CrazyMilkMan's Blog

CrazyMilkMan's NBA Saturday

By CrazyMilkMan | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, January 14, 2012 02:23 AM   43 comments
6-3 Friday. 60-59 YTD. Finally got over the .500. Here's for Saturday. Let's go Saints and Broncos!:


Philadelphia 76ers -8.0
Same shit as last night.


Lean: Golden State Warriors -2.5
Leaning against my Cats. I think Steph Curry plays tonight. Warriors are looking really motivated to get wins on their road trip with Cats, Det, Cavs and the Nets ahead of them.


Lean: Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5
Too many points for a short handed Hawks team against a scrappy Wolves team always tries to fight back. They should keep it close and cover.


Indiana Pacers -3.5
I don't get it. Pacers opened as a -1.5 and jumped two points up. I wasn't expecting the Pacers to win on the road (against the Raptors) but they did. Boston ran out of gas last night trying to make a comeback against the Bulls and now they have to play in Indiana on a back-to-back. Pacers edged them earlier and I expect them to get on the same groove. Until the Celtics display the defensive stuff the are best at, I think it is safe to play against them especially on back-to-backs.


Chicago Bulls -13.0
Bulls at home after a nice win against rivals Boston. Raptors will most likely play without Bargnani. I see the Bulls holding their opponent to less than 70 again while they score somewhere around 90+. They are one of the best home teams right behind Philadelphia, who's been winning by 26+ points at home. Raps should also been in bad form/mood right after allowing the Granger-less Pacers to comeback and win it int he 4th. Bulls win here in a blow out. Raps is reduced to getting points from Barbosa, De Rozan and a little from Calderon. 13 points is just right.


New Orleans Hornets 1Q
On a 10-1 ATS run and will probably continue. Hornets almost always start out strong this season and take full advantage of their big front court.


Lean: Houston Rockets +2.0
Rockets/Blazers UNDER 196.0
I really like the Rockets off a back-to-back games. They look sharper in the next one. Also looking to fade the Blazers on the road. They seem like a different team on the road as well. They shoot worse on the road than at home and is slower by a step in defense. The UNDER is the better play IMO. They are a combined 0-8 O/U home/road record and I don't see anything changing.


New York Knicks +11.5
Wow this is crazy. Knicks will be better without Melo and that's about it. Knicks covers and really have a decent chance in winning SU.


Lean: Dallas Mavericks -12.0
Gotta love the Mavs as they are now. They are slowly regaining their defensive form and it looks like the have everyone's roles thought up (Odom still has yet to get his). Kings are making slow progress with the new coach but still lacks any form of defensive plan to match their offense (also needs a lot of work with lapses in one quarter of their games). Strong lean on the Mavs who's currently on a 8-2 ATS run in their last 10 (4 of which are pretty close to a double digit favorite).


New Jersey Nets +8.5
Seriously these soon-to-be-Brooklyn boys are something the past few games. They are 4-1 ATS the last 5 or maybe because Deron is clicking with his team now averaging 20-12-3 in that span. Jazz is also on a 4-1 ATS/SU in their last 5 as well and could probably have went 5-0 ATS if not for a lousy 0.7s fouling. Anyway, this one is just one too many points given how the Nets are playing. I don't see them winning SU but a cover is pretty much up there. Gotta check up on some stat after teams coming from Phoenix off a b2b are performing. Last time, I checked they don't do well but still playing the Nets here.


Lean: Los Angeles Lakers ML
I just hate going up against a motivated Black Mamba.



BOL.

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43 comments
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dave76801 says:
01/14/12 02:40AM
jdamon26 says:
01/14/12 02:45AM
I'm actually on the Hawks but I can see how Minny could be the play.  Was also thinking of taking the Rockets...do you know anything about the health of Marcus Camby?

BOL
lts41 says:
01/14/12 02:49AM
KG is questionable for tomorrow's ballgame
lts41 says:
01/14/12 02:50AM
BOL milkman 
ed18 says:
01/14/12 03:02AM
lakers 
eeenvy says:
01/14/12 03:32AM
cmm
mtbaker says:
01/14/12 03:48AM
Like your Bulls lean.  I think your Cats can get it done tomorrow, GS is banged up and not a big team so the Cats can scrap with em.  Also leaning towards the Clip.
insatiable says:
01/14/12 04:00AM
Rakiztah says:
01/14/12 04:25AM
We all saw kobe's 40pts coming. Good thing I also rode on the Cavs

Like the nets play! deron will keep it close or win SU!

