Davidscott40's Blog

Posted Tuesday, December 07, 2010 12:38 PM

Teaser Pick - Forum

2 team 4 point Teaser:

(NCAAB) Mich St. +1 @ Syracuse, (NBA) Cleveland Cavs +11 @ Philly

BOLTA...




Posted Wednesday, May 19, 2010 07:45 AM

Would we profit simply FADING the public everytime ?

Let's face it, we all know the books profit OVERALL against us.  By gathering insights from Logans interviews, we also know that books PROFIT THE MOST from TEASER and PARLAY bets.  They love them (except NFL 2team 6pt teasers...according to Logans).
   I always wondered though, do books also profit overall on strictly STRAIGHT action, beyond the juice ?  Periodically I see on the 'match up' page on covers for a game (along with the game thread) a TRIFECTA OF CONSENSUS.  The Public, Cover's Experts, and thread posters.. ALL over 75-80% on the same side.  Upon seeing that, I automatically take the other side, AND IT PAYS $ much more often than not.  It's just a simple reminder, ...most of us are doomed to lose in the end.
   What if we simply faded the Public on every bet ?  Would we profit ?  To do so, Books would have to profit BEYOND the 10% juice they get on the overall straight action.  Wouldn't we kill to know if that actually happens (and what the ACTUAL % overall profit is on the straight action).  I realize that line movement greatly complicates matters here, but fading the Public 'trending' on a game would also apply. 
   Is any of this information READILY available ?  I would like any help / insights that would provide 'data' on how well books do on straight action.  The answers could create its own 'system'. 
   Being selective on our plays and... [More]

Posted Tuesday, February 23, 2010 02:08 AM

Stephen Jackson is a Piece of S**t

I'm not sure if anyone caught the Bobcats / Clippers game last night, but I sure did.  To watch Stephen Jackson 'stumble and bumble' out there like a clown all night....led me to one simple conclusion:  "HE WAS DRUNK OR HUNGOVER". 
    Jackson went 1-16 from the field and also 'contributed' 5 turnovers.  This was a critical game for the Bobcats, who are fighting for the 8th seed in the Eastern conference playoffs.  One could easily tell from the look on teammates and coaches faces... they were 'visibly' disturbed with Jackson.
   "There are media reports that say Jackson was seen "partying" in LA with his buddy Baron Davis well into Monday morning."


I had Charlotte ML
for the game and "FLAT OUT" should have won.  The only reason it wasn't a winner... was a HUNGOVER STEPHEN JACKSON. 

I WISH THAT FUCKER A DOSE OF HIS OWN MEDICINE.   IT INVOLVES JACKSON GETTING TOTALLY TRASHED, AND GETTING BEHIND THE WHEEL....you can fill in the rest.
  


Posted Wednesday, January 06, 2010 09:58 AM

Tracking Results

Every game side and Total I pick... is logged and tracked here by wagerline.  There is zero confusion as to my actual results.

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User: Davidscott40
Joined: August 2009
Location: Virgin Islands USA
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Occupation: Management

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