CrazyMilkMan's Blog

CMM's NBA Tuesday

By CrazyMilkMan | View all Posts
Posted Sunday, October 28, 2012 11:18 PM   88 comments

Here we go again fellas! NBA Regular season. Posting this early so we could at least get the ball rolling here. I don't think there're any tools we could use yet like stats or whathave you so I'm completely basing my assessment off the Pre-Season, Matchup, Team Depth and NBA 2k13 (who doesn't? lol) .

Washington Wizards +5.5
On paper, I think both team is just about even with a really slight lean towards the Cavs because of Kyrie Irving. Outside him (and say Varejao), everyone else is inconsistent with their production. I'm excited to see Thompson's improvement and their rookies Zeller/Waiters in action. Washington have just about the similar story. Outside Jordan Crawford, I don't see anyone who'll be consistent in dropping double digit in scoring. The only saving grace is thatthey have a gritty front court (even though a bit undersized) and added veteran role players in Okafor and Ariza. In the preseason, Wizards seem to enjoy a bit of success and should translate early in the regular season. I'm going for which team will be able to control the boards here and I think that team will win. Wizards look like the one with the tougher front court plus the 5-extra points will come a long way when you see two teams that are pretty much dead even. 2K13 simulation gives the Wizard 2-1 lead over the Cavs.

 

Miami Heat -6.0
Boston will most likely be fielding Rondo-Lee-Pierce-Bass-KG 5. The usualy suspects will produce here. Lee and Terry are pretty much great upgrade from Ray Allen. I think the duo (plus Bradley if he returns) will give what the Green men lacks (a wee bit more scoring punch) and not sacrificing anything on defense. Heat just got better with Lewis and Allen. They are even more versatile with their player roles on the court and could really cause a lot of defensive matchup problems with how they field their players. I think Heat as they are now have matured and they'll just get better the longer they stay together. I don't think they'd have the luxury to take it easy against Boston because they know too well that this team can beat them. Heat wins 3-0 with a win average of 12 in the simulation. This line should go up to say 7 or 8 by game time with the Heattles love so get it now!

 

Dallas Mavericks ATS (+8.5)
It should be hella loud in LA on opening night. Thing here is that I'd love to get a whole lot more value on a makeshift team with players hungry to prove themselves than a star studded team who takes time to warm up and produce. I think the Lakers will continue their woes from the Pre-Season and make this a close one for the Mavs to cover the spread.

 

BOL.

88 comments
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ukaaa says:
10/28/12 11:25PM
Love Dallas..If Lakers turn into a machine that will blow teams out it sure as hell wont happen this soon... right after a horrible preseason??  you can see the line is way off and public will pound lakers. Dallas is the gift of this first round
beandip5 says:
10/28/12 11:48PM
Goodluck Milkman 
alekomtz says:
10/29/12 12:47AM
bol this season! do you remember how did you end last season?
Al_Capone007 says:
10/29/12 12:49AM
U forgot about JEFF GREEN hes a beast for boston this year
jimmydafreak says:
10/29/12 12:54AM
stevenp says:
10/29/12 04:11AM
i'm a big fan of  the milkman, but jeff green looked good in preseason.  boston, when rested, hangs tough with miami.  miami won that series last year cause boston fatigued.  last year these teams played in game one without paul pearce.  boston with ray allen firing lost by eight.  boston has upgraded.  miami will get the ring and the letdown.  this will be a war.  miami could blow'm out.  i'm not counting on it.  i got it at 8 early.  it won't go up.  throw the ball up.  only one game!
stevenp says:
10/29/12 04:13AM
kobe'll probably be out.  
whipton says:
10/29/12 09:11AM
i like it 
Larry_Legend says:
10/29/12 09:19AM

Teams getting their rings before game time are always in a letdown spot.  Plenty of room for the Heat to win and not cover.

mojodz says:
10/29/12 09:33AM
BOL this season
TDzone says:
10/29/12 09:35AM
Wall won't play.
CanadaCup says:
10/29/12 09:46AM
BOL CMM for the NBA season!
Kaka123 says:
10/29/12 11:45AM
@CrazyMilkMan

Last years regular season was pretty bad for you? Do you think it had mostly to do with the condensed schedule or just an off year handicapping?
whipton says:
10/29/12 11:56AM
last year was fawked up .... every capper gets a pass
sstring18 says:
10/29/12 03:02PM
not worried about the mavs w/o dirk?
Codearmani says:
10/29/12 03:19PM
@CMM

Will you post all your NBA picks here? And do you make live bet's as well? 
stevenp says:
10/29/12 04:14PM
kyrie irving says he lost five pounds and was bedridden for two days following wisdom teeth surgery last friday.
geordie says:
10/29/12 05:34PM
gl
TurnstoneMoney says:
10/29/12 06:42PM
Agree on Boston.

