DeeNvesta's Blog
Posted Saturday, January 10, 2009 09:14 AM
HOW TEAMS WITH CERTAIN STATS FARE GOING INTO PLAYOFF GAMES...
RAVENS
ROAD TEAMS ALLOWING LESS THAN 17 PPG
18-11 ATS
HOME TEAMS AVERAGING 136+ RYPG
7-13 ATS
ROAD TEAMS THAT ALLOW 3.9 YARDS PER RUSH
OR FEWER
24-11 ATS
ROAD TEAMS THAT ALLOW FEWER THAN 100 RYPG
23-14 ATS
ROAD TEAMS THAT YIELD LESS THAN 4.9 YARDS PER
PLAY 15-5 ATS
ROAD TEAMS OUTGAINING OPPONENTS BY .25 YPP
OR MORE 12-6 ATS
OVER 34 RAVENS/TITANS
JEFF FISHER 21-8 OVER VS GOOD RUSHING TEAMS
(AVG >=130) AS COACH OF THE TITANS
RAVENS 13-4 OVER AS DOG L2 SEASONS
9-2 OVER AS A ROAD DOG L2 SEASONS
OVER 11-5 WHEN 37 OR LESS IN DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF
GAMES
BOL ALL
...
[More]
Posted Wednesday, January 07, 2009 08:46 PM
OVER 69.5 FLA/OKLAHOMA
PLAY OVER- ANY TEAM AGAINST THE TOTAL (FLORIDA)
IN A GAME INVOLVING TWO DOMINANT TEAMS (OUTGAIN
OPPONENTS BY 1.2+ YARDS PER PLAY) AFTER 7+ GAMES
IN NON-CONFERENCE GAMES...
30-7 LAST 5 SEASONS .... INCLUDING 2-1 THIS YEAR !!!
BOL ALL
Posted Tuesday, January 06, 2009 07:40 PM
memphis is 8-0 over as a favorite this year
avg total pts scored in these games 208
tonights total around 196
bol all
Posted Monday, January 05, 2009 06:55 PM
OHIO ST +8
PLAY ON- UNDERDOGS OF 3.5-10 PTS IN NON-
CONFERENCE GAMES,WITH 17 OR MORE TOTAL
STARTERS RETURNING....
70-30 ATS SINCE 1992
JIM TRESSEL TEAMS ARE 18-9 ATS VS OFFENSIVE TEAMS SCORING 31+ PPG
BOL ALL
Posted Sunday, January 04, 2009 09:06 AM
ALL PREVIOUS PLAYS ARE BLOGGED SO YOU CAN CHECK
MY RECORD.....
NOW ON TO TODAY...
MIAMI+3
PLAY ON- ANY TEAM (MIAMI) REVENGING A SAME SEASON LOSS AGAINST OPPONENT, IN A GAME INVOLVING TWO
GOOD TEAMS (60-75%)...
36-9 ATS L10 SEASONS
17-3 ATS L5 SEASONS
10-2 ATS L3 SEASONS
4-1 ATS THIS SEASON
UNDER PHA/MINN
ROAD TEAMS AGAINST THE TOTAL - A VERY GOOD TEAM
(>=+7 PPG DIFF) AGAINST AN AVG TEAM (+/-3 PPG DIFF)
AFTER ALLOWING 9 PTS OR LESS LAST GAME....
43-15 L 25 SEASONS
14-5 L IO
10-2 L5
6-1 L3
PHILADELPHIA 8-1 UNDER AFTER SCORING 30 PTS
OR MORE LAST GAME L2 SEASONS
AVG SCORE PHA 16.9 OPP 14.4
BOL ALL...
