DoubleUp4Life says:
Stanford  7-5  6-3

Point Spread Rating   60.5

Pos Rating       63.1

Overall ranking  33-36

 

Offense

Team    QB       RB       WR      OL       Total

Stanford 7.5    8.9        7.4      8.5      32.3 

 

Defense

Team            DL       LB       DB   Coa.    Total    

Stanford   8     7.3      7.4     8.1     30.8 

 

Schedule  Win/Loss Margin

 

at Washington St.    W17+

ran for 340+ LY in the 58-0 Beatdown

 

at Wake Forest  L6+

Tuff trip to NC... Hoping to catch DD

 

San Jose St.    W14+

better not be looking ahead

 

Washington  W10+

a Must Win for Bowl chances ?

 

UCLA   W4+

Bruins have beaten Stanford 5 in a row and 12 of last 16...

 

at Oregon St. L14+

Huge letdown spot especially if the Cardinal beat UCLA

 

at Arizona  L4+

Stanford has won 6 of last 8 vs Arizona

 

Arizona St.  W17+

(HC) nice spot before a BYE

 

Oregon   W4+

almost beat the Ducks LY

 

at USC  L10+

could get really ugly but the Cardinal might backdoor an ATS win

 

CAL   W3+

toss-up

 

Notre Dame L6+

might be a tight loss ..The Irish have won 7 straight

 

Stanford will be much better this year...

the Cardinal should have trmendous ATS Value (6-3 ATS vs the PAC 10 LY)

The running game AVG 200 yards a game LY and should be even better this year

The O-Line has 5 players back who started 6+ games last year...

RFR QB PS#4 Andrew Luck should be a Big Boast to the Passing game

The D-Line has 7 of the Top 8 returning

 

 

 

    

 

bookieassassin says:


guess you're talking to me ?......i didn't .....not COMPARING horns and trojans......just showing how much easier their path to title game is ....than usc.......was referring to horns schedule LY.....compared to this year .....> LY was much more difficult ......not even close.....this year have 2 real challenges.....LY had 4....in a row.... + @ kansas

thorpe says:
I put my scores to the right of yoyrs.  Cal can beat Oregon but has a hard time with Ore St.  Washington is usually a tough matchup for Cal.  Stanford doesn't have the defense to hang with Cal, and Cal's secondary owns the Stanford passing game.  Minny has the better QB and is at home in a different time zone which is always tough.  Something tells me ASU stinks so bad Erikson is fired before the season is through.

Maryland            W14+ W17+

East. Wash.        W34+ w24+
 
at Minnesota        W7+ - PICKEM

at Oregon            L10+   W1+
 
 USC                 L10+  L14+

 at UCLA              W13+ AGREE
 
Washington St.    W20+   W28+

at Arizona St.       W6+   W15+

Oregon St.          W6+   L3+

Arizona                W13+   AGREE

at Stanford           L3+   W 11+

Washington          W20+    W4+

DoubleUp4Life says:

Yeah we seem to be on the Same Page

CAL should go 9-3 or better ...The running game is top shelf... Love the secondary and D-Line ... The LB's will be fine .... Hoping Mansion steals the QB Job

DoubleUp4Life says:

right now I am predicting... USC ,CAL Oregon,and  Oregon St will make a bowl game forsure ...  

Stanford ,Arizona both have an very good chance to make a Bowl as well...

I think UCLA and Arizona St  wiull be on the fence at 5-7 or 6-6 at best ...

I know Stanford has been total garbage on the road ... 6-6 or better does seem likely IMO and I think 6-3 ATS vs the PAC10 like last year sounds about right again

DoubleUp4Life says:

Arizona   7-5   5-4 

Point Spread Rating   60

Pos Rating       64

Overall Ranking  36-42 

 

Offense

Team    QB       RB       WR      OL       Total    

Arizona  7.4      8.7        8.3     7.7      32.1   

 

Defense

Team            DL       LB       DB   Coa.    Total     

Arizona     7.7    7.5     8.4      8.1     31.9   

 

 

Schedule       Win/Loss Margin

 

Central Michigan     W20+

Hoping for a Line of 14 or less

 