Lee + Terry is equivalent to Ray Allen. He was very inconsistent in his last two seasons. And a healthy Avery Bradley could really help us too.

With you on the Mavericks.
44-dimes says:
10/29/12 09:08PM

 CMM Opening Night and you already bet  3 games----WOW

Good luck Champ. Have a great season.

On board with the Wizards

Neurofit says:
10/29/12 09:13PM
gl cmm
syracusejoe says:
10/29/12 09:37PM
Kobe will play.  No way will he not play the first game with Nash and Howard.  they would have to cut his foot off for him not to be out there.  Look for an under type of game in the Dallas game.  Kobe tends to slow games down with his one on one play.  He also still has a little def in him.
ichiyuri says:
10/29/12 09:46PM
BOL CMM
greengrocer says:
10/29/12 10:03PM
PLAYED THE WIZARDS
CrazyMilkMan says:
10/29/12 10:10PM

 

I'll be playing fewer games this year. 3 would be the most. Looking froward to a profitable year with you dimes.

VietBlonde says:
10/29/12 11:27PM

BOL CrazyMilkMan on the NBA regular season!!! I'm on board with all three games. Let's make some  this NBA season.

mzjacic3 says:
10/29/12 11:28PM
CMM dont mind me asking, what was your record last year? I kept up with you for first half of the past season.
djitow says:
10/29/12 11:43PM
arcad28 says:
10/29/12 11:46PM
I think the Heat cover.....
DaddyDiesel says:
10/30/12 12:15AM
Let's get it CMM.
tinfoils says:
10/30/12 12:32AM
Good luck CMM!
ad1260 says:
10/30/12 12:59AM
MilkMan...BOL to you on this NBA season. How did you end up doing in MLB this year? I visited your thread about 4-5 times a week  As I am primarily a NFL and MLB bettor, I might tail you in NBA from time to time because if I'm not mistaken, this is your specialty? BOL to you bud 
Yellaboi972 says:
10/30/12 01:11AM
Hey CMM I been following your picks and just wanted to say GL on this NBA season! I'm tailn you on Miami and Dal I also like Low Dallas. BOL 
wating94 says:
10/30/12 01:12AM
Washington
WriterGuy says:
10/30/12 01:22AM
Really happy to see you here again, CMM. Last season, around mid-year, I began keeping a close eye on you and picked up some valuable hints along with your well-researched write-ups. I'd like to think that "tradition" will continue as 2012-13 kicks in. 

One question, if that's cool with you. Thanks to the betting system in these parts, I'm typically on the search for games that have the best chance of concluding with the score differential 5 points or less. Doesn't matter who takes the game, just so long as the result is by less than 6 points.

Is that the kind of information you can provide with a little encouragement? Or, can you recommend where I might find those kinds of stats and general info?

No matter, there's a good reason why you have the respect of so many folks here. Thank you for taking a moment to read this. Have yourself a hell of a season!
EastOakland says:
10/30/12 01:27AM
I agree with Wizards. I think I will stay away from Heat/Boston game until 2h play is available. I liked Lakers at first glance, but with the new line up for Mavs....I think 8.5 is too high even though Kobe will play.
EastOakland says:
10/30/12 01:30AM
Is Verajo playing CMM?
frankwhite11 says:
10/30/12 01:32AM

good luck milk, always enjoy your posts. on you with Dallas +8 and wiz +5.

fading you on boston though :) BOL.

CMJohnson1 says:
10/30/12 01:49AM
Very interesting sir!!

BOL to ya
JORDANG says:
10/30/12 02:19AM
Good luck to you this season CMM!  

Get em'!! 
capskip says:
10/30/12 02:21AM
BOL TONIGHT.....
hunter16 says:
10/30/12 02:24AM
same picks men.

CMM wil u stil base ur piks on ats ds season?
StankyLeg says:
10/30/12 03:00AM
Let's Start the season right!!
ratherBgambling says:
10/30/12 09:34AM
kvnjensen says:
10/30/12 11:44AM
good luck CMM! 
i'm on boston, but anyways...
lets get that cash this season!
vlack says:
10/30/12 11:57AM
I love 2k13 simulations... 

rr207 says:
10/30/12 12:12PM
Washington is so banged up, would they have enough depth and talent to keep up?
MpJanz says:
10/30/12 12:15PM
TRAIN69 says:
10/30/12 01:27PM
Canada_Chris says:
10/30/12 03:21PM
GL CMM!  All the best this season!  With you on the the Wizards!
Spartacus10 says:
10/30/12 03:22PM
Good luck CMM and may you have another profitable NBA season
topcat69 says:
10/30/12 03:37PM
CMM in the House ... 

riding all the way to the bank w/CMM..



