@theDisco - Week 6 (39-21 YTD, 65%)

ATS Record:  Week 1: 6-5 (unposted) Week 2: 8-3-2 (unposted) Week 3: 7-2 posted (11-3 overall), (2-1 posted straigt bets) Week 4: 4-7 (overall), (1-4 straight bets) Week 5: 10-3 (overall), (3-0-1 straight bets)   unbelievable how every card looked bad for he past couple weeks, yet for the most part I've done quite well...let's continue that with another ugly looking card. A lot of travel & turkey mean no write-ups but feel free to ask and I throw out some reasoning.   happy thanksgiving to the fellow canucks  and GL this week all   Straight Bets: 1/2 Unit: CAR +1 (+109) 1/2 Unit: HOU -3 (+107) 1/2 Unit: ARZ +5 (-111) 1/2 Unit: SD -5 (-101)   The Rest:   OAK +9 BAL +5.5 NYJ -7 CHI -3 STL +14.5 JAX +3.5 GB +1.5   I really hate not breaking down matchups & giving reasons (no contribution)... so with some feedback I'd be happy to get into some solid reasoning...   BOL this week   ... [More]

@the Disco - Week 5

Repost, Would love some feedback -- regardless of if you aggree or disagree   This is a really tough week. Hope to bounce back from last week and get back on track   ATS Record:  Week 1: 6-5 (unposted) Week 2: 8-3-2 (unposted) Week 3: 7-2 posted (11-3 overall), (2-1 posted straigt bets) Week 4: 4-7 (overall), (1-4 straight bets)   Straight Bets:   1/2 Unit: TEN -2.5 (-107) With both teams playing well. This is a situation play mostly. BAL is 0-4 L4 after MNF and that matches up with the fact that Flacco is coing off a physical divisional game, and has a short week to study the film of the best D in the league. The same goes for recovery time for the rest of the Ravens as the Titans are also VERY physical. I think Jeff Fisher is one of the best coaches in the NFL so I expect the Titans to both show up & be well prepared.   1/2 Unit: TB +3 (+110) This is cut & dry. Run all over the Broncos, do your best to shut em down. Tampa is playing well & have the tools needed to win on the road (well coached, solid D & running game). That combination also doesn't match up with Denver so I do like the Bucs in this spot.    *Key Trends: (ATS)       TB 3-0 L3 on Grass (DEN 1-3)       DEN 1-3 L4 as fav. (6-18 L3 seasons)       DEN 0-1 as home fav. of 3 or less (1-5 L3 seasons)       DEN 0-2 after div. &... [More]

@theDisco - Week 4

This is a really tough week. Hope to bounce back from last week and get back on track   ATS Record:  Week 1: 6-5 (unposted) Week 2: 8-3-2 (unposted) Week 3: 7-2 posted (11-3 overall), (2-1 posted straigt bets) Week 4: 4-7 (overall), (1-4 straight bets)   Straight Bets:   1/2 Unit: TEN -2.5 (-107) With both teams playing well. This is a situation play mostly. BAL is 0-4 L4 after MNF and that matches up with the fact that Flacco is coing off a physical divisional game, and has a short week to study the film of the best D in the league. The same goes for recovery time for the rest of the Ravens as the Titans are also VERY physical. I think Jeff Fisher is one of the best coaches in the NFL so I expect the Titans to both show up & be well prepared.   1/2 Unit: TB +3 (+110) This is cut & dry. Run all over the Broncos, do your best to shut em down. Tampa is playing well & have the tools needed to win on the road (well coached, solid D & running game). That combination also doesn't match up with Denver so I do like the Bucs in this spot.    *Key Trends: (ATS)       TB 3-0 L3 on Grass (DEN 1-3)       DEN 1-3 L4 as fav. (6-18 L3 seasons)       DEN 0-1 as home fav. of 3 or less (1-5 L3 seasons)       DEN 0-2 after div.       DEN 0-2 when the total is between 42.5-49 (1-12 L3 se... [More]