CrusCrnshw's Blog

Atlantic-10 Tournament Discussion and Plays

By CrusCrnshw | View all Posts
Posted Monday, March 08, 2010 11:04 AM   28 comments

YTD: (102-72-7) (+37.05 units) (58.6%)

BIG PLAYS (12-2)

Totals 40-25-2

Sides: 61-47-5

Parlays 0-3

ML's 0-1

I played a non A-10 game had no idea what i was doing play (1-0) (Dmon and the gang)

-------

Only had 2 plays the other day. Would have done well if I played on the mental leans...

STL +11

GW +13

STL had it all day, and GW was there most of the way. Tough push. I had a great season all in all and thanks to those who showed support and glad to see many made some money. 12-2 on big plays was a surprise for me, and glad that came through. 37+ units was big...

Now lets talk A-10 tournament. Taking place in AC once again and LUCKILY my schedule fell so that I can make it.

Here are the final standings....with teams in bold making the tournament

1. Temple 14-2  2. Xavier 14-2  3. Richmond 13-3  4. St. Louis 11-5  5. Rhode Island 9-7  6. Charlotte  9-7  7. Dayton 8-8  8. St. Bonaventure 7-9  9. Duquesne 7-9  10. GW 6-10  11. Massachusetts 5-11  12. St. Joseph's 5-11  13. La Salle 4-12  14. Fordham 0-16

Wednesday Night Games: (at home sites) Top 4 seeds have a bye until AC.

5. Rhode Island vs. 12. St. Joseph's

6. Charlotte vs 11. Massachusetts

7. Dayton vs. 10. GW

8. St. Bona vs 9. Duquesne

No lines out as of yet.

In AC games are as follows

1. Temple vs. 8/9 winner

2. Xavier vs. 7/10 winner

3. Richmond vs. 6/11 winner

4. St. Louis vs. 5/12 winner

I will be talking about the matchups as we go, but for now lets see what unfolds and what can go down. Cant wait!!!

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CrusCrnshw says:
03/08/10 05:29PM

Just saw this on greek...

3/9/2010 12:00 PM Number of Atlantic 10 Teams to get in Big Dance  Wager is on how many teams from Conference listed to make the Big Dance field of 65. Max wager is $300.ESPN.com for results

4009 Over  4 teams  +750  

4010 Under  4 teams

 

CrusCrnshw says:
03/08/10 05:30PM

should say +750 over 4 teams

-1000 under 4 teams

CrusCrnshw says:
03/08/10 05:36PM

Predictioned lines for tomorrows games:

St. Josephs @ Rhode Island -14 155.5
George Washington @ Dayton -9.5 131
Massachusetts @ Charlotte -9 146.5
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure -2.5 151

 

 

222bad says:
03/08/10 05:42PM
Would love to see that total in St Bon game around 150.  Think I'd lay down the hammer on over.  BOL
CrusCrnshw says:
03/08/10 06:25PM

Well the lines are out...wonder if they were when I posted...one thing I can say is that the books are taking into account these teams knowing they will have to play 3 over the weekend...as the totals are a little lower than expected in most cases...

St. Josephs @ Rhode Island -13 149
George Washington @ Dayton -11 126.5
Massachusetts @ Charlotte -9 145.5
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure -1.5 153

Some leans...

GW +11...fiesty team, too many pts...
URI/STJ over 149...little low...
Dukes/Bona OVER 153...im gonna try and ride this dukes pt barrage till the wheels fall off..just hope i didnt jump on too late.

helmstetter21 says:
03/08/10 07:11PM

Hey CrusCrnshw...Are all the 1st round games tomorrow at 7pm or has the websites made a mistake?  Neutral site games or home court?

