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CrazyMilkMan's NBA Friday

By CrazyMilkMan | View all Posts
Posted Friday, January 13, 2012 03:08 AM

46 comments

1-1 Thursday. 54-56 YTD. Friday the 13th:

Lean: Philadelphia 76ers -12.5
Still waiting for news on Hawes. I read that the 76ers are playing it safe. If they are, IMO would get him another day off since we'll only be playing a horrible Wizards on a home-and-home series and have him ready for Milwaukee instead. If Hawes plays, the play is on. 76ers is at home and playing a bad team who'll pretty much get blown by 15+ points. That's all the capping to be done here.

Charlotte Bobcats -4.0
Out of the 6 times I played the cats this season, I only managed to get 3 of the right. I think this will be the 7th and I'm pretty confident they cover. Totally fading this bad Pistons team on the road. I know they got more firepower but Cats (or any other team to that matter) plays better at home. I think this is because, at home, they shoot the three and rebound better than they are on the road. Until this Pistons team play by Lawrence Franks' ways, they aren't going to be any better than this run down expansion cats.

Lean: New Orleans/Minnesota UNDER 182.5
I'm surprised as I look at this. Hornets are an under team themselves but I have no idea the Wolves are just the same. Both teams combine for 5-14 O/U and will probably continue the trend with injuries in their team. I downgraded this to a lean because I feel the total will be pretty close to the line. I have this feeling that both team gets really close to 90ish each. Not much room for error there. As for the side, I'd rather get on the Hornets 1Q since they currently 9-1 ATS this season. Holler if you do read this part. LOL. I'm surprised noone has yet to notice this. They're like the Clippers 1Q cash cow of last season.

Lean: Milwaukee Bucks +8.5 and UNDER 184.0
I like this play. More of a gut feel than anything else. I think this is because it has the same as the Knicks-Cats matchup feel to it. The other team just matches well against the other. You could say like the Jazz-Lakers as well. Though I only put this as lean because I really don't like that 0-6 (1-5) road record they have, not to mention the Pistons even made them push hard in the second half. The UNDER looks good as well given that the Mavs dominate the pace of the game (and I think they will). Forget the time the Bucks were an UNDER team with Bogut, they have other players who can score now.

Lean: Portland Trailblazers +1.5
Blazers matches well with the Spurs. The only reason this is a lean because of the Spurs are crazy good at home. They shoot better at home (even better from beyond the arc) and plays even better defense at home. I think something's about to give with the way Houston pushed them in their last game.

Lean: New Jersey Nets +7.0
New Jersey isn't lacking in players who can go for backdoor covers. They play hard till the end and the 7-points is bit high against a team who is twice their power from last season. This is like the Cavs lean from last night. It opened at 9 and will probably drop to 6.5 by game time. I'm trying to shop around for a 7.5 and will probably play that. Anything below 7 is a no play. Nets is twice the team they were from last year as well.

Cleveland Cavaliers +10.0
Kobe isn't interested in playing this Cavaliers team (last season, Kobe scored 17 in that 60-point blow out and only 13 in a 5-point loss) and will look ahead the next day to play against the new look Clip-joint instead. You gotta give mad props to Byron Scott for turning things around for the Cavs who's now at .500. I love the Cavs on this spot, good momentum, their best player just had a career night, and the opponent is looking ahead for a bigger clash against their neighbors.

BOL.

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CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 03:08AM

Cavs-Lakers
Note: Try shopping around for a better line. I have this feeling that you can get a point or more better come game time.

Fishscale says:

01/13/12 03:35AM

Stop playing the fucking Cats. They suck, ok? You're chasing something that doesn't need to be chased.

Great analysis though, good luck tomorrow.

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 03:41AM

Yeah but Pistons suck more.

Fishscale says:

01/13/12 03:46AM

It's just you know, you got all this spot on analysis then make plays on shit teams. When shit teams play each other only g-d knows what could happen. You said in one of your early threads the Cats were fade material all season and now you're playing them for a 7th time.

When in reality you have enough insight to make solid plays on solid teams. Not trying to be an ahole at all, I learn a lot from your threads, just an observation and could be the difference between hitting 60% and 50%.

stevenp says:

01/13/12 03:48AM

the kitties have lost nine of ten. and detroit looked reasonable last night and got stuckey back. this is a game between two 2-9 teams. the dog seems to be the play. i lay off. good luck. cats could show up.

jdamon26 says:

01/13/12 03:51AM

BOL

stevenp says:

01/13/12 03:51AM

oh, milwaukee swept dallas last year. and four of those road losses were without bogut. oh, and small detail. milwaukee swept dallas last year. milwaukee covered at clippers. and should've beat sacto but lost one of those home energy feel good comebacks. were up 21 at half.

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 03:52AM

I'll keep that in mind. I really am at times biased with my favorite team. Same shit with my Panthers as well. LOL. Thanks for the heads up.

