DeeNvesta's Blog

Posted Sunday, February 14, 2010 10:57 AM

Siena/Canisius

Siena was 6-0 as a road favorite going into the Niagra game

and lost straight up 77-64 as a 4 point favorite.In the game prior

they beat Fairfield by 2 as an 11 point favorite.Think they should

be focused here and come up with a big effort against Canisius.

Siena -8

bol all



Posted Monday, February 08, 2010 06:02 PM

team trend dal/gs

dallas 7-17 ATS vs. poor defensive teams-shooting% defense=>46% this season

bol all



Posted Friday, February 05, 2010 07:06 PM

team trend suns/kings

suns 20-5 ATS vs. poor defensive teams (FG% defense > 46%) in 2nd half last 3 seasons

bol all



Posted Thursday, January 21, 2010 06:08 PM

team trend den/lac

Denver is 20-8 ATS revenging a same season loss versus opponent over the last two seasons

Denver wins by an average of 10 points at home

LAC lose by an average of 6 points on the road

 

Denver -10

 

bol all



Posted Saturday, January 16, 2010 11:18 AM

17-0 ATS Divisional Playoff System ... 2 plays

going back 11 years teams that have better offensive and defensive yards per rush stats in divisional playoff games are      17-0  ATS

JETS

RAVENS

bol all



Posted Saturday, January 02, 2010 09:43 AM

3 system plays 1/2

Not gonna write them up today.

Over 63.5 Ark/E Carolina   (3%)

S. Carolina -3.5  (2%)

Texas Tech -7    (1%)

2% is an average play for me

 

bol  everybody

 



Posted Friday, January 01, 2010 11:15 AM

System(total) play of the day 1/1

Play under- neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56-in a game involving 2 very good teams-outscoring opponents by 10+ ppg,in a non-conference game between 2 teams from major division 1-A conferences

54-18 under since 1992

average total posted 52.7   average points scored 47.9

under 50.5 oregon/osu

bol and have a happy and healthy new year everyone 



Posted Thursday, December 31, 2009 11:43 AM

System play of the day (total) 12/31......

play over - any team against the total(missouri)-in a game involving two average defensive teams(330-390 ypg),after gaining more than 525 or more total yards in their previous game

44-12 over lat 5 seasons

avg total posted 60.3

avg points scored 68.7

over 53 missouri/navy  

bol all                                                                    



Posted Tuesday, December 29, 2009 06:26 PM

Team trend Tues hawks/cavs

cavs 11-1 ats vs. excellent ball handling teams committing<= 12 turnovers/game over last 2 seasons

average score        cavs 95  opponent 81.5

bol all



Posted Sunday, December 27, 2009 05:31 PM

System play (total) Music City Bowl 12/27

neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56(Kentucky)-after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences

42-13 Under since 1992

average total posted 53.2

average points scored in these games 46.4

bol all

 



Posted Sunday, December 27, 2009 11:50 AM

2 system plays 12/28

home teams after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last 7 games,in conference games (39-73 ats) against NYG

John Fox is 17-3 ats after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better as the coach of Carolina

 

favorites of 3.5-10 points-after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread,with a winning percentage between 45-55% in the 2nd half of the season (6-27 ats) against Atlanta

 

bol all

 

 



Posted Friday, December 25, 2009 02:31 PM

System Ten/SD 12/25

Road teams-after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points,in the last 2 weeks of the regular season

16-42 ATS

Jeff Fisher is 17-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less as the coach of Tenn

Tenn is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better over the last 2 seasons.

 

bol all



Posted Wednesday, December 16, 2009 06:10 PM

Weds NBA **Line is telling you something in this one

T'Wolves lose at home by an average of 10 points/game.    Clippers lose on the road by an average 2 points/game.

Realize the Wolves beat the Jazz 2 nights ago but I think this line is really telling you who the books like.Team trends that are meaningful largely favor the Wolves.

 

Wolves - 1.5                

bol all      

 



Posted Monday, December 14, 2009 09:18 AM

Mon Night Arizona/SF system play

home dogs of 3.5-10 points-in a game involving two poor rushing teams(70-95 RY/game),after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games   22-4 ATS

49ers +3.5

 

bol all



Posted Sunday, December 13, 2009 06:47 PM

System NYG/PHI total

Very good teams (>+7 ppg differential) on the road against an average team(+/-3ppg diff)after allowing 9 points or less last game

45-15 under

 

bol all



Posted Saturday, December 12, 2009 09:09 AM

Huge trends favoring Navy.......