N. Arizona                W23+

might get caught looking ahead ATS

 

at Iowa                   L6+

tuff trip , but should be in the game 

 

at Oregon St    L14+

talk about a hard 2 week road stretch 

 

at Washington   L3+

better be focused after the BYE

 

Stanford    W4+

has lost 6 of 8 to Stanford

 

UCLA     W14+

Need this one 

 

Washington St.   W20+

coming in off a bye 

 

at CAL    L13+

Fading the Wildcats in this spot 

 

Oregon   W6+

toss up . but the Wildcats might need this one for Bowl Hopes

 

at Arizona St.  W3+

another ASU fade 

 

at USC   L13+

might be a good Dog of 17 or more , especially if USC is 11-0       

 

 7-5   31%

6-6     30%

5-7 or worse   24%

8-4      14%

9-3 or better   1% 

 

 

Starting in week 3 the schedule becomes Brutal , only 1 sure win (WSU)....

If none of the QB's pan out the Wildcats will miss playing in a Bowl ...

The Defense might have to win Zona 4+ games  

DoubleUp4Life says:

Time will tell Brother ....

But Moevao easily makes my TOP 25 Overall ....

SR QB's under Riley have put up some Great #'s and won alot of games ..... 

DoubleUp4Life says:

Really Like Masoli as well....Brother  

Blount and Masoli should run for alot of yards this year...1K each+

Matt Scott might be pretty good with the talent he has around him ...at AZ..if he stinks zona could be in big trouble

Corp or whoever is starting at USC should put up great #'s

Andrew Luck has to be better than that fraud Pritchard.......

Locker is a good leader ,...not sure about his accurcy

 

 

 

 

DoubleUp4Life says:

UCLA  4-8  2-7

Point Spread Rating 56.5

Pos Rating  61.1

Overall Ranking 51-60

 

Offense

Team    QB       RB       WR      OL       Total

UCLA     6.7     7.         7.6       7.5       29.2

 

Defense

Team            DL       LB       DB   Coa.    Total  

UCLA         7.8    7.7    8.2      8.2      31.9

 

 

Schedule Win/Loss Margin

 

San Diego St  W14+

Might be a good spot to fage the Bruins if Laying 20+

 

at Tennessee L14+

getting ambushed ...

Bruins not ready for this

 

Kansas St St W13+

HF worth 5+

 

at Stanford  L4+

Bruins have owned the Cardinal winning 5 straight and 12 of 16

 

Oregon L6+

might give the Ducks all they can handle

 

CAL L13+

beatdown coming ???

 

at Arizona L14+

just slimping BIG Time

 

at Oregon St. L13+

another bad spot

 

Washington L3+

in the Toliet ???

 

at Washington ST.  W10+

Might be closer than you think

 

Arizona St. W14+

Must WIN

 

at USC  L21+

reminds me of the Upset the Bruins pulled ...Might be Much closer than this #

 

4-8   32%

5-7   30.5%

6-6    28%

7-5 or better    8%

3-9 or worse   1.5%

 

The Schedule is Murder.

Plenty of Talent

Might be a good ATS Play as well as a FADE

UCLA is 18-9 ATS the last 3 years vs the PAC10

I dont like the QB's or the Running Game ...

The Defense will be hung out to dry once again 

DoubleUp4Life says:

Arizona St.   4-8   2-7

Point Spread Rating 54.5

Pos Rating  59.7

Overall Ranking 58-70

DoubleUp4Life says:

Yeah we both hate ASU this year ... should be some good money to be made ... especially in PAC10 play....