[More]
Posted Saturday, January 03, 2009 10:22 AM
ARIZONA
PLAY AGAINST- ROAD TEAMS (ATLANTA)- AFTER 2 OR MORE CONSECUTIVE WINS,A GOOD TEAM (60-75%)
PLAYING A MARGINAL WINNING TEAM (51-60%)
48-18 ATS SINCE 1983
12-5 ATS L10 SEASONS
7-3 ATS L5 SEASONS
3-3 ATS L3 SEASONS
2-1 ATS THIS SEASON
UNDER INDY/SD
PLAY UNDER- HOME TEAMS AGAINST THE TOTAL (SD)
EXCELLENT PASSING TEAM (>=7.3PYA) AGAINST AN AVG PASSING DEFENSE(5.9-6.7PYA) AFTER 8+ GAMES,AFTER GAINING 8+ PASSING YARDS PER ATTEMPT IN 2 STRAIGHT
GAMES
35-8 ATS L25
19-4 ATS L10
13-3 ATS L5
7-1 ATS L3
1-0 THIS YEAR
INDY 8-0 UNDER AFTER OUTGAINING OPPONENTS BY
150+ TOTAL YARDS IN THEIR PREVIOUS GAME
L3 SEASONS
LETS MAKE SOME
Posted Friday, January 02, 2009 03:55 PM
under utah/bama
play under - all teams where the posted total is between 42.5 and 49 (utah) off 1 or more straight overs,quick starting
offensive team- scoring 16+ppg in the 1st half
85-50 L5 seasons
all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (utah)
-quick starting offensive team- scoring 16+ppg in the
1st half,after playing a game where 60 or more total
points were scored
45-18 L5seasons
also...
utah 15-1 under away after 2 or more consecutive wins against
spread since 1992
bama is 7-0 under after playing 3 straight conference games
L2 seasons
utah 21-6 under away off win against conference rival since 1992
bol all
Posted Friday, January 02, 2009 12:55 PM
play against-underdogs of +155 to +300 vs the moneyline (ole miss)- a good defensive team (16-21 ppg) against an avg defensive team (21-28 ppg) after allowing 9 pts or less last game
31-2 since1992
avg ml posted -192.5
avg score these games our team 31 opp 17
even though i don't have the stat am sure this good ats also,,,
skipping e caro/ken
will be posting utah/bama soon on this thread
bol all
Posted Wednesday, December 31, 2008 10:15 PM
UNDER IOWA / SOUTH CAROLINA
IN GAMES WITH A TOTAL BETWEEN 42.5 AND 49-
BOTH AVERAGE PASSING TEAMS (6.4-7.5 PYA) IN
NON-CONFERENCE GAMES
34-10 L5 SEASONS
IOWA 10-1 UNDER NON-CONF L3 SEASONS
32-8 UNDER AFTER ALLOWING 3 PTS OR LESS 1ST HALF LAST GAME SINCE 92
OVER CLEMSON/NEBRASKA
NEUTRAL FIELD TEAMS WHERE THE TOTAL
IS BETWEEN 49.5 AND 56-RETURNING AN IN
EXPERIENCED QB AND 5 OR LESS OFFENSIVE
STARTERS
27-5 L5 SEASONS
OVER USC/PENN STATE
GAMES INVOLVING 2 DOMINANT TEAMS
(OUTGAIN OPP BY 1.2+ YPP) AFTER 7+ GMS
IN NON-CONFERENCE GMS
28-6 L5 SEASONS
VTECH
PLAY AGAINST CINCINNATI- GOOD PASSING TEAM
(7.5-8.3 PYA) AGAINST POOR PASSING TEAM (5.6-6.4 PYA) AFTER 7+ GAMES IN NON- CONFERENCE
GAMES
27-5 ATS SINCE 1992
FRANK BEAMER 9-1 ATS UPSET CONF RIVAL
12-2 ATS OFF UPSET WIN AS DOG
22-8 ATS ALLOWING <75 YARDS GROUND...
[More]
Posted Wednesday, December 31, 2008 11:55 AM
I'm going to send out 2008 in proper style. Here are my three winning plays for Wednesday.
