DeeNvesta's Blog

Posted Thursday, December 31, 2009 11:43 AM

System play of the day (total) 12/31......

play over - any team against the total(missouri)-in a game involving two average defensive teams(330-390 ypg),after gaining more than 525 or more total yards in their previous game

44-12 over lat 5 seasons

avg total posted 60.3

avg points scored 68.7

over 53 missouri/navy  

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Posted Tuesday, December 29, 2009 06:26 PM

Team trend Tues hawks/cavs

cavs 11-1 ats vs. excellent ball handling teams committing<= 12 turnovers/game over last 2 seasons

average score        cavs 95  opponent 81.5

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Posted Sunday, December 27, 2009 05:31 PM

System play (total) Music City Bowl 12/27

neutral field teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56(Kentucky)-after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences

42-13 Under since 1992

average total posted 53.2

average points scored in these games 46.4

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Posted Sunday, December 27, 2009 11:50 AM

2 system plays 12/28

home teams after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last 7 games,in conference games (39-73 ats) against NYG

John Fox is 17-3 ats after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better as the coach of Carolina

 

favorites of 3.5-10 points-after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread,with a winning percentage between 45-55% in the 2nd half of the season (6-27 ats) against Atlanta

 

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Posted Friday, December 25, 2009 02:31 PM

System Ten/SD 12/25

Road teams-after a home game where both teams scored 24 or more points,in the last 2 weeks of the regular season

16-42 ATS

Jeff Fisher is 17-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3 points or less as the coach of Tenn

Tenn is 7-0 ATS after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better over the last 2 seasons.

 

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Posted Wednesday, December 16, 2009 06:10 PM

Weds NBA **Line is telling you something in this one

T'Wolves lose at home by an average of 10 points/game.    Clippers lose on the road by an average 2 points/game.

Realize the Wolves beat the Jazz 2 nights ago but I think this line is really telling you who the books like.Team trends that are meaningful largely favor the Wolves.

 

Wolves - 1.5                

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Posted Monday, December 14, 2009 09:18 AM

Mon Night Arizona/SF system play

home dogs of 3.5-10 points-in a game involving two poor rushing teams(70-95 RY/game),after gaining 99 or less rushing yards in two straight games   22-4 ATS

49ers +3.5

 

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Posted Sunday, December 13, 2009 06:47 PM

System NYG/PHI total

Very good teams (>+7 ppg differential) on the road against an average team(+/-3ppg diff)after allowing 9 points or less last game

45-15 under

 

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Posted Saturday, December 12, 2009 09:09 AM

Huge trends favoring Navy.......

32-8 ATS away when playing a losing team

25-5 ATS  away vs. good rushing teams-averaging > 200 yds/gm

19-3 ATS away vs. excellent ball control teams (>32 min/gm)

7-27 ATS - Army record off a bye

all above trends go back to 1992

Navy has been favored by an average of 12.5 points the last

7 years and has won by an average score of    39-10

 

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Posted Sunday, December 06, 2009 12:07 PM

3 system plays Sun 12/6

KC + 6-

road teams-off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog,

good team winning 60% or more of their games on the season

15-42 ats  play against Denver

Under 46 Indy/Tenn

home teams against the total-off 2 consecutive road wins

in weeks 10-13       42-15 under

Tampa Bay +4-

road teams after 1 or more consecutive wins ats,terrible team,

winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the

season       29-5 ats

 

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