Delpo's Blog

LSU ML -230 one of my biggest plays ever

By Delpo | View all Posts
Posted Thursday, September 22, 2011 12:30 AM   8 comments

I really cant believe im getting this price on LSU.

To me this looks like a straight up mismatch sytlistically.

LSU is going to be able to pound the ball all day with Ware and Ford. Did you see what Megget from Maryland did to that West Virginia defence last week? I really dont see anyway WV is going to be able to stop the run. LSU's offensive line should really bully WV's and create lanes all day for those two guys to run thru. Sure theres going to be times where Lee will have to step up and make a big throw but for the most part I think LSU is going to run and then run some more and im not sold on WV's ability to stop them.

On the other side of the ball WV wants to throw all day but that aint going to fly against the team with prolly the best corners in all of college football. Im not even sure Smith will have much time to throw and LSU is going to make WV's offensive line look very similar to Oregons and they will be in Geno's face all day. WV has shown me nothing running the ball the past 2 weeks to make me think they will be able to pound the ball against this beastly defence.

I guess it comes down to this. I can easily come up with a way that LSU can score the ball (run) but I cant come up with a way that West Virginia can. Oregon is a much better team then WV imo and LSU make them look silly. I think this will be a routinely easy win for LSU but there offence does scare me so Im not messing around with the -6.5 seeing LSU has a bad habit of playing tight games and dont want a late meaningless TD to fuck me over and the ML price is pretty good for this spot.

950$ to win $413

8 comments
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Smith4722 says:
09/22/11 12:44AM

As a huge follower of the sec, This line seems way too low . 5.5 is easy money if jarrett lee can have a DECENT game, and the money line at -230 ish, seems too good to be true.

 

Load up on the tigers   

payne034 says:
09/22/11 10:26AM

good luck brother but im going complete opposite

 

I am a alabama grad and big time sec fan  but west virginia has the capability of staying with sec schools and have proved it the last four years playing home in home with auburn and home in home with lsu..

 

lsu on the outside has extreme speed @ wideout and will make lsu dbs think alot more than only thinking bout 10 yard or less passes bc miss st had no deep threat and oregon looked so out of sync in that game...this will lee's most hostile game this year and i believe wv could win outright

badlands says:
09/22/11 10:44AM
you may be a week late  im going to be on wv but hopefully lsu by 3 for you  
jshep says:
09/22/11 11:34AM
on the ATS of -.5.5 so may we both win
Teaser78 says:
09/22/11 11:39AM
 gl bro ....
Josh_Nagel says:
09/22/11 02:51PM
I would think you could find a better spot for a huge play than LSU moneyline for this one. I have a feeling this one is going to make you sweat. Win or lose, the Tigers won't have an easy time of it. West Virginia hung with them on the road last year. Good luck to you.
BIGfnPOO says:
09/23/11 05:27AM
wow -230 and its yr best game ever? be serious. get with carolina and az sunday....cent fla friday.....west va sat..ohhh...gd luk ...u can call me bigPOO
crazyakes says:
09/23/11 01:43PM
les miles 30-1 vs out of conference competition since arriving.

I agree, the size of LSU after a fast physical game with Maryland during which they wore down late and allowed a huge second half comeback will factor in.

I live in MD just outside college park. MD leading receivers Tyler and mcree were suspended vs WV, just two days before they played so backups got no reps. In first half MD QB had like 50 yards, 300 in second half when he got in rhythm. Bottom line: WV is way overrated and MD passed 55 times on them their corners will be tired. LSU can hang 40 on them and I dont any scenario with WV getting 20 vs LSU even in morgantown.

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