Early look...I like GW and the Dukes over 153...leaning towards Charlottle and RI 

Thanks for the info

 

JFen31 says:
03/08/10 07:18PM

I thought the line on SJU/URI was low at first, but Martelli has gone to the 2-3 zone two games in a row. He was talking today about how he doesn't like running it, but feels it is his best bet since they simply cannot guard most teams man-to-man, and one of my friends on the team said he's pretty sure they'll open up in the zone tomorrow. They used it in the Dayton game (119 total) and Saturday against LaSalle (133). I think that could help the total go under, but if it turns into a track meet, who the hell knows.

What's your feeling on the spread? I'm the biggest cynic there is when it comes to my team and have faded them more often that not this year, but they finally are coming around. I think they cover that number.

TRoe15 says:
03/08/10 07:58PM
Goodness LaSalle was disappointing this year.  Thought they were a potential tournament team heading into the season.

Like Richmond to win this tournament, although St. Louis at +650 interests me as well.
musocky says:
03/08/10 11:40PM
i see great value with charlotte at +4000 (at sportsbook) to win it the tourny will it happen prolly not but there is some value.

 things to think about

charlotte usually play this tournament pretty tough. 

though they have feel of as of late they can play with the best teams in the league ( beating temple, beating richmond)  just some food for thought.

crush thanks for a great season and for more winners to come


CrusCrnshw says:
03/09/10 12:32AM

+4000??? wow yea value..just hedge in rd 2 assuming they get there...

RI will just run with Joes..that first game was ridiculous. Ill still look.

helm, yes all home sites...5-8 seeds have home games...1-4 bye's to AC..

ClassyAnski says:
03/09/10 03:51AM
Mattingly
accventures says:
03/09/10 07:36AM
GWarner27 says:
03/09/10 09:33AM


it'll be -EV to play a +4000 team if you only think they'll win one game because hedging options won't be there.

Crus, here are my guesses:
XU > TEM in the final.

I think the bottom of this bracket is the most talented, and while I think Dayton will cover against XU (guessing 7.5), I still think the Muskies are the best in this conference.

The UR-XU game will be the best in the tournament, but I think whoever wins that will win in the finals as I just don't think TEM is that strong.

Only upsets = Duquesne> SBU, URI>SLU
InCash says:
03/09/10 04:01PM
omard07 says:
03/09/10 05:27PM
Crus, what's your take on the total in the RI/StJoes game? Need the A-10 expert to to fill me in...
CrusCrnshw says:
03/09/10 06:01PM
St. bona over 151 (1.75 units)
gw +12 (1.5 units)
Mass +9.5 (1.25 units)
3 team parlay GW over 127.5 URI over 148.5 and St. Bona over 151
omard07 says:
03/09/10 06:17PM
Yeahy! Was leaning RI over... Thx & BOL, bro
CrusCrnshw says:
03/09/10 07:25PM

that parlay is .25 units...

Lets go RHODY

badlands says:
03/09/10 07:58PM
RHODE ISLAND
HotRoute says:
03/09/10 09:06PM
nice calls Crus...Tim Johnson with the big 3 bomb with :30 left to give GW the cover and the over...which was unreal it took that long to hit after the 70 pt first half...congrats
Kinnick says:
03/09/10 09:06PM
nice work..
CrusCrnshw says:
03/09/10 09:07PM

RHODY WINS...

Great day...
3-0 and hit my first parlay of year as well!!! 3 teamer...

St.Bona/Duquesne OVER 151 (1.75 units)
George Washington +12 (1.5 units)
Massachusetts +9.5 (1.25 units)
3TParlay GW OVER 127.5/RI OVER 148.5/Bona OVER 151 (.25 units) to win 1.5 units

+6 unit day...

JFen31 says:
03/09/10 09:08PM
Damn, you were right on the over. Thought my boys were gonna keep it even till the end...too much URI firepower. Matchup with SLU is intruiging
piljoo says:
03/09/10 09:15PM
nice work!

TAMEND says:
03/10/10 07:13AM
YOU R THE A-10 MASTER
dontbookme says:
03/10/10 08:44AM

 great job

 

CrusCrnshw says:
03/10/10 09:33AM
BustinPiles says:
03/10/10 09:34AM
What's the next 100U Banger ?
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