Posted Saturday, July 24, 2010 11:48 AM
Nice Movement in the Boise St ( *AT) VA Tech...Cr
noticed on 5 Dimes it jumped from 2 to 3.5...Crossing key number 3...
Maybe the Number reaches 4+ soon....
4.5+ Would lean me on the Hokies ... trying to stay away from this game (for now(
Already Bet onVa Tech Under 9 season Wins at +150.for $100. .. A Very =Nasty Stretch on the schedule and a few real Land mines
Guessing these Oddsmakers have enough early Broncos Money
Posted Sunday, December 06, 2009 08:12 AM
I have NOFaith in the BCS System this season ....
First OFF Iowa should NOT BE IN A BCS BOWL...BUT atleast we Can Make some Money Fading the Hawkeyes... especially if they play Boise St- or Ga Tech
Here is WHAT I THINK the BCS Bowls SHOULD BE vs what they Will/MIGHT BE...
Here is what I think the BCS MATCHUPS BE SHOULD BE
Alabama Line Guess -10.5 vs TCU for the National Championship...Texas is "NOT as good ,as WE thought they Were" ..../////TIDE vs Horned Frogs would be Classic Title game..Look at the Numbers TCU has put up in EVERY CAT. they deserve to be there Like I have been Saying for 6+ Weeks
FLORIDA -5.5 vs TEXAS... would be a Fantastic Game ... The Horns must Have Bought their Ticket into the BCS Game ..The ending + some Calls were Really Fishy, and The BIG 12 Gets A TON more MONEY for the Horns going to the Champ Game ( I would Settle for TCU +10 vs Florida would be Awesome Matchup, with PLenty of ML Value on TCU , that being Said the Gators would NOT SleepWalk Like Bama did LY)
Oregon -4.5/5.5 Line Guess...Prediction -10+ vs Ohio St....Ducks Offense has too Many Weapons and Buckeyes will be forced to play from Behind..
Cincinnati -1.5 Line Guess vs Boise St...Would be a Great Offensive Masterpiece ...Coaching Matchup is Tremendous
Georgia Tech should be PLaying Oregon St. ,, But if IOWA DOES Have to Make it .. then Let them PLay Ga Te... [More]
Posted Saturday, July 18, 2009 10:46 AM
Hello Covers Brothers ...
Here are my current
Point Spread Ratings
for all 66 of the BCS Schools ...
MY TOP 120 will be soon to follow ...
These Point Spread Ratings are my main set of School Rankings..
(Pos. Ratings are my 2nd Set)
I use during them during the Pre, Regular, and Post Season to determine where the
Lines Might/Should Be ...
When the actual lines for Games appear to be atleast 3/3.5 + Points off from the Chart ..
I give that matchup a automatic Look for wagering purposes...
I do NOT bet solely
these Numbers ...
I sometimes totally disagree and Wager on the other team ....
To be Honest
More often than not when
I go VS my #'s...
These Numbers change weekly during the season....
Point Spread Ratings are for games played on a neutral site ...
I factor in Homefield on a weekly basis
///awarding +3-6.5 points based on that weeks advantage ....
Do you agree with these Numbers ???
Who do you have alot Higher or lower ??
Posted Thursday, July 02, 2009 11:19 AM
After a horrible 2-10 season ....
The Aztecs might go Bowling this Year >>>??
San Diego St. Made some fantastic Hires
Bringing in HC Brady Hoke, OC Al Borges and DC Rocky Long ....
Hoke amazingly turned around Ball St...
a usual MAC Basement dweller ...
Al Borges last was the OC at Auburn 2004-2007, Auburn led the SEC in scoring in 04 and 05... Borges has also been the OC at Oregon,CAL and UCLA...Finalist for the Broyles award in 97 and 988....
Rocky Long is a defensive mastermind ...Producing a very good and aggressive Defense at New Mexico for the last 11 years
15 Starters(8/7) and 49 Letterman return this year
So. QB Ryan Lindley had a decent RFR season throwing for 2653 yards with 16 TD's and 9 Ints ...
RB Atiyyah Henderson has avg over 4.0 YPC the last 2 years ...also had 36 catches LY
WR Vincent Brown led the aztecs with 64-631 5 TD's LY..
WR Roberto Wallace has some good size at 6-4 ..
31-405 1TD LY
\TE Matthew Kawlok caught 21 Balls ly for 11.0 YPR
The O-Line had good numbers considering how bad SD St. was last year ...only giving up 21 sacks ...
While they lose their LG and RT
5 players return with starting experience ....
The Defense was a Joke for the Last 2 years allowing 34.4 and 37.2 PPG ...
Giving up 5.3 and 5.1 YPC..
Recording only 15, 13 sacks
Posted Tuesday, June 23, 2009 06:58 AM
the Raiders are one of my sleeper teams this year ...
