, 2012 11:51 PM

Los Angeles Lakers 2nd Half

If you didn't caught the OKC 2nd Half. Get on this one!

Lakeshow -1.5 +110

BOL.



Posted Friday, April 06, 2012 08:21 PM

Oklahoma City 2nd Half

OKC-3.5 3Q
OKC-6.5 2H


Posted Friday, April 06, 2012 11:00 AM

MLB Friday

MLB YTD: 2-0

BAL-123
LAD+122

BOL.



Posted Tuesday, April 03, 2012 09:45 PM

MLB Tuesday

San Diego -136

Dodgers -126



Posted Tuesday, April 03, 2012 01:32 PM

CrazyMilkMan's Last Full Card Tuesay

Posting my full card before going on a bit of hiatus.

San Antonio -9.0
Knicks +6.0
NYK UNDER 191.5
Charlotte +9.5
Philadelphia +9.0
PHI UNDER 184.0
Orlando -4.5
Golden State +7.5
Sacramento +3.0
SAC UNDER 215.0
Lakers -9.0

BOL.



Posted Sunday, April 01, 2012 10:06 PM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Monday

YTD: 191-180. Went a cold 0-4 Sunday night. Only two plays for Monday:


Chicago Bulls -8.5
Oklahoma City Thunder -8.0


BOL.




Posted Sunday, April 01, 2012 05:53 AM

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Sunday

YTD: 191-176. 3-0 Saturday. Persistence is key:


Chicago Bulls +5.5
Afternoon game between powerhouse teams. No Rose, still not a problem. Playing the Bulls plus the points here since most afternoon games plays out for the team with the points to cover. Bulls are very well disciplined and is number 2 in defense against a TO prone team who is very streaky and seem unstoppable offensively at home. Bulls will probably not give much out against this team and score a cover.


Washington Wizards +6.5
Too many points IMO. Raptors is 1-3 ATS when made a -5 fave or more. I think Nene's arrival has improved with Nene's arrival and I think it will make a difference now that they have a real presence in their front court, at least against the Raps. I see Washington only covering the spread not really winning SU. Raps are really good at home and even better defensively. Not really the sharpest bet on the board tonight, stat-wise Raps are all over the wizards but my gut is telling me to really bank on this one.


Orlando Magic -5.5
Two bad loses in a row now for the Magic. A blowout against the Knicks and a last second defeat against Dirk should motivate the magicmen to turn it around at home. What is scary is that the Nugs are pretty bad in defending the perimeter and has allowed almost 44% in 3P% and Orlando is pretty hot in draining them at home. Nugs have the ATS stats behind them but they're in one tough schedule that comes to an end 3 days... [More]

Posted Sunday, April 01, 2012 05:11 AM

NCAA Championship

Kansas +6.5
UNDER 139.5