I am starting to like the Hukies more and more but you are right only IF Locker remains healthy .... my luck I will jump on them and they will go 0-9 ATS vs the PAC10 again

Arizona has a brutal schedule and i would not be shocked to see them slip to 500. or less ... although they have plenty of talent on DL<LB,SEC,TE,WR and RB the only real ??? is Matt Scott at QB

 

DoubleUp4Life says:

Arizona St.   4-8   2-7

Point Spread Rating 53.5

Pos Rating  59.7

Overall Ranking 65-79

 

Offense

Team    QB       RB       WR      OL       Total

Arizona St. 7.3     7.1  7.5        7.1       29

Defense

Team            DL       LB       DB   Coa.    Total

Arizona St. 7.5    8      7.4      7.8      30.7       

 

 

Schedule   Win/Loss Margin

 

Idaho St   W27+

enjoy the W

 

ULM    W17+

Might be a Fade ATS

 

at Georgia L17+

The Dawgs should run for 250+

 

Oregon St. L3+

Beavers just too good

 

at Washington St W4+

could lose ..ATS Fade

 

Washington W3+

Need this one Bad

 

at Stanford L17+

Smashed

 

CAL  L6+ 

Last chance at good season !

 

USC  L24+

Crushed

 

at Oregon L21+

Fade

 

at UCLA  L14+

Fade

 

Arizona L3+

Erickson's last game ??

 

4-8   28%

5-7    30%

6-6     24%

7-5 or better  15%    

3-9 or worse   3%

 

Under 6.5 on Sun Devil wins is one of my Favorite Season win Bets ...

 

Starting in Week 3 the Sun Devils could lose any game ....

 

 

DoubleUp4Life says:

Team    Off.      DEF.  Total  PSR  Record 

USC         36     35.9    71.9   87.5  11-1  8-1

CAL         33      33.8    66.8   70     9-3  6-3

Oregon   33.2   30.9   64.1    71.5   9-3 7-2 

Stanford  32.3 30.8  63.1    60.5    7-5  6-3

Arizona    32.1  31.9     64         60      7-5  5-4   

Oregon St 32.4  31.3   63.7   67   8-4  5-4  

Arizona St   29   30.7  59.7   54.5    4-8  2-7    

UCLA         29.2   31.9  61.1   56.5   4-8  2-7    

Washington  29   27.8   56.8  53.5   5-7  4-5

WSU            25.1  26.1   51.2  44  2-10 0-9        

westcoastTrojan says:

I kind of agree with what you said here. It drives me crazy to see 4-5 guys get carries throughout the game. There's no flow. They all have DIFFERENT styles. I'd like to see them go with 2-3 a game, but which 2-3 do you go with. Yes, Stafon is the better overall back, but he's not a homerun. Neither is CJ. I think Stafon is the best, followed closely with Joe, CJ, and than Tyler and Bradford. They are all so damn good. Its tough to choose. Bradford was the best running back I ever saw in high school. I thought he'd win a Heisman by now. Not a fan of CJ's. He's just blah. He'll make a bad play and let it ruin him for the rest of the game. He should have transferred. He'd be a star at UCLA.

I know what you mean about Joe. I'm frustrated with him as well. But he never was really healthy last year. This is his make or break year. He really needs to step up big time, and I think he does.

The guy I wish we had back was Broderick Green. He was the best of the bunch. Everyone got a glimpse of him vs. Wazzu, but I've seen him just shred the first team defense. Maualuga wanted no part of him. The Razorbacks will get an all-sec back next year.

I think I could run for 4 yards per carry with the offensive line USC brings. So no matter who's out there, that running back will get plenty of yards. My only concern is during crunch time. Thats when the 3-4 back system doesnt work.

nostradamus12 says:
good stuff double - agree with USC not necessarily killing SJ St by 30 or more, with new QB and Ohio St on deck, against not horrible SJ St defense could be 31-7 type going through the motions

DoubleUp4Life says:
 Rank 64 Tie    

Arizona St  52.5

PSR MIN-MAX 46-57

HF+4 - +5.5

5-7    28.5%

4-8-   25.5%

6-6     24.5%

7-5+   21.5%

Offense

QB       RB      WR      OL       Total

7.3       7         7.5        6.2       28

Defense

DL         LB        DB        Coa.     Total

7.8       7.8      7.2       7.8       30.6

 

Strengths

 

The Front 7 look pretty good

DE Dexter Davis is in the backfild a ton recording 15 TKFL Ly

Lawernce Guy was a FR AA LY

LB's Nixon and Goethal are usually in the right Gaps and make the tackle

 

The WR's  don't drop many balls Chris McGaha ,Taylor and Williams form a nice trio...