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 03:56AM

Yeah, I really like the Bucks and may add them in the morning.

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 03:58AM

Adding:

Milwaukee Bucks +8.5

I think it may drop by a point by morning. It could lose its charm. So get it now.

lts41 says:

01/13/12 04:36AM

BoyBayo says:

01/13/12 04:40AM

cavs

leaning on bucks and portland as well

consultant says:

01/13/12 06:48AM

It is difficult to bet on Charlotte - for me the team playing the most boring, dullest and most untalented basketball in NBA. Dont say that they might not win against Detroit Lame Ducks...but will not trust them.

Rakiztah says:

01/13/12 07:21AM

kobe is going for another 40pt performance and it will be easier doing it against the lowly cavs.

it seems he is going for some scoring record.

just a heads up.

GL though milk

D-Town says:

01/13/12 07:45AM

Good luck CMM.

Never_Say_Lock says:

01/13/12 09:31AM

They are playing Detroit. Bad teams triumph over REALLY bad teams.

BravesFan1984 says:

01/13/12 09:39AM

Bucks

BOL with the other plays CMM

GerManiac says:

01/13/12 09:55AM

Best of luck buddy

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 09:56AM

I know man. He's pissed with ESPN ranking him only 7th. You know how his ego is. He's out to prove something alright but really man, the man will be more interested resting himself and dropping that 40 on the clips the next day.

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 09:57AM

Home teams.

Notice a how home team wins and cover from time and time and also getting the same short line.

StankyLeg says:

01/13/12 09:59AM

Bol

215Hustler says:

01/13/12 10:03AM

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 10:15AM

76ers going up to -13.5 which is weird. Still looking out for news on Hawes' back. The most reason is this:

Spencer Hawes said that his back is "feeling better," but he is still listed as day-to-day.

andreagassi6969 says:

01/13/12 10:15AM

whipton says:

01/13/12 10:27AM

NO 1Q 9-1

cashinsports says:

01/13/12 11:01AM

cavs

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 11:12AM

thunderpubes says:

01/13/12 05:20PM

Love NO 1Q, but would love it more if Adelman doesn't put Rubio in the starting lineup. Any news to confirm?

Kiddrock says:

01/13/12 05:25PM

I like it!

matangster says:

01/13/12 05:29PM

With ya on the bucks.

3BallBomber says:

01/13/12 05:41PM

placeholder says:

01/13/12 07:04PM

Good luck CMM!

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 06:00PM

Full Cards (and found some better lines) decided to play all leans:

Philadelphia 76ers -12.0
Charlotte Bobcats -4.0

New Orleans Hornets 1Q +0.5

New Orleans/Minnesota UNDER 182.5

Milwaukee Bucks +8.5 and UNDER 184.0

Portland Trailblazers +1.5

New Jersey Nets +7.0

Cleveland Cavaliers +10.0

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 06:04PM

Nah. I don't think it will be a huge factor. Cavs are almost a different team now. Mike Brown was coaching a Lebron James team then but now it's a bit different from how they were before.

I really don't see Kobe taking this game seriously. He could drop 20 but that would be on easy treys. I don't see him going hard like he did against the Grizzlies. He won't allow the Cavs to win but I don't see him forcing his shots. I really believe he is looking ahead to the Clippers tomorrow night.

CrazyMilkMan says:

01/13/12 07:38PM

TEEBOOOOOOOOW!!!

dimeplayer68 says:

01/13/12 05:42PM

GL M&M

winoNV says:

01/13/12 11:26PM

fuck portland

stevenp says:

01/13/12 07:12PM

totally agree with you. i bet milwaukee last night. and saw everything you did. only caveat, ben gordan is a bum.

dkite22 says:

01/14/12 01:09AM

Good night Milkman as it looks like a 6-3 night with Cleveland coming back in the second half. Looks like we eclipsed the .500 mark and actually one game above! Great night man and look forward to tomorrow's plays.

dkite22 says:

01/13/12 07:11PM

damn, i could only getg philly at 13 and minnesota under 181. hope they easily cover!

dendogg55 says:

01/13/12 07:17PM

eyemtlaw says:

01/13/12 07:07PM

On with the bucks. Playing better since Bogut is back and plays Dallas pretty well.

svensk says:

01/13/12 05:47PM

GL CMM

nonosela911 says:

01/13/12 05:58PM

on the contrary (about Kobe and the Lakers)... Mike Brown playing his old team who knows plenty about. and Bean Bryant looking for his 3rd consecutive 40+ point game??? Come on!!! Kobe will come with it tonight. 10 digit victory minimum-

nonosela911 says:

01/13/12 06:19PM

the "looking ahead" mantra seems to get a lot of attention. i dont buy that. ill be at the game tonight watching Beak Bryant go off for 40

in the Premiere Section!!! catch me on the balcony chuchin at halftime with the Chamberlin throwback

BoyBayo says:

01/13/12 11:03PM

fuck bucks

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