drink up bitch's...
mattlane22 says:
10/30/12 04:07PM
CrazyMilkMan u like any first quater today
brent0887 says:
10/30/12 04:09PM
wiseman22 says:
10/30/12 04:11PM
bol cmm
Matts_Caps says:
10/30/12 04:39PM
Thanks for the picks CMM. Good Luck!
MEX_ROOKIE says:
10/30/12 05:09PM

BOL 

rr207 says:
10/30/12 05:22PM


to be honest, i'm not a huge fan of ariza.  and what about nene, isn't he questionable for the game?  the guy has foot problems.  and emeka only played 27 games last year. 
yeahman says:
10/30/12 05:35PM
BOL
LuckyGuy says:
10/30/12 05:39PM
GL CMM
judoka88 says:
10/30/12 05:43PM
Best Of Luck this Season!!!
TheReignman says:
10/30/12 05:45PM
BOL this season 
rr207 says:
10/30/12 05:53PM
Starting lineup for wizards

Price
Beal
Ariza
Booker
Okafor
lllusion says:
10/30/12 05:54PM
SuperMan777 says:
10/30/12 06:08PM
BOSTON+7! BOL!
neworlbush25 says:
10/30/12 06:09PM
AYDENZPIX says:
10/30/12 06:15PM

Mavericks are up to +9 and the Wizards are up to +6. Does that mean that CMM is on the wrong side of both of those bets?

CanadaCup says:
10/30/12 06:16PM

Here's to a profitable NBA  season

BOL CMM

cajundemon says:
10/30/12 06:18PM
CMM GOOD LUCK THIS YEAR LOVE ALL THE PICKS
LIMover55 says:
10/30/12 06:27PM

Hope my fellow east coast boys are ok after the storm.LOng Island is a war zone .Starting the day with 90%without electric now 70%  .

Looking for Doc to have the old boys ready to rock and roll with Rondo in charge. Low scoring 85-81 celtics SU

Not a win for lakers in preseason,Kobe not 100%, Mavs big dog here Lakers pull it out 92-89  mavs cover

PicKnRole says:
10/30/12 06:46PM
Sinanju says:
10/30/12 06:46PM
WinSeeker says:
10/30/12 06:50PM
Some guy just posted saying you are a bookie!!!!   
Thanks for your help in beating my bookie! Too bad I played other bets that didn't win!
Mushu says:
10/30/12 06:51PM
avenue says:
10/30/12 06:58PM
Cheers crazy man! As always best of luck pal!
phatmac says:
10/30/12 07:05PM
GSW721 says:
10/30/12 07:12PM
lakarz16 says:
10/30/12 08:06PM
Hey Cmm No nba thread? thanks sir
Dogjimbo says:
10/30/12 10:58PM
 

  Same here CC.. CMM!
DJLeft_unheard says:
10/30/12 11:01PM
Great pick on HEAT

they are on the way to the next championship tho it won't be easy!

stevenp says:
10/30/12 11:11PM
YOUR MIAMI PICK WAS CLAREVOYANT.  MIAMI IS SIMPLY BETTER THAN BOSTON WITH RAY ALLEN AND LABRON PLAYING.  BOSTON MAY PICK UP STEAM ONCE THE JET GETS INTO THE THICK OF THINGS.  BUT BOSTON HAS NO INSIDE PRESSENCE WITHOUT KG IN THE GAME.  HE GIVES THEM 31 MINUTES.
GMoney2 says:
10/31/12 12:26AM

Thanks Milkman, liked ur views on the games tonight.

CrazyMilkMan says:
10/31/12 12:58AM

KG was almost invisible and yes, I agree with the Jet still not into the thick of things. Give them say 7-10 more games together.

CMJohnson1 says:
10/31/12 12:59AM
CMM..I didn't expect the Celtics to be that bad defensively... I think that was the difference overall
gbpackman says:
10/31/12 01:17AM
DAAAAAAAAAMN!!! LAKERS SUCK!!!!!! CAN'T EVEN BEAT THE MAVS WITHOUT TERRY OR NOWITSKI!!!!!!!!!!! HOWARD FOULS OUT IN HIS LAKERS DEBUT!!! GONNA BE A LONG ASS SEASON 4 THE LAKERS!!!
stevenp says:
10/31/12 01:56AM
THANKS SO MUCH.  I WAS ABLE TO HAVE A MEDIOCRE NIGHT CAUSE I GOT THE DALLAS HALFTIME.  THANK YOU!!!!!
CrazyMilkMan says:
10/31/12 02:01AM

Agreed. Jason Terry isn't a Celtic yet. Giving them a couple more games. Jeff Green should also be in the loop.

DetroitSpuStars says:
10/31/12 08:41AM
Miami and Dallas were Cash The L.A Clippers look good against the Memphis Grizzleys here is round 2 Boys L.A Clippers Vs Memphis and San Antonio both are Cash Boys
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