DanTos8715's Blog

Can I Be The Bookie?

By DanTos8715 | View all Posts
Posted Wednesday, October 21, 2009 07:58 PM   4 comments
So I've often wanted to become the bookie, and take the opposite of the public.  I figured I could theoretically take the opposite of them if I place all of my action against the public.

What I'm wondering is.........I've found one website that gives me betting trends (sportsbook.com).  They give you the percentages bet on each side.  What I don't know is this the percentage of money bet on that side, or the percentage of total bets on each side.  If it's the amount of money bet, then I can accurately go against the public and become the bookie.  If it's only the percentage of total bets, then this won't help at all.

Does anyone know this info, or where I can get percentages of total money bet on each side.  I've also realized that I am just getting the info (i think) of sportsbook.com and not really every other sportsbook.

What I did tonight was take the baseball game, college football game, and all the nhl games and take the minority in percentage on the side and on the total in every game.  I understand that there is soccer, horse racing etc. that the books may cash in on tonight but I feel like this is a good controlled experiment.

Can I get some thoughts or ideas?
4 comments
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betED_com says:
10/21/09 08:12PM

Even though it doesn't seem like it,

you aren't betting against the bookie you're betting against other

bettors when you place a bet. The bookie is just an agent who

arranges the transactions.

As a result, they aren't really

interested in what the real chances of winning are. They set and

adjust odds to draw enough money to each side so that they cover the

payout plus commission for ourselves regardless of who wins.

The payouts for either side should be

roughly equal. Obviously, it's a little more complicated than I've

described and it takes a significant investment to operate, but this

is essentially how books operate and you can probably find ways to

use this to your advantage.

KktdocT says:
10/21/09 09:00PM
you can be whatever you want to be.
yanks21x says:
10/21/09 09:05PM
you still will probably go .500 and lose to juice as your not a real bookie getting juice
rudie says:
12/14/10 02:16AM
Long term as in years, the public hits about 48 pct, going against would hit 52 pct, either way you dont make money unless your book offers you commissions on losses per week. Always sticking to straight bets and finding the best line always helps.
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User: DanTos8715
Joined: September 2009
Location: Michigan
Team: Michigan Wolverines
Occupation: Health Services

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