Right now here is how I get the 6+ Wins
4-2 or better 34% 3-3 or better 58%
Other Home Games
Philadelphia L/3+ Catching Eagles before they play on MNF at Washington
NY Jets W 4+ Fading the Jets this year
Cincinnati W7+ the Bengals are the Bengals
Washington L/W/3+ Catching Skins before they host the NYG on MNF
Baltimore W/L 3+ will the Ravens slip in 09"
Other Away Games
at Houston L7+ Texans another 1 of my sleeper teams
at NY Giants L13+ Catching NYG before they travel to New Orleans
at Dallas L/W3+ Cowboys should be average this year.. Catching Cowboys in sandwhich between Washington and NY Giants
at Pittsburgh L13+ Hammered ???
at Cleveland W3+ better than the Browns and Raiders could be fighting for 500. or West Lead ???
Posted Wednesday, June 17, 2009 02:37 PM
PAC 10 Looks like it should have atleast 6+ Teams Go Bowling this year ....
Home Field could be worth alot More than usual this year ...
USC is Just reloading ... The Offense could be even better this year with the O-Line ,RB's and WR's just stocked full of talent ...
The Defense might be faster this year with smaller LB's with secondary type speed ..
Mays and Griffin might be AA
Stanford is Much Better and although they have a tough schedule , Bowl Game should be in store and several chances for ML Dog and ATS Value
Stanford was 6-3 ATS LY vs the PAC10
CAL should Have a excellent team this year ....The Key might be the QB not costing them games ..I would Like to see Brock Mansion get
Oregon and Oregon St. are both in slight rebuilding modes but both should win 8+ Games ...Both teams have some excellent skill Pos. Players ..
Arizona should have a Good Defense and a top Notch running Game ...If QB Matt Scott is a nice Dual threat QB and can make the Throws to Gronko and the WR's the Wildcats shouod have excellent ATS Value . The Road Games are very hard and Arizona might lose 5+ of the 6
UCLA and Arizona St. should be Good teams to fade in upto 5+ selected games each ...I think only one of these teams might go Bowling ... ... Arizona St. might start off 5-1 and go in the Toliet for 5+ Games ,,,UCLA is Overrated and might be a great fade on the Road
Washington should win 3+ Games... [More]
Posted Monday, June 15, 2009 11:21 AM
Here is a Quick List of teams that I think should have some Good Value and should Cover ATS more often than not as either a Dog or Fav....
North Carolina St....
Georgia Tech Triple Option Tuff
Virgina Tech Foes team total Unders
Staying away until I see them Play but
Syracuse should be Catching some Points
Rutgers will they slip ???
Michigan St... Never Liked Hoyer and HC should keep them in games
Kansas should be a great Over team
Texas Might be laying a ton
Baylor Love the Points with this DOG
East Carolina gotta see the Lines
S. Miss really like them this year
Temple might win the Eas
Western Michigan Like them alot this season
Air Force every year I Like them
Oregon St solid once again
CAL QB is the key
Stanford should be evry good ATS
Florida Laying how Many ... Urban Love the Smackdown
Ole Miss Love this team ....
Arkansas hate the Coach lik... [More]
Posted Wednesday, June 10, 2009 01:49 PM
Too Many so called Experts and Fans Often
Under -Rate the Big Schools bc they don't have alot of returning starters ....
just a few examples ....
Penn St. D Line
Just Reloading ... The Coaches(mainly Johnson) will be working with another Group of Players with Top 10 Talent
Yeah i Knowshon Moreno is gone ....
Like Richt can't recruit RB's ???
/// The Dawgs most likely have 4+ Top backs waiting to run the rock ...
When was the last time The Sooners had a Bad O-Line ??? This Unit will roll over the BIG12....
I Keep hearing how they lost everything !!! ?????
I would Take the Trojans 3rd team units Over 85% of the Other 120 Schools 1st Units ....
The List could go on and On ...
People will also Over Hype
Average or Below Average Teams if they have 8+ returning starters on either side of the ball ... [More]
Posted Monday, May 11, 2009 10:55 AM
Just wondering what my Covers Brothers think of this list ....
Here are some teams that I think will take a step back in 2009
Keep in mind it is really Early
Posted Sunday, August 10, 2008 08:18 PM
New England 12-4
NY Jets 6-10
Indy Colts 12-4
San Diego 11-5
NY Giants 9-7
*Green Bay 9-7
New Orleans 11-5
Tampa Bay 9-7
St. Louis 8-8
San Francisco 4-12
AFC Final Indy Colts Over Cleveland
NFC Final New Orleans Over Dallas
SuperBowl Indy Colts Over New Orleans
Posted Sunday, May 18, 2008 09:11 PM
NY Giants 9-7
Green Bay 9-7
Tampa Bay 9-7
New Orleans 9-7
St. Louis 9-7
San Francisco 2-14
New England 12-4
NY Jets 6-10
San Diego 10-6
Kansas City 8-8