David_Payne's Blog

Posted Monday, November 22, 2010 09:26 AM

Is Blake Griffin the best big man in the NBA?



Check out this stat line from Saturday’s game against the Knicks: 44 points on 14-of-24 shooting (16-of-23 from the line), 15 rebounds, seven assists, two steals and a block.

Plus, there's this ridiculous dunk that even Amare Stoudemire appreciated.

Blake Griffin is an absolute beast, a one-of-a-kind talent that has made the freaking Clippers must-see TV. Griffin is averaging 18.5 points and 10.5 rebounds, while shooting right at 50 percent. He leads the Association in dunks with 28, six more than No. 2 Derrick Favors.

If Griffin’s not the best big man in the game right now, who is?

Posted Wednesday, November 10, 2010 12:59 PM

Pro bettor pounds UGA on news that Cam Newton is game-time decision

At 9:07 a.m. Vegas time, a professional sports bettor took Georgia +8.5 against Auburn. Five minutes later, Jeff Stoneback, sportsbook manager at the MGM Mirage, took the game off the board.

“We’re hearing reports that Cameron Newton’s status may be a game-time decision,” said Stoneback. “A professional player came in this morning bet Georgia and soon after we got an alert from one of our services about the news.”

Auburn coach Gene Chizik said Wednesday afternoon that Newton will play against Georgia.

Stoneback said the game was starting falling off the board online around the same time and that he would wait to hear more definitive news regarding Newton’s status before putting it back on the board.

If Newton is suspended, multiple oddsmakers have estimated that Auburn will fall from an 8.5-point favorite to as low as a 3-point favorite.

“I wouldn’t be surprised if it dropped by 6 or 7 points,” said Stoneback. “When Jake Locker got ruled out against Oregon, the number moved 7 points.”

Read the flushed out news story

Posted Wednesday, November 10, 2010 09:21 AM

Pocket Rockets? Who's on Toledo +30?

It’s hard to win a college basketball game by 30. I would guess less than 3 percent of D-I games are decided by 30. I'm going to bug Covers database guys to find what 30-point favorites ATS records are. I'm sure it's right about 50/50.

Anyway ... Illinois is favored by 30 tonight over Toledo.

For those of you into Toledo basketball—and who isn’t—the Rockets had as bad of offseason as any program in the nation. (Oklahoma is up there too). Toledo went 4-28 last season, 1-15 in the MAC and went on an offseason mutiny that cost coach Gene Cross his job and left new head coach Tod Kowalczyk with a depleted roster. Only three scholarship players return; two key newcomers, including the starting point guard, were lost during the preseason. They stink.

But 30?    

Toledo lost by more than 30 twice last season: 92-68 at Cincinnati and 73-42 at Western Michigan.

Illinois isn’t bad and showed the ability to deliver a knockout punch in Monday’s opening win over UC Irvine. The Illini also showed the ability to shut it down in the second half. They failed to cover as 21-point favorites in a 79-65 win over the Anteaters.

I never thought I’d write a blog about a Toledo-Illinois basketball game. But let’s just say I’ll be invested tonight.

LATE ADDITION: One of my Twitter peeps pointed this out: Toledo beat Siena Heights, an NAIA team, only 82-80 in exhibition play. The Rockets were out-rebounded by 6.

By the way, did an... [More]

Posted Thursday, November 04, 2010 02:41 PM

What's up with the lines at 5Dimes?

I regularly check Covers Live Odds. And seemingly every time, the lines at 5Dimes.com are significantly different from the other outlets. 

For example, on Tuesday afternoon, Middle Tennessee was favored by 5.5 over Arkansas State. But it was at 1.5 at almost every other outlet. Thursday afternoon, Virginia Tech was a 13-point favorite over Georgia Tech at most places, but the Hokies were -15.5 at 5Dimes.

It doesn’t appear that 5Dimes allows non-members to look at their lines, and I don’t really feel like adding a sixth sportsbook account.  But if these lines are true, I might have to, if only to set up some tasty middles down the road.

Does anyone out there in the Covers universe use 5Dimes? If so, do you find their lines are often different than other outlets?

Drop me a note if you have time.

Thanks … DP

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