32-8 ATS away when playing a losing team

25-5 ATS  away vs. good rushing teams-averaging > 200 yds/gm

19-3 ATS away vs. excellent ball control teams (>32 min/gm)

7-27 ATS - Army record off a bye

all above trends go back to 1992

Navy has been favored by an average of 12.5 points the last

7 years and has won by an average score of    39-10

 

bol all



Posted Sunday, December 06, 2009 12:07 PM

3 system plays Sun 12/6

KC + 6-

road teams-off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog,

good team winning 60% or more of their games on the season

15-42 ats  play against Denver

Under 46 Indy/Tenn

home teams against the total-off 2 consecutive road wins

in weeks 10-13       42-15 under

Tampa Bay +4-

road teams after 1 or more consecutive wins ats,terrible team,

winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the

season       29-5 ats

 

bol all



Posted Monday, November 23, 2009 06:25 PM

hou/ten MNF systems and trends .....

road teams against the total off a home win by 10 points or

more against opponent off a road cover where team lost as an

underdog       31-8 over

gary kubiak 16-5 over vs.division opp. as hou coach

                  10-2 over vs opponent off double digit ats win

 

Titans trends

9-0 ats away vs. .500> opp. off division game in november

8-0 ats as dogs off double digit ats win

6-0 ats monday night off bb suats wins

31-16 ats playing off a win when playing as a road dog the following game

 

bol all



Posted Sunday, November 22, 2009 06:32 PM

system pha/chi total with supporting team trends

home teams against the total - poor rushing team(70-95 ry/gm)

against a team with an average rushing defense(95-125 ry/gm)

after gaining 50 or less rushing yards last game

           32-7 over

pha 10-1 over after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last

game over the last 3 seasons

 

10-2 over in games where the line is between +3 to -3

over the last 2 seasons

 

bol all

 



Posted Sunday, November 22, 2009 11:57 AM

system play cle/det

any team after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points
total in their last 7 games,terrible team winning less than 25%
of their games     44-17 ats  play cleveland
 
Det also 1-8 ats at home off road loss last 2 seasons
 
bol all


Posted Monday, November 16, 2009 08:20 PM

Mountaineer Park Monday 11/16 Races 7 and 8

R7        Undeniably Silver

 catches a fast track at the right level (clm15000n4L)

R8         Budge Man

3rd race off 3 month layoff and spotted to win.Like the

 mid-pack fade on the Kee poly last out and think

  that will have him fit and ready for this race.

 

bol all



Posted Wednesday, November 04, 2009 07:11 PM

Oak Tree race 8 Monday 11/4

5 captain cash     see him waking up at this level. lost rider in

                            spill 2 back. 

8 five a day             first time at this level on the pro-ride and

                             working sharp since last race

 

bol all          



Posted Friday, October 23, 2009 07:06 PM

2 moneyline system plays Sat 10/24

Not going to say what the system is cause I can't say who

it's from. Here are the numbers

23-10 last 5 seasons +56.3 units    average ml +288

16-5 last 3 seasons +38.2 units

6-1 this season +8.3 units

Vanderbilt +13.5    Illinois +10.5

going  to play 1 unit ats and .25 unit ml

bol all

 



Posted Monday, October 12, 2009 08:14 AM

MNF Jets/Dolphins system play

Home favorites ranked in the bottom third of passing offense and
passing defense are 46-75 ats week 5 or later.
 
Against Buffalo won yesterday making system 46-76 ats
 
Realize Mia +1 so doesn't quite fit but feel the system
has some merit and it's very close to being a play.
 
JETS
 
bol all
 
 


Posted Sunday, October 11, 2009 08:52 AM

NFL week 5 system plays (4) including best bet

Home team week 5 and later
         top 10 rushing offense and passing defense
 
      197-132 ats    qualifiers den jets giants
 
        top 10 rushing defense and passing defense
 
       198-151 ats     qualifiers  sf den
 
       bottom third passing offense and passing defense
       as home favorites
 
       46-75 ats        qualifiers    against buf
 
 
       best bet     den
 
 
       bol all
 
 
 
  


Posts:  1 2 3 4  
Advertisement