UND 20.5 1H TTL BC/VANDY
ANY GAME VS. 1H TTL INVOLVING 2 AVG RUSH TMS(3.5-4.3 YPR) IN NON CONF GM BETWEEN 2 TMS FROM MAJOR DIV 1A CONFS(28-4 UND)
UND 59 MIN/KAN
ANY TM AGNST TTL(MIN) IN NON CONF GMS OFF 2 STRAIGHT Ls TO CONF RIVALS, ALLOWING 31 PTS OR MORE(35-8 UND)
MIN 6-0 UND VS POOR PASS DEF(ALLOW COMP PCT 58 OR WORSE)
OV 52 LSU/GT
NEUTRAL FIELD TMS WHERE TTL IS 49.5-56(GT)/RETURNING AN INEXPERIENCED QB AND 5 OR LESS OFF STARTERS(27-5 L5 SEASONS)
AVG TTL POSTED IN THESE GMS=52.4
AVG PTS SCORED IN THESE GMS =62
# OF GMS WHICH THIS SYSTEM COVERED BY 7 OR MORE WAS 22
BOL ALL
Posted Tuesday, December 30, 2008 09:36 AM
ATL 15-2 UND IN L17 RD GMS REVENGING LOSS VS OPP OF 10 PTS OR MORE
AVG SCORE ATL 88 OPP 95
ATL AVG AWAY 192 IND AVG HOME 211
UND ATL/IND
MIL 16-2 OV WHEN PLAYING GOOD TEAM(WIN% 60-70) L2 SEASONS
AVG SCORE MIL 101 OPP 114
SA AVG HOME 188 MIL AVG AWAY 196
OV SA/MIL
BOL ALL
Posted Monday, December 29, 2008 07:58 PM
warriors 18-4 over at home vs good ball handling teams (<=14 to/g) L2 seasons avg pts scored 224.5
warriors at home vs poor defensive teams (allow 99+/gm)
L2 seasons (23 gms) avg pts scored 225
warriors home avg pts scored 220
raptors away avg pts scored 193
avg both teams 207 total tonight 213
they shaded total towards warriors ... hopefully still too low....
over 213
bol all
Posted Sunday, December 28, 2008 11:21 PM
check blog
Posted Sunday, December 28, 2008 06:24 PM
denver
1-15 ats after gaining 6+ yards/play L2 seasons
0-11ats vs. awful pass defenses (allowing comp% 64 or worse)
L3 seasons
1-12 ats vs. excellent passing teams (comp%64+) L3 seasons
san diego
10 -1 ats home fav 7.5 -10 L3 seasons
10-1 ats vs. good passing teams (comp% 61+) in 2nd half of
the season L2 seasons
5-0 ats L5 vs. den
HAVING NICE DAY TODAY.... HOPING TO GET ONE MORE !!
Posted Sunday, December 28, 2008 11:55 AM
love the card today !!!
games come up very strong....
skipping explanations.... i'm a systems and trends guy as all who have viewed my thread
know. here we go......
over sea/ariz (top play)
niners
phins
under cin/kc
eagles **
lions
over tb/oak**
** other 2 I'd play besides top if only
playing 3
bol all
Posted Saturday, December 27, 2008 09:21 AM
NORTH CAROLINA
Butch Davis 16-4 ats after allowing 100 or less rushing yards
last game
Butch Davis is 6-0 ats after failing to cover the spread in 2 out
of 3 games as coach of Tar Heels
BOL AL
Posted Wednesday, December 24, 2008 07:24 PM
SUNS 35-14 OVER VS. TEAMS WHO ATTEMPT 18 OR MORE 3PT SHOTS/GAME L2 SEASONS
AVG SCORE SUNS 110 OPP 109
AVG TTL PTS/GM SPURS(AWAY)192 SUNS(HOME) 207
TTL 201
LAKERS 1-12 ATS VS. GOOD DEFENSIVE TEAMS
(FG DEFENSE <=43%) L2 SEASONS
AVG SCORE LAKERS 98 OPP 104
CELTICS 18-6 ATS WHEN PLAYING AGAINST A TOP LEVEL
TEAM (WIN% 70+) L2 SEASONS
CELTICS AWAY MARGIN +9 LAKERS HOME MARGIN +11
LINE: LAKERS-2
CAVS 8-0 ATS VS POOR DEFENSIVE TEAMS
(99+ PTS/GM) THIS YEAR
AVG SCORE CAVS 109 OPP 85
WIZARDS AWAY MARGIN -8 CAVS HOME MARGIN +17
LINE: 15
HUGE EDGES ALL 3 !!!