GL milk!
BoyBayo says:
01/14/12 05:57AM
can wolves win ats at atlanta?
dbuc1 says:
01/14/12 07:17AM
BestKeptSecret says:
01/14/12 07:28AM
gL...
MrPera says:
01/14/12 08:10AM
with you with the Lake Show! WIN!
D-Town says:
01/14/12 08:22AM
Good luck CMM.  
apwoodwa says:
01/14/12 08:50AM
peace handshake
JimJack says:
01/14/12 09:02AM
JohnnyFlops says:
01/14/12 10:09AM

 

Phi -8

GS -3

Chi -13

         Lets get this dough FELLAS!!! 

JeReMiaH says:
01/14/12 10:32AM
CMM Nice run to get back to .500. So you took NO ML in the 1st Q correct?
stevenp says:
01/14/12 12:31PM
crazymilkman, i'm thoroughly impressed with your analysis.  i agree with almost everything.  philly on the back to back will reveal something.  it's tough to crush an opponent, even as horrible as washington, btb.  i've been playing one play a day the past few to try to get a handle on the season.  money lined indiana last night.  love them tonight.  but i'm buying three with houston up to five.  houston four in seven.  portland five in seven.  houston 4-0 ATS at home.  Portland 1-3 ATS on road  whatever.  keep it up!
PLAYAAAA1969 says:
01/14/12 12:44PM
Under NYK...

And Kobe getting 3 in his House.....Kobe will score 60 showing Lakers are LA's team...
andreagassi6969 says:
01/14/12 12:45PM
Kakizito says:
01/14/12 12:52PM


I think Phi line is very fishy. They blow Wiz yesterday and today line opens only at -8? Public is all over Phi -8 (70%+) and still line hasn't moved. I think bookies are begging us to take Phi,
PoppinStraps says:
01/14/12 01:54PM
Like the plays Milk, Im also on Under 197.5 for NYK@OKC.

BOL tonight Milk!!!!!!!!!!!!!
BIGDTITLE says:
01/14/12 02:02PM
Going Clippers large here. Lakers playing 4th in 5 nights. Who is going to guard CP3?

Plus going clippers first quarter. They are rested and hungry
HDTP says:
01/14/12 02:41PM


Its a 1 point adjustment for philly. looks about right.

Washington is better at home and phiily drop a few less on the road.

I see this landing right around 8 points, so buy the hook.
keepitstrict says:
01/14/12 02:46PM
HDTP says:
01/14/12 02:48PM


I don't understand how people can say they are better without. Melo is most efficient player on the team with a rating of 25.

Now there are replacing him with a cabrón that have a rating of 9.

This shaves of at least 10 points from NYs total.

TRAIN69 says:
01/14/12 03:21PM
Gotta like the Bost/Indy U180.5 as well dont you?
BJaRz says:
01/14/12 03:29PM
JeReMiaH says:
01/14/12 06:35PM

Hey CMM! Is NO 1st Q ML?

placeholder says:
01/14/12 06:50PM
Good luck! 
CrazyMilkMan says:
01/14/12 07:30PM


NO 1Q +3.0
CrazyMilkMan says:
01/14/12 08:43PM


11-1 now.
CrazyMilkMan says:
01/14/12 09:20PM
Adding:

Los Angeles Lakers +2.5
CrazyMilkMan says:
01/14/12 09:29PM
New Orleans Hornets 1Q +3.0
Philadelphia 76ers -8.0

Pending:
Indiana Pacers -3.5
Chicago Bulls -13.0
Rockets/Blazers UNDER 196.0
New York Knicks +11.5
New Jersey Nets +8.5
Los Angeles Lakers +2.5
CrazyMilkMan says:
01/15/12 12:16AM
New Orleans Hornets 1Q +3.0
Philadelphia 76ers -8.0
Indiana Pacers -3.5

Chicago Bulls -13.0 PUSH
Rockets/Blazers UNDER 196.0
New York Knicks +11.5
New Jersey Nets +8.5


Pending:
Los Angeles Lakers +2.5 - not looking good. LOL.
dimeplayer68 says:
01/14/12 06:49PM
GL M&M
PLAYAAAA1969 says:
01/14/12 09:35PM
Sixers Both nites

Lakers ML  
dkite22 says:
01/15/12 12:18AM
The fact that we had a chance in the Blazers Under was amazing.  Knicks just don't seem motivated for shit.  The Nets are bi-polar and never know what you will get.  Lakers are not looking too good so we'll take our 3-4 night and get back after it tomorrow.  Still at .500!!!
ionutt79 says:
01/14/12 04:34PM
best of luck
Malamadre says:
01/15/12 01:44AM
amazing blazers under could have actually covered if not for the perfect storm at the end to send it to OT and knicks did not cover by half a point.
GerManiac says:
01/14/12 03:56PM
Best of  luck tonight buddy

76erscuts says:
01/15/12 01:39AM


Haha looks like you were abit off mate!! Easy money for going the -8
Loving my 76ers right now!!!!!!!! BOOOMMM
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