CrazyMilkMan's Blog

CMM's NBA Thursday

By CrazyMilkMan | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, November 28, 2012 10:58 PM   53 comments

Finally gotten a sweep after sometime. Here's for Thursday:

 

Miami Heat -6.0
First time the Spurs are made as dogs and they are this much. I think this is a perfect spot for a fade on the Spurs. Last game of a 6-game road trip and playing 4G5N on the road. Miami are hella fresh and got nothing to look forward to with that 4 day rest. Last year, Miami won by 22 against the Spurs outscoring them in the 2nd half 71-35 with Wade sitting it out. Even with the Spurs going on light assignments I feel that they'll still feel the fatigue from playing almost a week on the road already. Heat should come out on top on a high scoring afair 107-92.

 

Golden State Warriors +1.5
Don't over think this one. Warriors are hella improved and has a better W/L% over the visiting team. It is also not a secret that the Nuggets are a bad road team. Both teams looking to be in great form. I think edge is on the Warriors because of their 3-pointing and bench scoring. Denver are pretty horrible in defending the 3s. In their first 2 games, they have allowed the Warriors to drain 9 and 7 on 36% and 41% chances while they themselves are hitting only under 25% clip. Two players seem to have a field against the Nuggets and they are Jack and Landry. I think they are effective when the Nuggets goes small. Warriors are also enjoying a long rest and will take another one off after this game. Denver, on the other hand, will most likely look forward to a rested LA team (where they are up as another fade material going 3G4N).

 

BOL.

 

53 comments
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ripkarl says:
11/29/2012 12:03:50 AM
MIA 
Paxel says:
11/29/2012 12:09:41 AM
MIA
manutdfctts9899 says:
11/29/2012 12:14:07 AM
BOL CMM!!
CrazyMilkMan says:
11/29/2012 12:22:47 AM
No love for the Warriors?
nykjets says:
11/29/2012 12:29:33 AM
with you with HEAT. bol cmm
Stutterstep says:
11/29/2012 12:34:17 AM
gsw bro..
StankyLeg says:
11/29/2012 12:37:33 AM
Like them both!!
anterazor says:
11/29/2012 12:38:55 AM
thanks to a very low scoring 4th quarter we went 2-0!!!!! thanks CMM for the today!!!!
jtelemaq says:
11/29/2012 12:41:17 AM
Warriors! 
mtbaker says:
11/29/2012 12:41:54 AM
ntrinh12 says:
11/29/2012 12:46:47 AM
bol
duncantutan says:
11/29/2012 12:58:19 AM

going gsw. i think they'll lose this one after getting the last game vs utah with the points.

not so sure about spurs. this is coming from a fan though.

bol cmm

Paidonjok says:
11/29/2012 12:58:43 AM
Man, you are way too fast for me!  I'm still dealing with the Clipper/Minn game.  

Only player props tonight!

I like Miami but fear that SAS will cover.  They been covering everything!!!

I like GSW.  They are definitely underrated.  
VietBlonde says:
11/29/2012 1:13:44 AM
BOL CrazyMilkMan!!!   Let's cash this one also
kvnjensen says:
11/29/2012 1:24:20 AM
i'm hella hard on the heat, they're just going to have one of those games.
not so hella on GS, but definitely leaning that way.
good day today

CrazyMilkMan says:
11/29/2012 1:48:49 AM

LOL. I hope that's not a bad thing.

Spurs' first time getting points and 6 is a bit too much. Spurs went 7-9 when they are getting points. I'm giving enough value on their scheduling getting to them than anything else.

Warriors should get the job done as well.

 

CrazyMilkMan says:
11/29/2012 1:49:56 AM

Could've gone 3-0 if you caught the Blazers 1Q!

ravensfan52 says:
11/29/2012 2:10:18 AM
Best of luck CMM
duncantutan says:
11/29/2012 2:40:29 AM
what play do you like more cmm?
3BallBomber says:
11/29/2012 2:57:31 AM
Miami Cheats
ManassaMauler says:
11/29/2012 3:06:27 AM
Dogjimbo says:
11/29/2012 3:15:15 AM
GOT MILK?? 

GL CMM


Quantum_Leap says:
11/29/2012 3:27:44 AM
alright, man. Good thinkin and hope they hit
ihavenopatience says:
11/29/2012 3:59:00 AM
idk man tough spot taking miami imo spurs yes have had a long road trip but personally im not too into betting on angles spurs have had b2b blow out wins so starters have had plently of rest. I think spurs 1h is a good bet hopefully miami will be sluggish coming out of the gate, before really getting warmed up

BOL

quanza says:
11/29/2012 4:45:32 AM
On both..