BOL ALL .... LETS MAKE SOME
Posted Tuesday, December 23, 2008 06:21 PM
CELTICS 16-4 ATS VS. POOR 3 PT SHOOTING TEAMS <=33%
OF THEIR ATTEMPTS L2 SEASONS
AVG SCORE CELTICS 102 OPP 87
CELTICS MARGIN AT HOME +12
SIXERS MARGIN AWAY -6
Posted Sunday, December 21, 2008 05:57 PM
TROY 9-1 ATS AFTER ALLOWING 3 PTS OR LESS IN THE FIRST HALF LAST GAME L3 SEASONS
TROY 8-1 ATS IN ROAD GAMES AFTER PLAYING A GAME AT HOME
S. MISS 8-1 UNDER AFTER OUTGAINING OPP BY 125+ YDS L2 SEASONS
S. MISS 11-2 UNDER AFTER ALLOWING 125 OR LESS YDS RUSHING IN 2 STRAIGHT GAMES SINCE 1992
S. MISS 26-13 UNDER IN NON-CONFERENCE GAMES SINCE 1992
3 UNITS TOP PLAY
2 UNITS TROY
1 UNIT UNDER
BOL ALL
Posted Sunday, December 21, 2008 11:02 AM
RANGE 1-3 UNITS
2 UNITS OVER MIA/KC
ANY TEAM AGAINST THE TOTAL- AVERAGE TEAM
[+/- 3PPG DIFF] AGAINST A TERRIBLE TEAM [<= -7PPG DIFF] AFTER ALLOWING 17 PTS OR LESS IN 3 STRAIGHT GAMES
25-6 OVER
KC 6-0 OVER AFTER BEING OUTGAINED BY 100+ YARDS L2
SEASONS
3 UNITS OVER NO/DET
HOME TEAMS AGAINST THE TOTAL-OFF A ROAD COVER WHERE THE TEAM LOST AS AN UNDERDOG IN DECEMBER GAMES
38-13 OVER
TOO MANY TEAM TRENDS TOO LIST FOR THE OVER.. IT ALL LINES UP PERFECT !!
1 UNIT NEW ENGLAND
GOOD HOME TEAMS (+3 TO +7 PPG DIFF) AGAINST AN AVERAGE TEAM (+/- 3 PPG DIFF) AFTER 8 OR MORE GAMES AFTER LEADING IN THE PREVIOUS GAME BY 14 OR MORE PTS AT THE HALF
25-6 ATS
MANY HISTORICAL TEAM TRENDS (BACK TO 1992) FAVOR NE HOWEVER I PREFER CURRENT ONES. THATS WHY THIS IS A 1 UNIT PLAY FOR ME...
BOL ALL
Posted Saturday, December 20, 2008 08:26 AM
Home teams- off 2 or more consecutive unders,in a game involving 2 good offensive teams [23-27ppg] after 8 or more games 32-8 ats
Ravens 0-6 ats after loss by 6 pts or less L2 seasons
Boys 6-0 ats at home after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game L2 seasons
Posted Tuesday, December 16, 2008 08:46 PM
Pistons 26-12 under in revenge situations L2 seasons.
Average total points scored 183
Pistons home ATP 196
Wizards away ATP 204
Total should be way too high.... We'll see !!!