 

The CB's look good on paper and should benefit from a better pass rush this season than the 23 Sacks the Sun Devils had LY

 

 

Concerns 

 

The O-Line has been horrible 89 Sacks combined the L 2yrs.. only paving the way for 2.9 and 3.2 YPC ..

On Par with A&M during that span as the worst BCS O-Line

 

The Safeties should are very green and should get burned alot ...

 

Will any of the QB's Pan Out ??

 

No Gimmies on The schedule starting in week 3 at Georgia ...ASU could lose any game from there on out ...

 

Wagering

 

Arizona St is one of my favorite Fade teams ..Starting with at Georgia I see them going 3-7 or worse ATS in the last 10

 

Under 6.5 Season Wins should be a great bet

DoubleUp4Life says:

Updated Point Spread Numbers   Team    Off.      DEF.  Total  PSR  Record  USC         36     35.9    71.9   87.5  11-1  8-1 CAL         33      33.8    66.8   70     9-3  6-3 Oregon   33.2   30.9   64.1    71.5   9-3 7-2  Stanford  32.3 30.8  63.1    60.5    7-5  6-3 Arizona    32.1  31.9     64         60      7-5  5-4    Oregon St 32.4  31.3   63.7   67   8-4  5-4   Arizona St   29   30.7  59.7   55    4-8  2-7     UCLA         29.2   31.9  61.1   56.5   4-8  2-7     Washington  29   27.8   56.8  55.5   5-7  4-5 WSU          25.1  26.1   51.2  43  2-10 0-9

DoubleUp4Life says:

Updated Point Spread Numbers   Team    Off.      DEF.  Total  PSR  Record  USC         36     35.9    71.9   87.5  11-1  8-1 CAL         33      33.8    66.8   70     9-3  6-3 Oregon   33.2   30.9   64.1    71.5   9-3 7-2  Stanford  32.3 30.8  63.1    60.5    7-5  6-3 Arizona    32.1  31.9     64         60      7-5  5-4    Oregon St 32.4  31.3   63.7   67   8-4  5-4   Arizona St   29   30.7  59.7   55.5    4-8  2-7     UCLA         29.2   31.9  61.1   56.5   4-8  2-7     Washington  29   27.8   56.8  56.5   5-7  4-5 WSU          25.1  26.1   51.2   40  2-10 0-9

DoubleUp4Life says:

Corrected

Rank 56 Tie   

Washington  54

PSR MIN-MAX 45-57.5

HF+3.5 - +5.5

4-8   36.5%

3-9-   31.5%

5-7     22.5%

6-6+   9.5%

 

Offense

QB      RB       WR      OL      Total

 8         7.3       7.3       6.6     29.4

Defense

 DL       LB       DB      Coa.      Total

7.5      6.7     7.1      7.8       29.1

 

Strengths

 

Gone is nice guy but Overrated HC Tyrone Willingham... in steps

Steve Sarkisian from USC with a winning energy..

Nice Job of Hiring away  DC Nick Holt who was the DC at USC the last 2 years

 

 

All Hopes rest on QB Jake Locker . who does not know the term slide ...While his passing can be erratic(14 TD's 15 INts 47.3% in 07) His Legs and toughness should keep the Huskies in some Ball Games this season .. 

 

9 Players return in the secondary with starting experience ..

 

The Front 7 has to be better with all 7 returning ... it does not get much worse than LY when UW gave up 38.6 PPG , and 241 Yards rushing a Game (5.7 YPC) only getting to the QB 16 times

 

DE Daniel Teo-Nesheim was 1st team All PAC 10 LY  making 65 Tackles with 10.5 being for a loss

 

 

Concerns

 

The O-Line has to be be alot better at protecting the QB and not getting pushed around

 

While there is some depth at RB .. Someone needs to step up...

Chris Polk if he can stay healthy should have a Breakout year

 

Will the Defense stop anyone this year ??? some good pieces and coaching are in place but there are alot of what If's

 

 

Wagering

 

The Huskies should have some Value this year after 0-12 LY and 1-11 ATS...Might be getting extra points after LY's horrible results.