LasVegasLord says:
11/29/2012 4:55:16 AM
Golden State
duncantutan says:
11/29/2012 5:44:59 AM
Crap! Leaning sours but hard to go against a hot milkman.
I guess no play is the right play for me there (pretty sure I'm gonna kick myself if I choose a side and it loses)

Going with GSW then. Bol to us guys!
manutdfctts9899 says:
11/29/2012 6:01:25 AM
BOL once again guys!! get the perfect 2-0 tomorrow
Majestic1 says:
11/29/2012 9:25:04 AM
GL Milk. Leaning on the heat
23skidoo says:
11/29/2012 9:52:09 AM

Hey Milkman,

Thanks for  great write ups.Are you possibly watching these two lonely games and their totals?

Note *last major line moves on totals if we tailed proved profitable.

Re: Tuckered out Cavs vs. rested Phx Tuesday Total opening 205 to a close at 201 (Final total 169 under 91-78 Phx.

&  then yesterdays Tired over travelled Rocket squad @ Okla Total opening 205 to a close of 210 ( Final total 218 over 120-98 Okla

Today:

Heat /Spurs Total opening 205.5  NOW 203.5 (play under)

Nuggets/Warriors Total opening 198 NOW 200 (play over)

Regards,

Stutterstep says:
11/29/2012 10:02:18 AM
cmm im leaning miami coz kawhi and capt jack are out.. to me they are the spurs' best wing defenders... without them... lbj and wade will simply just run wild... seeing this as mia by 15... BOL BRO 
Botchokok says:
11/29/2012 10:42:53 AM
BOL...
Johnny5 says:
11/29/2012 10:57:37 AM
That Heat line falling. Started for me at 6.5 now 5.5
kulprit says:
11/29/2012 12:10:43 PM

Good job on the sweep!

I like MIA for the same reasons you listed.  One thing I don't like is SA is 2-0 ATS on b2b games, and both those times were on road trips.  Might be a small bet for me.

Good luck!

Ckpich says:
11/29/2012 12:11:52 PM
GL
Louis_IV says:
11/29/2012 12:15:47 PM
gl
mtx says:
11/29/2012 12:31:00 PM
Why did the line drop to 5.5???
phat03 says:
11/29/2012 12:33:28 PM
tomherst says:
11/29/2012 12:53:44 PM
great write ups my dude get it
dustyvaultz says:
11/29/2012 1:27:32 PM
hard to go against the milkman but im on the other side of  both here
tinfoils says:
11/29/2012 1:33:20 PM
Good luck CMM!
lion_kinggg says:
11/29/2012 2:24:25 PM
Do you keep a record? If yes how you run? Thanks and bol
holtnt says:
11/29/2012 3:01:43 PM

Normal

0

MicrosoftInternetExplorer4

@ CMM  FYI:  Shane Battier is out…



Normal

0

MicrosoftInternetExplorer4

All

the money (80%) early this morning was on the Spurs…  As of 2:00PM money has poured in on Miami (52%).  At 6 points flip a coin, but I think this

will be a heavy weight fight with both teams eclipsing the 100 point mark.  Over the Total in this spot and siding with

the Public on Denver minus the chalk…  Just my humble opinion… 


SportsFreak69 says:
11/29/2012 3:03:41 PM
Best of Luck 
manutdfctts9899 says:
11/29/2012 3:12:06 PM
 have a great day guys!! hopefully it will be fruitful for us in the 3 games of NBA and NFL 
NYBartender says:
11/29/2012 6:47:26 PM
5Dimes has Spurs at +12
NYBartender says:
11/29/2012 6:49:34 PM
Gregg Popovich is punting against the Heat and will hold Tim Duncan, Tony Parker, Manu Ginobili and Danny Green out of Thursday's game to give them a night of rest.

Ah, thats why. Wish I got in on this line last night.

MYKExKNOWS says:
11/29/2012 7:13:21 PM
GL, CMM.
CrazyMilkMan says:
11/29/2012 9:21:55 PM
Woah! No Duncan, Parker, Green and Ginobli tonight!
Bruce-wayne says:
11/30/2012 12:18:42 AM
dammmm Miami killed me i had a nice parlay with some ncab action..
vs a spurs team with out their big 3 and they couldn't cover?? im disappointed! miami needs to improve their defense 
anterazor says:
11/30/2012 12:49:24 AM
i had Miami ML -245. winner!!!!! Golden State doesnt look good to finish the 1st half. hope they can bounce back.
DENISS08 says:
11/30/2012 1:18:52 AM
CMM  u r the BEST HERE.... 
anterazor says:
11/30/2012 2:20:42 AM
wow CMM golden state outright! wild finish!!! geez i'll take it!
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