DiscoD69's Blog

@theDisco - Week 6 (39-21 YTD, 65%)

By DiscoD69 | View all Posts
Posted Saturday, October 11, 2008 02:35 AM   8 comments
ATS Record: 
Week 1: 6-5 (unposted)
Week 2: 8-3-2 (unposted)
Week 3: 7-2 posted (11-3 overall), (2-1 posted straigt bets)
Week 4: 4-7 (overall), (1-4 straight bets)
Week 5: 10-3 (overall), (3-0-1 straight bets)
 
unbelievable how every card looked bad for he past couple weeks, yet for the most part I've done quite well...let's continue that with another ugly looking card. A lot of travel & turkey mean no write-ups but feel free to ask and I throw out some reasoning.
 
happy thanksgiving to the fellow canucks  and GL this week all
 
Straight Bets:
1/2 Unit: CAR +1 (+109)
1/2 Unit: HOU -3 (+107)
1/2 Unit: ARZ +5 (-111)
1/2 Unit: SD -5 (-101)
 
The Rest:
 
OAK +9
BAL +5.5
NYJ -7
CHI -3
STL +14.5
JAX +3.5
GB +1.5
 
I really hate not breaking down matchups & giving reasons (no contribution)... so with some feedback I'd be happy to get into some solid reasoning...
 
BOL this week
 
8 comments
comment Post A Comment
NNYHILLBILLY says:
10/11/08 10:55AM
Liking Car, unsure of SD....Birds should be able to cover, betting the  over on that one....Good luck this week!
NNYHILLBILLY says:
10/11/08 10:56AM
Fellow canuck by the way....
DiscoD69 says:
10/11/08 11:06AM
thank you GL to you. (and happy thanksgiving )

 

I do like that over but it seems too obvious, and I can't understand how it opened at less than 50. If the Dallas D shows up, it stinks of a 26-21 type game to just fall shy of the number.

 

I actually really do like the way ARZ matches up so IMO, you're better of playing both instead of just the over...or at least no going all out on the total.

 

if you're interested in another Over...I kinda like BAL/IND Over...break that one

 

BOL this week

DiscoD69 says:
10/11/08 11:07AM

wait...which birds...I thought desert birds but now I'n not so sure

CityFog says:
10/11/08 05:24PM
Like the following bets you got going Disco

Cards

Chargers

Raiders

Ravens

Jags

 

GL brother!

 

 

NNYHILLBILLY says:
10/11/08 08:24PM
nope the same Birds you are thinking of....Cards...and I will split between the 2 - Cards/over

  Happy Thanksgiving!!!

DiscoD69 says:
10/11/08 10:31PM
City Fog -  TY, BOL to you this week

 

HillBilly - couple key areas that the Cards have an advantage...turnovers, and especially - DAL is 29th in the league on offensive penalty yards lost, add that to the fact that they are on the road and have to contend with the crowd noise...other than that these teams are very evenly matched yet you can catch the Birds @ home getting as much as 6 (+6.5 on ProLine)

 

Sounds good to me. BOL this week

DiscoD69 says:
10/12/08 12:32PM
Wow look at the swing in juice on Houston (on Pinny)

 

I got it at -3 (+107)

currently at -3 (-110) --> MIA +3 (+102)

 

you guys think the heavy hitters might have been waiting to see if the public drove the line off of 3? Since it isn't happening, now the Texans backers are coming out maybe?

 

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User: DiscoD69
Joined: March 2006
Location: Canada
Team: San Diego Chargers
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