 

Looking at backing the Huskies in these games

Idaho if laying 20 or less

vs USC if catching 24+

at Notre Dame if getting 20+

at Arizona St... this one really jumps out at me

at UCLA   Fading the Bruins

vs Washington St  Sark will not lose to WSU

vs CAL  Hoping for 10+... this is a bad spot for the Bears with the Huskies likely playing this like it's their Bowl game

 

The Huskies might go Bowling Next Year

DoubleUp4Life says:

Rank 36 Tie   

Arizona  59.5

PSR MIN-MAX 53-65.5

HF+4  - +6

7-5    37.5%

6-6     26.5

8-4+   26%

5-7-    10%

Offense

 QB       RB       WR      OL       Total

7.4       8.6       8.2      8          32.2

Defense

   DL       LB         DB       Coa.    Total  

 7.8    7.5       8.5      8      31.8

 

Strengths

 

51 Lettermen Return

 

Defense was awesome LY ... coming out of nowhere with only 3 starting returning in 2008...

 

The secondary is Full of Talent

14th in the country LY in Pass Ef..

 

The Running Game should be the focal point this year after utting up solid numbers LY 158 PG 4.1 YPC

Gribsby and True FR Antolin combined for 23 TD's and 1678 Rushing ..

 

The WR's Look great/ although Thomas is gone ofto the NFL

TE Rob Gronkowski should have a monster year after Fighting Mono LY and still getting 47-672  10 TD..

Dean and Turner have great size at 6-4 and 6-2.. both should be matchups problems for most teams.

William Bug Wright is a 5-9 Speed Demon

 

The O-Line has some monsters

6-5 313 avg 12th in the FBS

4 Players return who started 4+ LY

Hopefully the Injury Bug stays away

 

QB Matt Scott should push the rushing stats to over 175 a game

LY he had 8.2 YPC in limited time

 

Concerns

 

QB Tuitama leaves as the Cats all-time Passer...

 

The Front 7 is on the light side and can be pushed off the ball by Big lines

 

Depth at LB ... Injuries would be trouble

 

Wagering

 

The Cats have good value starting in week 1 cs CMU

DoubleUp4Life says:

Stanford Continued

 

Wagering

 

Should be a Live Dog in 7+ Games this season

 

6-3 ATS LY vs the PAC 10

5-0 ATS LY at Home

 

Bowling or Bust

 

Current Predicted results

 

Schedule   Win/Loss Margin

 

at Washington St.    W23+

ran for 340+ LY in the 58-0 Beatdown

 

at Wake Forest  L4+

Tuff trip to NC... Hoping to catch DD

 

San Jose St.    W14+

better not be looking ahead

 

Washington  W7+

a Must Win for Bowl chances ?

 

UCLA   W4+

Bruins have beaten Stanford 5 in a row and 12 of last 16...

 

at Oregon St. L14+

Huge letdown spot especially if the Cardinal beat UCLA

 

at Arizona  L4+

Stanford has won 6 of last 8 vs Arizona

 

Arizona St.  W17+

(HC) nice spot before a BYE

 

Oregon   L3+/W3+

almost beat the Ducks LY

 

at USC  L14+

could get really ugly or The Cardinal might backdoor an ATS win

 

CAL   W3+/L3+

toss-up

Predicting Stanford will Pull a Nice ML Upset in 1 of the Last 2 games

 

Notre Dame L6+/W1+

might be a tight loss ..

The Irish have won 7 straight

Mr_Hollywood says:
Great info Double.

Gotta say I think USC's coaching changes are going to play a larger roll than people are mentioning on these boards. Pete's gotta manage a lot more this year between the talent and breaking in the new coaches. I think this leaves them a little more vulnerable than most years.

Parkingmeter says:

I can only guess you are not a keen follower of USC Football, if your were, you would know that Pete Carroll has ALWAYS had a balanced offense and 400 rushing/200 passing isn't his coaching style.  Look for a close to 50/50 rushing/passing offense again this year for USC.

Funny thing, Aaron Corp is the Matt Lienart of 2003, with one difference, Aaron can run.